The oil markets. First, stocks kicking off the first trading day of the new year on a high note. And if the january effect plays out, todays gains could be a positive sign for 2018 bob pisani here with the story bob . Reporter yes, just a lot like 2017, some of the big names are moving today semiconductors doing well. Lot of interest in that. We see Retail Stocks doing better we see energy doing better heres something curious, the banks are not participating in the rally. I find that interesting given that the ten years been moving up utilities have have been a loser for a long time. Thats no surprise here. Look at some of the big banks. Come over here citigroup here down 0. 4 on very light volume most of the big banks, regionals in particular are down fractionally not a great month, frankly, if you want to look at january. We asked our friends to take a look at the last five or six years in january it tends to be a down month. Nasdaq and the s p and the dow industrials all to the down
2004. Markets, isthe similar playbook to what we saw in 2017. Records for the major averages. Technology leading again. A pretty broadbased rally. Energy and Consumer Discretionary also getting a lift today. Lets talk car manufacturing. We are getting the december u. S. Auto sales figures for the major auto manufacturers. We are seeing the numbers come in with declines in many cases. General motors down 3. 3 . The estimate was for a decrease of 7. 3 . Ford posting unexpected gain in its sales of 1. 3 as the f series had its best pickup since 2005. Chrysler. 11 for via that matched the average analyst estimate. Outside of stocks, we are taking a look at the dollar today, which is seeing a bit of a rebound. The past five days of trading for the u. S. Dollar, declines that add up to 5 . It is a pretty small one. On the flipside, weve been watching Industrial Metals recently. Look at an index of Industrial Metals, we have seen that rally here. At the top is the price. On the bottom is the
Xpectations. Still, a majority of the committee were clearly in favor of the rate hike that the fed went ahead within december, and the majority of the committee are still expressing some confidence that inflation in the mediumterm is going to move back to 2 . But there is a sense that confidence in that is slipping a bit. That matches up with the feds forecast, the dots that we saw last month. The median for rate hike projections asked year is three, but their worst next year is three, but there were Six Committee members below that meeting. Ledave a more hawkish group by people like Loretta Mester in cleveland, and they are more concerned about a severe undershoot of unemployment in 2018, possibly leading to a bump in inflation. And here is another interesting quote i found in the minutes. Participants discussed several couldthat, if realized, result in a steeper path of increases in the target rate. They mentioned those risks include the economy expanding well beyond its maximum sus
S p futures up by four points. Eurodollar a little bit weaker. The dollar is finally getting a rally. The first time in about five days. 10 year yield pretty much goes nowhere. We had the big selloff all across the bond market. By. 5 . The 10 year breakeven rate is up over 2 . Level it crossed that level just yesterday into the fed meeting. It looks like the market is starting to price in more future inflation. I am sure we will understand it all after we read those minutes. Lets get a on whats making headlines from outside the business world. Emma chandra is here. President trump has a warning for north koreas leader kim jongun. The president tweeted that he has a much bigger and more powerful Nuclear Button. He was responding to kims warning that the Nuclear Button is always on my desk. Theres been a major diplomatic right through between the two koreas. North korea called south korea on a hotline that hasnt been used in years. In germany the Unemployment Rate has fallen to a record
Former friends fallout badly. Steve bannon attacking his former boss. The president saying he lost his job and his money. His mind. Betty another day, another twitter fight, it seems. In the meantime, no fighting along the fed numbers members. We saw the minutes come out. Continueeve they will on this gradual rate increase. Now, the debate is how many times . Several of the members said two, maybe less. Others said at least four. That will be the crux of the debate around the fed in 2018. Yvonne what could be driving that is this continued debate on inflation. There is still uncertainty on why we are seeing not seeing higher inflation. Also, there wasnt a lot of concern about the flattening yield curve. Betty thats right. Here in the equity markets in the u. S. , continuing to rally forward and hitting records, as you can see here with the s p 500. The dow is adding on almost 100 points. Way,asdaq also leading the up almost 1 . The s p 500 navigating above the 2700 point level. Again,