gap. new numbers from an abc poll show voters still prefer the republican candidates in their district election, but the democrats are gaining ground. tracie potts is in washington for us with all the details. good morning. >> reporter: lynn, good morning. looking at these latest polls, the big question is is the tide turning for democrats just weeks before election day? let's take a look at some of the results. you mentioned this new, this latest abc news/washington post poll. it shows among voters, republicans have a 6% edge, but that is down by more than half from just last month. in fact, our latest nbc poll showed something very similar. what's working for republicans is drumming up their base. they're motivated. they're planning to go out and vote. looking at more poll results here, it seems that 77% of republicans say they will go out and vote on election day. only 61% of democrats say they expect to vote on election day. what could make the difference? tv ads. now by the parties themselves, but by private groups allied with these parties. two republican-leaning groups have said they're spending another $4 million on ads. they've already spent $14 million since august. sth a big boost for the republicans because they have lagged behind the democrats in fund-raising. lynn. >> tracie potts for us there in washington. thank you. according to this morning's washington post, taliban representatives and afghan president what medicine karzai government have begun talks over hending the war. goeshzs are under way on a deal that would put some taliban figures in the government. sources believe this is the first time that taliban representatives involved in these talks are fully authorized to speak for the taliban organization based in pakistan. representatives for that group leader have shunned talks in the past insisting all foreign troops withdrawal first. however, in these meetings, there have been discussions of a withdrawal on an agreed timel e timeline. meanwhile, yesterday marked a second day of sdmroegzs in kandahar. in neighboring pakistan, gunmen have struck nato tankers headed into pakistan. this time, at least a dozen tankers were torched. one driver was shot in the head. this marks the third major attack since a week ago when pakistan crossed the border into afghanistan. it's unclear who is behind the latest attacks, although the pakistan taliban have claimed responsibility for similar assaults. >> now here's a look at other stories making news early today in america. nasty weather rolled through the phoenix, arizona area, bringing with it a shower of golf-ball-sized hail. one resident shot this video of the hail storm. the large systems dumped over an inch of rain in two hours, causing severe flooding, downed power lines and grounded flights. in south carolina, teams competed in the bomb squad oh olympia. it included 100 yard dash, running up and downstairs, extracting an ied from a car and target shooting while wearing 730 pounds of equipment. the competition is a way for officers to test their abilities in the case of a real threat. a california couple is hoping they measure up as the world's tallest pair. the man is 6'11", his wife, 6'5". the folks from guinness were on hand to record their combined height, but no word on if they are, indeed, the world's largest couple. and in pennsylvania, pumpkins are on display. a man and son grew these super sized pumpkins, the largest weighing over 1,000 pounds. the others around 600. they're on display for visitors, but not yet available for pie making. now for a look at your national and regional weather, here is nbc meteorologist bill karins with the weather channel forecast. bill, good morning. >> how do they make those big pumpkins? are they genetically engineered? >> a little shot on the side. >> steroids. >> my pumpkin expertise is coming in handy now. let's talk about the forecast. good morning, everyone. the storm system has lingered over the mid-atlantic the last couple of days. it will finally be on the move today. we'll watch those same areas with cloudy conditions and on and off rain. we're cool in the southeast, but it will be a beautiful afternoon. we're seeing nice weather through the middle of the country. wet weather through utah. we showed you amazing pictures of that hail in arizona. very rare for them to get hail that big. it was golf ball to baseball-sized hail in some places. the storm system is spinning over pittsburgh. a lot of rain showers in ohio this morning. some of the heaviest rains today are with a tropical connection coming up to cape cod, boston will get wet today. eventually, if you live in maine, vermont, new hampshire, you'll probably get a soaking through much of the afternoon and evening tonight. that's the wet spot. new york city, maybe a sprinkle or two. not a lot of wet weather. the southeast, as i mentioned, cool start to your day. gorgeous afternoon. officially, it looks like the wet season is over with. even the dry area is into miami. that's a look at your forecast. now here is a look at the weather outside your window. the shower activity in boston will keep temperatures in the low 60s. pittsburgh, another very cool day for you with showers and 57 degrees. looking better, though, in areas like raleigh today. sunny and 72. lynn, you'll be happy to know i've got a really nice forecast for all the people that suffered this week from the miserable weather. it looks nice into the weekend. details, coming up. >> about time, big. also coming up, necessity sales prove, but luxury sales fall. your early morning business headlines are straight ahead. plus, casting buzz says tom hanks may be headed for another high profile role. the yankees pull the plug on one of their races and the heat's big three are now the big two. you're watching "early today." >> good morning, and welcome back to "early today." i'm lynn berry. here are some of your top headlines this morning. the pakistani immigrant who tried to detonate a bomb in times square in may has been sentenced to life in prison. expressing no remorse over the botched attempt, 31-year-old shazad warned americans to, quote, brace yourself because the war with muslims has just begun. a connecticut man could face the death penalty after being convicted of murdering a woman and her two daughterses. steven hayes and another ex-con beat the family's father with a baseball bat and sexually assaulted and strangled the mother before setting the family's house on fire. both daughters died on smoke inhalation. the second defendant goes on trial next year? three counties in hungary are in a state of emergency after a reservoir burst and swamped several villages with a toxic sludge. at least four people were killed and dozens injured, many with severe burns. a brazilian woman is recovering after a terrible accident captured on a security camera. the 44-year-old was hit by a speeding car and thrown in the air before landing in the street. amazingly, she survived with minor injuries to her arm and collarbone. nasa is going ahead with a mission to investigate the memory of how mars lost its atmosphere. if the project goes according to planned, they will launch a spacecraft to the red planet in 2013. >> and now here's an early look at how wall street will kick off the day. the dow opens at 10,944 after gaining 193 points yesterday. the s&p climbed 23 points. the nasdaq added 55. taking a look at overseas trading this morning in tokyo, the nikkei added 172 points while in hong kong the hang seng rose 241. stocks soared to their highest level since may on tuesday, fueled by strength of signs in the economy and renewed hope that more help is on the way. markets rallied in the start in response to japan's move to slash interest rates. that sparked hopes that the federal reserve could step in here with stimulus here at home as early as next month. a better than expected report from the service sector added to the upbeat move, further easing fears of a double dip recession. fresh data on consumer spending is out this morning, and it looks like caution remains the name of the game. the back to school season saw an uptick in kids clothes and electrics while luxury spending suffered a drop. talbot shares were hit hard yesterday after the retailer cut its third quarter forecast and announced plans to cut up to 17% of its stores. the treasury department estimates total losses from federal bailouts under the troubled asset relief program will total $29 billion. that's down from an earlier estimate of $66 billion. ford announced plans yesterday to eliminate more than a third of its lincoln dealers nationwide in an effort to revamp the brand. keep an eye on umm brands. shares were lower in late trade after reporting a slight drop in u.s. profit. finally, cash for couch potatoes? that's right. a new monitoring service went to work this week in london putting people to work helping fight crime while watching cameras on their laptops. a bronx bomber benching, tampa makes plaid its new fad and the heat get hemped on. plus, the miami heat's dane shows why he's the new king of south beach. your early morning sports headlines are just ahead. we're still dealing with two slow-moving storm systems, one in new england and the other in california. your wednesday forecast is coming up. you're watching "early today." good morning. if you're just waking up, this is "early today." in sports, late news out of england that nation story soccer team liverpool has been sold to the owners of the boston red sox for an undisclosed amount. after all the hype over the off season acquisitions of the miami heat, last night, the big three made their debut for all of three minutes. here's nbc's fred roggin with an early look at all your sports headlines. good morning. a new era began last night for the miami heat, but just minutes into their preseason debut, the big three became the big two. three minutes in, dwyane wade pulled up while chasing handleton. he had to leave the game with a strained right hamstring and will return in a couple of weeks. now they've got lebron. he had 18. chris bosh added 20. don't happened them the trophy just yet. it's only the preseason. if yankees have made a big move. the manager has pulled a.j. burnett out of the starting rotation, making the $16 million paid pitcher the highest pitches in the league. >> it gives us the flexibility to do that. a.j. was outstanding for us last year in the playoffs. it's not easy. there are tough decisions that you have to make. and you justify make them. >> so the yankees will start c.c. sabathia tonight. the phil's roy haliday faces wolf. >> it looks flat out there in this series. you've seen the blackout webs you've seat the whiteouts and we're going to plaid out. >> the rays manager wants everyone to wear plaid to the game. back in august, plaid was worn. the rays are mad for plaid. i think being around all those retirement homes is wearing off on them. that's your early look at sports on "early today." i'm fred roggin. >> "early today" sports is brought to you by just for men hair color. live forward. well, is mtv reviving a fan favorite with justin bieber as host? your early morning entertainment headlines are straight ahead. plus, with the weight of the world and his party's future squarely on his shoulders, the president shows his sense of humor is doing just fine. you're watching "early today." welcome back on this wednesday morning. this rain is going to move up through eastern new england. it will go up into boston, then new hampshire and vermont later today. the rest of the middle of the country, the southeast, even the mid-atlantic today will look for a nice day. watch out for more rain showers moving through arizona today. phoenix, amazing yesterday. the hail and the thunderstorms, you just don't get that type of weather. they will look better for you on thursday. much of the east looks nice on thursday, too. that storm system pulls out of the new england. if you're watching us on wxii 12 in winston salem, north carolina, enter the world of artwork that will trip your senses. look again at the southeastern sensor contemporary art. that's your event of the day on "early today." >> bill, thank you. now here's a look at this morning's headlines in entertainment. several big hollywood projects and actors are making news this week. despite widespread reports that easy a's red headed star would play red-headed spider-man interest mary watson in the latest upcoming flick, she's instead going to play blond haired love interest gwenn stacey. tom hanks is close to becoming the first cast member to sign up for "sleeping dogs." that's the follow up to the "hurt locker." allen alda fans will get to see the former mash star in two upcoming films. elsewhere, a pistol whipping battery lawsuit against michael bay against a club in which the actor wasn't even present has been dropped. the lawyer who brought the suit has issued a written apology. finally, reports say mtv is bringing back the celebrity prank show pumped with justin bieber as host. i hope we're not being punked with that report. >> yeah. it's not going to be the same. that was revolutionary when they first had that punk thing, and now -- >> ashton kutcher. that's some big shoes to fill. >> i'm waiting fo for bieber's 15 minutes to be over. now to the nation's capital that proved even the commander in chief isn't immune to the occasional set malfunction. >> we cannot sustain -- oops. was that my -- oh, goodness. that's all right. all of you know who i am. >> the president was addressing an audience of fortune magazine's 00 most powerful women conference when that fell from the podium. they joke about it and moved on, but not before chuckling that someone backstage was probably sweating bullets. they probably were, but it helps that the president was laughing about it. i'm lynn berry and this is "early today," just your first stop of the day today on your nbc station. >> live, local, late-breaking, this is wbal-tv 11 news today in hd. >> good morning, everyone. there is a little bit of rain to contend with this morning. you will probably see a light rain shower activity from time to time. you cannot see these -- you can see scattered nature. we will see mostly cloudy and there will be a chance for some rain shower with temperatures may be near 60 degrees. we will check the seven-day forecast coming up in just a few minutes. i think you will like that better. >> thank you. 51 degrees on tv hill. here's a look ahead to 11 news today. >> it is a battle that pits freeze speech against privacy rights. arguments begin at the supreme court today. >> lawsuits are filed alleging medical negligence. details are next. >> right now we're looking at a wet start. wet start. we will let you kno four years ago, bob ehrlich got fired as governor of maryland. for good reason. first, he protected tax loopholes for giant cable cable companies. then, he let utilities jack up our rates 72%. and for the last four years, he worked as a hired gun for big corporations, even a bank that took billions from a taxpayer funded bailout. ehrlich sides with corporate executives again and again and again tell bob ehrlich big banks and billionares don't need help. middle class marylanders do. my dad is the supervisor of a train station and my mom's a teacher. my dad's an auto technician. my mom's a receptionist. i'm not sure i would have been able to afford college without the tuition freeze. while tuition in other states is rising out of reach... governor o'malley made the tough choice to freeze tuition. he made my dream of going to college into a reality. i'm the first in my family to go to college. my brother and i never would have been able to afford college. even though times were tough... governor o'malley kept his promise. there's never a doubt... there's never a doubt whose side he's on. martin o'malley... moving maryland forward. [captioning made possible by constellation energy group] captioned by the national captioning institute --www.ncicap.org-- >> live, local, late-breaking, this is wbal-tv 11 news today in hd. >> good morning. i am mindy basara. >> and i am stan stovall. thank you for joining us this morning. >> tony pann has a quick look at today's forecast. another one of those mornings i was warm and toasty. >> its
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