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era right now where we're running national elections. this election is going to come down to a handful of states, a few battleground states and the nominees who advance to the general election where the battleground states matter will need to get through places like iowa. and right now the polls in iowa are not telling us very much. i will say, though, that the polls in iowa have never really been useful for the horse race element of it very far out. i mean we know that this is a place where they love a late-surging candidate. i mean the person who is in the lead in august, september, october often is not the winner of the caucuses. you see people like ted cruz, john kerry all making their late breaks and becoming the winners of the iowa caucuses. so i mean it's an interesting measure, these polls here, in terms of what they kind of tell you about the mood of iowa

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