zbli? >> i think that's reasonable. prufrp is probably 47%. he won his first term with 46.1% and losing the popular vote by 2.1. the reality for democrats is they're only continuing to add support in california which is utterly useless to them. they're continuing to cut the margin in texas, but probably not by enough to make it a key tipping point state in 2020. if i really to narrow it down, i would continue to say that the two most valuable states, the two closest to the tipping point are wisconsin and arizona. joe, i was in wisconsin last week talking to a lot of dairy farmers in green bay. even the few democrats in that room told me that impeachment was simply not on the minds of people in their communities. they didn't -- they didn't see it affecting their daily lives and that even though tariffs were hitting them badly, that voters weren't making the connection to donald trump's responsibility for their economic plight. democrats need to spend money