Michigan, having a look at that now. Look how squeaky tight that is. Donald trump just ahead of Hillary Clinton in michigan. Arizona, still considered by cbs news to be a tossup. Donald trump slightly ahead. Now lets have a look at nevada. Nevada is leaning, in our estimate, toward Hillary Clinton. But not by a great deal. And new and Hillary Clinton essentially tied there. It is a tossup. This is a review of the 13 battleground states at the beginning of the night might have gone either way. The red states have gone for trump, the blue for Hillary Clinton. And those remaining states you see right there in all but one of them, donald trump has a lead but its a slender lead, and yet, he does not need much. Hold on ufs just looking in about mitt romney won that 63 to 35 in 2012. So in pennsylvania, where its very close, youve got a county that looks like its out, nothings been reported yet. That should be a strong county for republicans. Pelley and by out you mean it hasnt been reported yet. Yes, yes. All right, in nevada, we have a call. Cbs news projects Hillary Clinton will win nevada when all of the votes are counted. This is a state that the Clinton Campaign felt strongly they would do well in, in part because of the early vote and the sizable hispanic population. But nevada has just six electoral votes. But that puts her within 55 of 270. Are you good at math, bob schieffer. 55 and one more we can cross off the list. We are now down to five battleground states. Able to call who is the 45th president of the United States. We should check in with our correspondents who have been covering these two candidates for more than a year. Lets check in first with Major Garrett who has been covering the Trump Campaign. Major, it sounds look a celebratory mood there. Yeah, theyre feeling very, very good here at the Trump Campaign headquarters. Youll probably hear ripples of applause behind me as various projections come through. Certainly, t circle feels better than they felt the entire night. They see numerous paths to 270 to make donald trump the next president elect of the United States. I will tell you this in the last week to week and a half, everyone associated in the inner circle of Donald Trumps campaign told me the following, that if this breaks, if there is a collective sense that donald trump is the change agent, that the country says it wants, it will break late, and it will break consistently throughout all of the narrow states. And it wont necessarily be polling data. It was that central hunch, ive called it the great hunch repeatedly on cbsn, that is beginning to be borne out by the votes of americans in all or nearly all of the battleground states. That there would be this psychological sense that it was worth taking the chance on donald trump as not only an agent of change, but someone who would bring a stronger sense of leadership dealing with terrorism, dealing with the global economy, meaning word i heard over and over on the campaign trail, disrupt the washington order. That appears to be whats going on. The sense that that collective psychology might take hold appears to be on the target. Major garrett, thank you. It is late into the night. Nancy cordes hes been at the clinton watch party. And, nancy what, is the mood like there . Reporter norah, its like all the air has been sucked out of the room, and everyone is holding their breath. Would be coming down to a state like wisconsin. And heres why. Back in 2012, president obama won that state by seven points. In 2008, he won it by 14 points. Michigan, another state thats too close to call right now, president obama won in 2012 by 10 points. And just for fun, i was looking back at some of the articles that have been in wisconsin newspapers in the past few days sosee what they were saying about this race, and get a load of this headlinom today,Hillary Clinton hoping to win wisconsin without setting foot in the state. The article says it was shes the First Major Party nominee not to visit the state during the general election since 1972. The fact that it is so close tells me two things. First of all, that trade was an even bigger issue in some of these midwestern states than the Clinton Campaign believed. And this was one of Donald Trumps signature issues. Probably didnt believe that their own state was a battleground state. They may have grown complacent because the Clinton Campaign wasnt treating wisconsin like a battleground state. A lot of voters may have thought that they didnt need to, either. All right, nancy cordes. Thank you. We should take a look at the toorm map right now, because donald trump leadses with 244 electoral vote. Hillary clinton has 215 electoral just 26 vote away from the presidency. Weve still got five states on the map. It could still go either way. I can just throw this on the table, regardless of how this turns out tonight, as you point out, bob, as weve all said, it could go either way, shouldnt he be congratulated or Somebody Just say what hes done is extraordinary. The fact that it started with 17 candidates. Its now Election Night. After midnight, we still dont know how this is going to turn out. If you were a supporter of donald trump, or he wasnt your candidate, what hes accomplished is extraordinary. Extraordinary. Pelley its a remarkable feat. Few of the pollsters would have expected anything like this. I dont know any pollster that predicted this. Pelley ion of the washington elites week expected this, and yet he has essentially what he said he would do. Is this, scott, is this a victory for the Republican Party or is this a victory for some new party . Is this the victory for the trump party . I mean, where does the Republican Party go . We talking about if trump lost, would the Republican Party survive . Well, the Republican Party david brooks had a column in the New York Times today calling for a new party. Calling for a new party. There will be some who see a parade in front of which they now want to run and will try to join in. And there were those who tried to keep their distance from donald trump, who will now join in. And he will, if he becomes the president , if this roll he is on continues, he will need the help of other republicans. What about the Democratic Party . Is the Democratic Party going to survive this . Its not like theyve had great years lately. Pelley donald trump will be the leader of tub his own image, if he chooses to. It will be interesting. It will certainly abe different Republican Party than weve known about in the past. Starting with it will me longer be a party for free trayd trade. He thinks of it as more than a party. He thinks of it as a movement. He compared himself to brexit. Yes. Pelley as you might imagine, social media is on fire tonight, and our Elaine Quijano is keeping up with that. Draintheswamp. Deplorable josh tweets. Ive never been more proud to be a deplorable. I i think all my fellow deplorables, drain the swamp. Election night. Another one, also from a trump supporter tweets, the silent majority stands with donald trump. Drain the swamp. We have one from an account, democrats for trump. The establishment is drain the swamp. Lock them all up. At the same time, we have others tweeting under the hashtag america is over party. One of them reading, if you voted trump. You voted trump. If you voted third party. You voted trump. If you didnt vote, you voted trump. So, scott and norah, just a sampling of some of the reactions that were seeing right now over social media. All right, Elaine Quijano. We are waiting on calls in a john, what state are you looking at . Remember when i was talking about Lebanon County being out, meaning the votes had not been counted yet there in pennsylvania. It was once a 2,000person race. Donald trump was ahead by 2,000 votes. Hes now ahead by 26,000 votes. Lebanon has come in. Pelley he is beginning to pull away, john, as you say in pennsylvania. And he is now leading in the remaining five states. He only needs two or three to win the presidency tonight. And we will be following that for you, and we will break in at any moment that we are able to make an estimate about one of these remaining states. But in the meantime, russia has come up again and again in this campaign. The Clinton Campaign accusing russia of hacking their Democratic National can committee emails and the like. And so we sent our elizabeth reaction to the election there. Liz. Reporter good morning. Well, the suns just come up here in moscow. And russians are getting out of bed to discover that donald trump has a plausible path to the white house. Thats going to go down very well here. People generally think of trump as a man that russia can cobusiness with. Hes called nato obsolete, and has leadership style. And so russians, who would like better relation wgz the world, they want an end to sanctions, hope this may lead to less aggression between russia and the u. S. Now, the kremlin, you can probably see the kremlin towers behind me, president putin and his insiders probably up all night watching the results come in. President putin is a pragmatist, and he has made it clear he will these results bring some kind of discord in the United States because basically, he still sees the owz as an opponent, and anything that weakens it, strengthens the kremlin. Scott, norah. Pelley Elizabeth Palmer in moscow for us tonight. Bob schieffer, did you ever think youd hear that . Well, i can tell you, i havent had time to do a survey yet, but i think moscow is going to be one of the few places this isnt going to enthusiasm. I think its going to create a lot of worry in the capitals of the world. I think the japanese are going to theyre going to theyre going to wonder what happens next . Can they count on the United States . I think south korea is going to have problem about this. And all across western europe. This this is going to come as a surprise around the world. Perhaps what about the middle east . Well, yeah, i wouldnt even know how to assess that. Syria, but well see where this goes. Pelley we dont want to venture very far from the electoral map. Let us show you again. This is exactly where the race stands right now. Donald trump very close to being the 45th president of the United States, with 244 electoral votes, 270 needed to win. Hillary clinton at 215. There are five swing states still out, and donald trump is leading by tiny margins in all five. In particular, which has been the keystone state and a key part of her strategy in order to win the presidency, it appears now that he is opening up a bit of a lead in pennsylvania. John, can Hillary Clinton win without pennsylvania . No. I mean, not especially not the way michigan and wisconsin are going. The problem for Hillary Clinton in pennsylvania is the big area wheres she can get her vote big areas. Did she under perform obama in philadelphia . All the talk was if she ran up the vote tally essentially in philadelphia, which is why she had that huge rally there with jon bon jovi, with Bruce Springsteen, the president of the United States, the first lady, was to energize that because pennsylvania has no early vote. Barack obama got 557,000 votes, she got 2,000 votes more than barack obama. And so she didnt she did better than she did better in some of those counties. So, yes, it looks like she did not do big increase on what he had done. Pelley the presidency in the balance. Stay with us. We will be back in just a moment re. But today theres entresto . A breakthrough medicine that can help make more tomorrows possible. Tomorrow, i want to see teddy bait his first hook. In the largest Heart Failure study ever, entresto . Was proven to help more people stay alive and out of the hospital than a leading heart women who are pregnant must not take entresto . It can cause harm or death to an unborn baby. Dont take entresto . With an ace inhibitor or or aliskiren. If youve had angioedema while taking an ace or arb medicine, dont take entresto . The most serious side effects are angioedema, low blood pressure, kidney problems, or high potassium in your blood. Tomorrow, im gonna step out with my favorite girl. Ask your heart doctor about entresto . And help make the gift constipated . Trust number one doctor recommended dulcolax use dulcolax tablets for gentle overnight relief suppositories for relief in minutes and stool softeners for comfortable relief of hard stools. Dulcolax, designed for dependable relief im lucky to get through a shift without a disaster. My bargain detergent couldnt keep up. So, i switched to tide pods. Theyre super concentrated, so i get a better clean. Tide. Number one rated. [ crowd noise ] whoa. [ gears stopping ] when your pain reliever stops working, your whole day stops. Try this. But just one aleve has the strength to stop pain for 12 hours. Tylenol and advil can quit after 6. So live your whole day, not part. Pelley back now with Election Night on cbs. Sunshine weve been away, nothing has changed. laughter but it will. Pelley lets have a look at the electoral vote now. Distance. Five swing states are still up for grabs, and donald trump is leading by slight margins in all five. John dickerson, as you go through the exit poll information and all the vote coming in, how did he do it . Well, im still looking at that, scott. Its in different ways in different states. He you know, part of it is that if you look at a state like pennsylvania, barack obama 13 of the electorate in 2012 was African American pennsylvania. So now its only 10 . So Hillary Clintons vote didnt turn out a little. His vote did turn out. Then youve got in florida, North Carolina, youve got gary johnson, the libertarian candidate, got 7 of the vote, took some of the Millennial Vote, which was up in North Carolina, but because johnson was taking it, Hillary Clinton, it looks like didnt grab as much of the Millennial Vote in that close state. In florida, Hillary Clintons strength with suburban excuse voters did not exist. Donald trump beat her with that group by 20 point. Whereas in a state like pennsylvania, shes up by 20 points with collegeeducated white women. Its a bit of some of it is idiosyncratic to the state, but basically in the rural areas he boosted his support i think there are two big factors. The hispanic vote . I think there are two big factors here. The first factor is seven out of 10 voters are angry, dissatisfied, sick of government. Number one age group, blacks, hispanics, independents, she underperformed barack obama. So the Clinton Campaign had talked about that she would build a new kind of coalition, different than the Obama Coalition. It is a different coalition. And she wasnt able to replicate the Obama Coalition of 2012. Pelley i was talking to African American voters in cleveland, and i said, do you feel the enthusiasm that you did for obama . But i dont feel the groundswell. Which is why president obama made such a push to black voarpts in a personal appeal saying you have knot to get out and vote. Charlie rose is with the political analysis. Were with lesley san chelz, and ruth marcus of the washington post. This is more than a national election. Absolutely. Talking to a lot of folks, certainly in the Republican Party, they feel this is an ic event, especially when you combine it with brexit, which was very much a big part of Donald Trumps argument. Hes also talking about the fact and norah was talk this in the bug cities you saw the democratic machine turn out but we whatwe see now is an avalanche of rural voters, small cities, the suburbs, the exushes that turned out in a bag way for donald trump, and nobody really saw that wave coming. Theres a saying that ideas i think in this election, you had two very controversial people. And ultimately, you saw the motivating factor for Hillary Clintons voters, among the Barack Obamas constituencies, the younger voters, minority communities, et cetera, not be as much of a motivating factosh as the motivation of Trump Supporters, both for him and against her. Ruth. I know you dont want to hear this word, but im going to have to say recount. It could be donald trump wins tonight and Hillary Clinton concedes, but i close in enough state, its very possible we could enter the 2016 version of a recount, which is recounting provisional ballots. It probably is not going to happen but it definitely could. Ben, i have to go to break. Well be right back. More from cbs news election ask your doctor if 24hour breo could be a missing piece for you. See if youre eligible for 12 months free at mybreo. Com. Liberty mutual stood with me liberty did what . Yeah, with Liberty Mutual all i needed to do to get an estimate was snap a photo of the damage and voila voila sigh i wish my Insurance Company had that. Wait hold it. Hold it boys. Theres supposed to be three of you. Wheres your brother . Wheres your brother . Hey, wheres charlie . Charlie . you can leave worry behind when liberty stands with you. Liberty stands with you . Liberty Mutual Insurance with hotels. Coms rewards program for every 10 nights you stay, you get one free. Which is great for families. Finally whatever captain obvious. Hotels. Com. Great for families. Pelley its Election Night on cbs. Lets go right to the board that shows us where the race is right now. This is the electoral vote. Hillary clinton 215, donald trump 244. He is well within striking distance of becoming the 45th president of the United States. This is the popular vote. Donald trump leading the popular vote by about 1 million vote. Election night on cbs. On cbs and we are back. We are watching five state that are going to tell us who the next president of the United States will be. Arizona, michigan, New Hampshire, pennsylvania, and wisconsin, all too close to call. Arizona and wisconsin are both leaning toward donald trump. Those two will not get him to 270. Hell need one of the other remaining states, but certainly, he has a much easier path now to the white house than Hillary Clinton. He does, indeed. And i think one of the first states to look at is pennsylvania because thats still the biggest prize still left on the map with 20 and you can see that the margin in that state has widened a bit in Donald Trumps favor. Why is that, john . What counties are coming in . Its basically because, again, of that that Lebanon County, which hadnt which wasnt counted at all, and now hes up there by 20,000 votes. Thats part of it. And then you add in all those little counties, and his margin is strong there, and for Hillary Clinton. The only thing thats really in, is bucks county. And thats one where there are only 84 of the vote is in from there but shes only beating him by 2,000 vote. Can she win without pennsylvania now . I dont believe so, no. No. No. Well, again, bob, it depend if she lose michigan and wisconsin. If she loses michigan and arizona, and New Hampshire . Does that do it . Who, Hillary Clinton . No. No, donald trump. Donald trump only needs 26 votes. So therefore wisconsin is 10, arizona is 21, and New Hampshire would be arizona is 11. Thats 21, and he would need New Hampshire on top of that. Which is. Four. So 25. Its still hes still got to rack up a number of votes there, and thats why pennsylvania is so key because prize. Its a big vote prize of 20 electoral votes. But interestingly, as you know, we have shown you multiple times throughout the night our decision desk. We have a team of people over there that right now that are crunching every single number, and we are trying to be so careful. This because it this election is so close. We dont want to make a call without making sure all of the counties come in at the same time. Remember, people vote the vote being extremely meticulous about that. We take this responsibility very seriously he were at cbs news. And so weve got the best people working on it. You wouldnt believe the amount of numbers on these screens that they are crunching to making sure that the right call is made. But the counties that are outstanding, john, in pennsylvania, are they leaning more towards donald trump or Hillary Clinton . No, theyre leaning well, the ones, again, as i say bucks county is the only one that seems as i twirl through here. Most of the big blue counties that would be her mongomry, delaware, philadelphia, theyre 98 in. Bucks is the only one in that mix thats not in. Its 84 but thats not a big vote getter for her. Melania trump made one stop after the convention, after being accused of plagarizing michelle obama, was it Chester County . Is donald trump winning Chester County . Zeal that answer right after , pelley in the west, it is Election Night on cbs. In the east, it is election morning on cbs. It has been a long night, a fascinating night. Donald trumps night, so far. Let us show you the electoral map. Donald trump well within striking distance of becoming 45thre states. Hillary clinton with 215 electoral votes, donald trump with 244. The red states for trump, blue states for clinton. The white states are those we have not been able to make an estimate because the race is too close to call. The polls have just closed in the last state, and that is in alaska. But while these states that you see in white are too close to all five. This is something from the exit poll. 73 of voters say they made up their mind over a month ago which means the access Hollywood Tape made very little difference, neither did the f. B. I. Hillary clinton email controversy. So seems the cake was already baked. If you were for Hillary Clinton or donald trump a month ago, its still that. There was so much speculation campaigns, switching peoples minds, that doesnt seem to be the case. Everyone at home has their note pads doing the math to the different path to victory. Lets go to the states to give everyone the latest tally in those states weve yet to call. Well start first with the battlegrounds which we can show you there. One state not on this battleground and ill tell you that in a moment. Battlegrounds tonight. Pennsylvania, 97 of the vote in the biggest electoral prize still left there. Michigan, donald trump has a slight lead there. Wisconsin, Hillary Clinton did not visit the state since the primary, donald trump did, spent money there, it benefited him. Arizona, Hillary Clinton, the gold water girl originally hoped to make a play there but donald arizona. New hampshire at this hour a tossup. Those are the states still left on the map. The one state weve not talked about in a bit as we were all trying to do the math here is New Hampshire. Another one of these states that the Clinton Campaign had felt comfortable about, had assumed it was in the democratic column, but at this hour, as you can see, right here, this is a i remember a conversation with john and he said he talked to the trump people and said why are you going to minnesota . Again, in the stories we look back on this campaign, the trump people had a different set of data. It was consumerrelated data. It was not sort of the normal state of the art political polling, and a lot of the people in the republican circles who looked at the trump polling and their method thought, you know, its not the same when youre selling a Consumer Product as well, it turns out that the trump people knew something with their special black box of assessing the world, they figured out who their voters were and they figured out how to get to them and it looks like theyre getting to them. Kellyanne conway was just here this morning when we were all here however many hours ago and she said one of the story lines of this campaign will be about how many nonpolitical experts were involved in the Trump Campaign. Worked on a president ial campaign before, pollsters who didnt predict this would happen, that traditional class of consultants and pollsters made a lot of money on these contests winning and losing for their candidates. We still dont know anything about maine. There are four electoral votes up there and the polls just closed in alaska. Lets dont forget old alaska up those might matter. It might matter. One to have the themes of this campaign has been kind of outsider populist versus the elites. Well, thats the message part but its also grew the campaign in the way it was run, were going to do it our different way, were not listening to the specialists and experts, though they used some from the Republican National committee, but it was an outsider campaign. Experts, you cant get more special and expert than the clinton machine. Right. What does this say if comes down for Hillary Clinton and donald trump, what does this say went wrong in h her campaign if it doesnt turn out her way this evening . If were taking just about the Clinton Campaign its got to be the democrats were not excited about her and they did everything they could with the stateoftheart, but another cliche of politics they say the ground game and structure is have to get within a field goal. And she has the backing of a president with high approval rates at this time. Thats right and we havent seen a connection between an incumbent and challenger like this, even bush and reagan didnt campaign the way these two did. I just think that outsider versus insider and those insiders who make a living trying to predict the turnout of the vote are scratching their heads saying they got this totally wrong. Will get rewritten. If my math is right, there is now 67 votes still on the board, still in play here. She needs 55. He needs 26. That shows you how close it is. Nobody campaigned harder for Hillary Clinton in many of these swing states in recent weeks than president obama and margaret brennan, is at the white house for us tonight, margaret. Well, a crowd gathered here, scott, but the silence from the white house is president obama argued that the very fate of the republic, his words, hinged on this election, and he was on the stump for his successor more than any other president in modern history. Donald trump, a man ehe called uniquely unfit for office, is going to deal obamas historic presidency a serious blow. Clintonen promised she would protect his significant months, pledged to undertake immigration reform, roll out environmental protections and defend that landmark nuclear deal with iran which trump says hes going to tear up. Supreme Court Nominee Merrick Garland doesnt look like hell get confirmed, leaving us with a commit supreme court. Trump said hell renegotiate obamas free trade deal with asia and other alliances so this will make it very difficult monday reassure allies that america will stand by their defense particularly considering that trump has made friendly overtures to russia. How is he going to explain this pledge to possibly start a trade deal with china . So this is going to be really difficult for the white house to explain away in the light of day. But president obama said before the polls closed that when the sun rises, america will still be the greatest nation on earth. This kind of result. Pelley margaret, sounds like and looks like there is a really large crowd around the white house. Whats going on . Reporter well, scott, there has been a crowd gathering over the past few hours and its gotten much, much larger just in the past 30 minutes or so, and you have seen more secret service move towards that front gate of the white house just trying to protectively get things under control or watch for any threats. Youve got a mix youve got black lives matter chants, antidonald trump chants, pro hillary chants, red, white and blue balloons, some singing the american anthem and other patriotic sounds earlier. So its hard to, in many ways, pull through the gate exactly where sentiment is. It sounds just as confused as many of the political experts have been in predicting this outcome. Going to be a new resident in the most splen did of all Public Housing in america there on pennsylvania avenue. It will be interesting to see the world reaction to this result tonight, however it goes down. Especially i think people will be surprised its gone so down to the wire. Secretary kerry was saying the other day parts of this election have been downright embarrassing. I do think its important to point out this hour, it is 1 and the reason weve not made a call is because this race is so close in so many of these states. And can still go either way. It can still go either way. And while donald trump has had a very good night, were still looking very closely at a number of these counties that are coming in and we want to bring you all that data as it becomes available to us. It could go either way but there are more ways for donald trump than Hillary Clinton. Yes, if youre donald trump and looking at pennsylvania, numbers are growing in your favor in those states, and if you couple that with what has happened tonight, you know, the momentum of the moment is with him. So you would rather be donald trump in this scenario. And hes leading in the popular vote as well. Yeah. Now, as we talk about all these things, i want to remind you who are watching us right now that the moment any one of these states can be estimated in the favor of one candidate or were doing, we will tell you instantly, you will be the first to know. Having said that, charlie rose has some insightful panelists for us to listen to right now. Charlie . Michael gertz, peggy of the wall street journal and frank luntz. Frank, what do you think . This is inconceivable five or six hours ago. First, all exit polling should be banned. Table on state after state after state, the 5 00 p. M. The second wave got it wrong. Second, there is still a hidden trump vote. People who refuse to tell pollsters who they voted for will not acknowledge it and i think they will come out of the woodwork tonight. Third, how do you address the anger . Those are the people who want to tear up, blow up washington. Theyre going to have to figure out a way to work with them, with the house, the senate. This will be the most your belief is trump has won . Es, ive had a chance to look at the counties, i believe trump will be the next president. I think there are, keep this in mind, tens of millions of americans tonight who are experiencing this evening not only as a political event and an historical event, but as a spiritual event. They feel grateful, they feel establishment that has richly earned a rebuke in 25 different ways. Spoke to a friend of mine, major trump supporter this evening, i just spoke to him, i said, how did you react when you realized this was going to happen . Hes a tough, hardboiled guy, he said it was 9 00 p. M. And i burst into tears. He said, this is really going to be something, but he said, its the right thing we are certain, and leave it there. We often i when the focus was on donald trump, his numbers were down, when the focus was on Hillary Clinton, her numbers went down. My question at this hour of this election day, was this a victory for trump or a loss for Hillary Clinton . Was it about trump or clinton . Well, i think its hard to argue that this isnt a victory for trump. His people came out in the right an extraordinary upset, one of the largest in American History. The largest political upset in American History if we goes on to win this . Certainly. Biggest since 1948. I have to add this is also a validation of a certain kind of politics, more cruel, more ruthless, more personal than any ive seen in my lifetime. He has a huge burden if he wins this election to do some form of outreach to say that this is a know, groups to attack in that way. I dont know if hes capable of that, but every president has that and this president more than others. If he wins its not only the biggest political upset of our memory but is it also the most transformative election because of who he was, how he campaigned and what he did . I think thats fair. On foreign policy, this is a total change from the reagan foreign policy. I mean, it is a removal its almost like kicking away from the past 15 years. And his supporters, i must say, you said trump said he would do this and it is a remarkable thing. His supporters, too, all along, said they were going to accomplish what they accomplished tonight. It is quite an achievement. But the problem is, ive talked to his supporters a lot in the last they want revenge. They dont want cooperation and compromise. What does revenge mean . They want to get even with the people in washington and wall street to did them down. What do you mean . Ith the politician who is didnt listen, with tabis who sent jobs to foreign countries, get even with a society who they think has turned against them. They think theyve lost america and want it back. The trump government. The Dow Jones Futures are going down and down with great concern of what it means. It does feel like brexit. Its a very similar turning of the establishment and then the financial establishment quaking and quivering. Well see what follows that. He wont be able to populate his government with loyalists. Hes need republicans to do this. People like senator secretary of state that would be reassuring, he could make moves like that. Whats the possibility this election will be challenged and have months and month of well, well see what kind of a margin were looking at at the end of the night. If this is close, close, close, looks to me like there may be movement in theiary of questioning certain state outcomes. If it seems for definitive than that, i would think it appropriate that it be accepted, although mrs. Clinton is not someone shes like trump in that neither of them would be quick to do a concession speech. So well see how that goes. This is not about them, this is about their voters and their voters are going to protest. We see it tonight in front of the white house. Mark my words, tomorrow those protests will grow. Let me turn it over to scott. As we try to find out are we any way closer to a decision we go to scott at the decision desk. Pelley this is the of americas best political scientists and stat tigs and statisticians and vote counters and they are looking at the last few states that are going to make a difference and this is under the direction of anthony salvanto, our director of elections here at cbs. Anthony, when we were here about an hour ago, the board looked just like this. Just like that. Why dont we know what the here, scott. It is down to figuring out just how many absentee ballots there are left around detroit and in wayne county, places where Hillary Clinton has been doing okay, but if shes going to catch donald trump who has a slight lead in the total vote, they will have to to be made up in there. Hes doing better than republicans typically do in counties all around it. Pelley and in the remaining states in the upper midwest . Yeah, its a similar storyn around milwaukee, were hearing reports that there are still ballots outstanding, not everything has been counted in and around milwaukee, that is critical. As you see, Hillary Clinton is winning there. The only question is, are there more ballots there that can help her catch up. Pelley winning in Milwaukee County but not the state of wisconsin overall. But not in the state of wisconsin. This is still relatively close for the state if the rest of this is a story weve told all night, which is the turnout is so high throughout so many of these states that not everyone knows exactly how many ballots are still outstanding. Pelley now, weve talked about an historic high turnout in florida. Mmhmm. Pelley have you also seen historymaking turnouts in other states or do we know yet . Yes, there has been high turnout but i tell you it favors donald trump in that the turnout has been higher in more rural where his voters have been strong. Its not so much a pattern where people are swinging as it is relative to the turnout Hillary Clinton got in her strongholds. Pelley youre seeing a massive turnout of his voters and thats why the math looks like it does right now . Yep. Pelley what do you have to have in order to make estimates in the remaining states . The ballots that are remaining. You have to have the rest of those sounds so that once we can say where a state is going at this point, its less about models and patterns as it is about a raw vote, when it gets down to tend of the night an its this close. So once they say, okay, thats it, were done counting, thats where you can call the state. Pelley what is the path for Hillary Clinton to win at this point . How is that possible . Well, shell have to hang on to be extremely narrow if she does, and then all of these states up here. Pelley she will have to sweep them . Shell have to sweep them. Pelley donald trump . What are his paths. Donald trump has a lot of paths. We expect not all the votes are counted in arizona but he has a slight lead there, then he would just need one or two of these other states where they have the slim lead. Once they finish counting, if he hangs on to the lead, he would much easier with Hillary Clinton. Donald trump with 244. 270 needed to win. Well within striking distance of being the 45th president of the United States. Back with the latest vote total information on Election Night on cbs. Cbs. Want longer lasting heartburn relief . Try. Duo fusion duo fusion goes to work in seconds and lasts up to 12 hours. Tums only lasts up to 3. For longer lasting relief. In one chewable tablet try duo fusion from the makers of zantac if youve gone to extremes to escape your nasal allergies. Try clarispray. From the makers of claritin. Clarispray provides 24hour, prescription strength relief from sneezing, runny nose, and nasal congestion. Return to the world. Try clarispray today. . My hero zero. . . Such a funny little hero . . But till you came along . . And nobody really knows. . Zero really can be a hero. Get zero down, zero deposit, zero due at signing, and zero first months payment. On select volkswagen models. Right now at the volkswagen sign then drive event. Question, are my teeth yellow . Have you tried the tissue test . Ugh yellow. What do you use . Crest whitestrps. Test. Oh yeah. Crest whitestrips are the way to whiten. Whats going on here . Im val, the orange money retirement squirrel from voya. Were putting away acorns. You know, to show the importance of saving for the future. So youre sort of like a Spokes Person . More of a spokes metaphor. This is the closest president ial election ive covered and i did cover the 2012 president ial election. In a number of states, close vote tallies. Anthony mason, what are we witnessing tonight . We want to look at the exit polls to see what the recipe is for motivating trump voters, and you could kind of if you remember the 1976 film network and howard and not going to take it anymore, its that kind of coalition because 38 of voters told us theyre angry at the federal government, 93 said the country is on the wrong track. 77 said the fight with i. S. I. S. Is going badly. 57 said trade is taking jobs away. I remember going back a decade and covering the economy hearing middle class voters in ohio telling me they felt washington protected the rich and poor and forgot about them and in the that is a recipe for anger norah. Anthony mason, thank you. If i could follow up on what anthony said, one of the things that united the trump voters is 77 said they want that wall, something he announced on the first ride down the escalator 500plus days ago, they want the wall. And whos going to pay for it . Mexico. And then as we witnessed in the debate, Hillary Clinton challenged him on whether trump had the guts to bring it up, with the president of mexico, as to who would pay for thewell. We have more information ahead. Well take you inside the battleground states we have yet to call, also why some are calling it a tossup, has to do with absentee ballots in some of the main cities of the night continues at 1 24 in the morning. There you go. Pelley its Election Night. Election morning on the east on cbs tonight. We are still waiting for an estimate in swing states that are going to make the determination tonight. Thlu New Hampshire, wisconsin, pennsylvania, donald trump has a small lead in five of those. He only needs to pick up two, maybe three depending on the state. He has many more paths to victory than Hillary Clinton does at this point. Lets go inside some of these states, in particular. Want to go first to pennsylvania. Again, the largest prize still left on the electoral map, 20 clintons path to victory. She needs this donald trump feeds to pick it off if he wants to win. She had her biggest crowd in pennsylvania last night with the president of the United States, the first lady, Bruce Springsteen and jon bon jovi, the biggest crowd throughout the whole campaign in pennsylvania. Were talking about 60,000 votes give or take with 97 of the vote the reason we call it a tossup is because there are a number of absentee ballots from around the philadelphia area that have not been counted at this hour. And they just dont know how many and how big that could be, that hole could be and whether that could get her close to the 60. Do they know if theyre from a certain area . I think theyre from that area which is a big area for Hillary Clinton which is what the pause is because that county, has 560,000 votes to Donald Trumps 100,000. So thats a very strong Hillary Clinton county. The total vote in pennsylvania counted is about 5. 8 million votes and, as we mentioned, a razorthin margin there for donald trump. Now, looking at the popular vote, which, of course, doesnt matter, its the electoral vote that matters, but looking at the popular vote, donald trump is been really throughout the night, and hes ahead by about 1. 3 million voters. 55 million for donald trump, 53 million and almost 54 million for Hillary Clinton. Lets go through another some of these key states that weve talked about tonight, particularly wisconsin and minnesota. Wisconsin, a state we mentioned the home state of the republican speaker of the house, paul ryan, Hillary Clinton hasnt been there since the primary and looks like donald trump swept through the back door . Looks like she left the back door open in wisconsin and michigan. Minnesota looks like at the moment shes ahead by about 70,000 votes in minnesota. So that may not be on her worry list, but thats quite a long worry list, already, with michigan and wisconsin and pennsylvania out there, and thats, you know, those are strong rural votes that donald trump turned hes won. I think, too, we can be talking about whether we would be up all night, whether we will have a tie, the possibility of 269 versus 269. All of that ahead as we continue our cbs news Election Night ,, pelley its Election Night on cbs and we are watching these final vote totals coming in. If you didnt vote today because you thought your vote wouldnt count, how wrong you were in many of lets have a look at the electoral vote board as the race stands right now, Hillary Clinton 215 electoral votes, donald trump 244. That hasnt changed lately because the states you see in white are so close we cannot even estimate who the winner is going to be yet. We are watching the last vote going to have to rely on in order to tell you who has won them. But we can say at this point in the five swing states, donald trump does have a small knew nuc lead in all of those. He is knocking on the door of 1600 pennsylvania avenue and it could be pennsylvania that puts him over the top. If you have aoo there, donald trump with 2. 8 million votes, Hillary Clinton 2. 7 million votes. It doesnt get a whole lot closer than that, folks. Now here is wisconsin, also, a very close result. Lets have a look at the battlegrounds in their entirety. There were 13 states at the ebeginning of at the states that were going to decide the election. The ones marked in red are the ones weve estimated will go to donald trump, the ones in blue Hillary Clinton and the ones not colored are the states outstanding. John dickerson, how has donald trump done this . Hes done it by running up the score in the rural parts of america, in the parts when we first met with donald trump back in 2015 in his office he said basically it was pretty s that mitt romney couldnt turn out in the conservative base at the he knew was there and he knew he would be able to turn out and he did. Pelley the conventional wisdom sorry, gayle is what the Republican Party must do in order to win is bring in women, africanamericans, latinos, and donald trump has repudiated that and proven that that was not the case. Thats right. There was a bit of a debate whether you had to do that whether you had to get on your way to doing it because the demographic changes would hurt the party in 2020. Well, he said forget all that, and he went and did it his own way and found his own people to do it. He also said all along he didnt need the g. O. P. Establishment to accomplish what he wanted to do and he certainly didnt. Didnt. And we should pile up the things against him including the ad spending by the clinton team plus all the other media in the kind of popular media, the entertainers were against him. He had a lot going against him. He smirked at the Clinton Campaign the other day when he said there is no j. Lo, no jayz, no katy perry, its just me and i dont sing and look at the crowd that came just to see me, and i tell you, its a beautiful thing. Money is the milk of politics, he says. Hillary clinton outspent donald trump by a lot. Hillary clinton raised about 1. 3 billion including state party committees. Donald trump, it was about 800 million. She had about a 500 million advantage. She creamed him when it was on the airways in the summer, she way outspent him. She was on the airways when he wasnt. So hes managed to do this well advantages that favored the democrats. Pelley about six hours ago, there were high spirits at the Clinton Campaign headquarters here in manhattan but that changed dramatically. Nancy cordes is here for us this morning. Nancy . I just talked to a democratic strategist close to the Clinton Campaign who said no one is considering this over yet, they are not delusional either. Havent heard a lot of over the past few hours and that is james comey. He argued the reason the Clinton Campaign was surprised by the close races in wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania is partly because no one could have seen this bombshell coming two weeks ago, that the f. B. I. Director would send a letter to congress informing him his agent were looking at new emails relate to Hillary Clintons use of a privater, hand many other democrats are going to argue that that turned off a lot of White Working Class voters who were trying to decide at that point between Hillary Clinton and donald trump, and further they argued that even a couple of days ago comey essentially sent another letter saying never mind, weve looked at these emails, it doesnt change our fundamental understanding of the case. All that did was inject the email issue which has always its essentially one day before election day. So you will see a lot of democrats arguing that he had a role to play if she loses in her loss. Republicans, on the other hand, will say if she hadnt used a private email account and server in the first place then he wouldnt have sent any letters at all. Pelley lets remember the days before the Democratic National convention when she was fight with Bernie Sanders who generated a National Movement of his own on the democratic side. How much do you think that hurt Hillary Clinton . I think it was very difficult for her because, during that race, Bernie Sanders tied her very closely to wall street over and over again, he called her the candidate of wall street, and that was something that hadnt been a huge problem for her historically but that combined with all the big firms in the year leading up to her decision to get into the race really showed people felt she was the insider. So he did come around in the general election and get behind her, but he was more convincing making a case against trump than he was making a case for clinton. And in some of these states, i think you will see that the margin of trump could ent up being close to the number of votes that these thirdparty candidates wrapped up, and those are votes primarily coming from young people, from disaffected supporters of Bernie Sanders, in many cases, who might have otherwise gone for Hillary Clinton. We had an exit poll about an hour ago that said 74 of the people who cast their votes ago. Although when you look at the results tonight, i guess the exit polls dont hold a lot of credibility at this particular time on cbs this morning, he said he didnt think it had that kind of impact. , too she had an array of sur surrogates. The president and first lady, former president , elizabeth warren, Bernie Sanders, joe biden, all out for her h. Donald trump hadob himself. You know why they say it didnt matter at the time, there will be a lot of people in whose interests it will be if donald trump wins the presidency to argue to get themselves off the hook and explain why it didnt work out. He did say that right after, no, they dont think that had any effect whatsoever. In full disclosure, i was a philosophy major not a math major in college, but i think this math, as we put that up on the board trump 244 and clinton 215, these are the states that are remaining, that add up to 79 votes. Am i right, bob is this. Right. Arithmetic teacher mary hager corrected my figures and youre absolutely right. So were hanging right in the middle. We have a number of states here. Some of these are edging to donald trump, weve of them up on the board, we can talk about them, but this is where we stand at 1 40 in the morning and why we havent called this race tonight. Can i just say you might not have been a math major but you have very good penmanship, very easy to read, thank you. It is the least likely possibility, but there is still a possibility of a tie. Theres still a possibility. Decide who the president of the United States is and the senate would decide who the Vice President is. And the way there would be a tie is there are two states in the Electoral College map that split their votes by congressional district. Those two states are maine and nebraska. So main still has four electoral votes. Weve not called that. Those can split three plus one or two plus three and one. And nebraska still has oneel bed already looking and saying when are they going to be able to call this thing . We dont know. This is a lot still to call with a lot of reports youre talking about 90, 95 of the votes in in all of those places. Where there are razor ethin margins, and anthony is telling us theyre hearing through the wires and the secretary of state that for some reason havent been counted. Is it all about the absentee ballots at this time . In the midwestern states that arent being called, looks like when you look in every county, looks like 99 of the vote. Where are the absentee ballots, yall . Part of the problem, is also, gayle, they think they have all the vote in but in the modelin sometimes, particularly true where i grew up in texas, theyd put the votes in the trunk of the car, drive home and next morning get up and deliver the votes to the county seat. Or see how many they needed. How many ever made it out of the trunk . But one of these states were talking about and waiting on is the state of wisconsin. We now show it cbs news shows it as leaning for donald trump. Chip reid has been following the campaign in wisconsin. Chip . Reporter well, hi, scott. You can see behind me that theyve torn this room apart here. This is where paul ryan had his victory celebration tonight on his reelection for his ninth term for the house of representatives and we are told that earlier this evening paul ryan called donald trump and congratulated him on his big night and they say they had a very nice conversation. Its a very interesting dance we two if donald trump does pull out this victory because you may recall that a month ago after that tape was released, the billy bush tape in which donald trump talked so rudely and lewdly about women, paul ryan was so offended that he said he wassent going to defend him anymore and he wasnt going to campaign with him. That really angered a lot of Trump Supporters and tonight some are saying that trump reelected as speaker. So youve got a real drama going on here in wisconsin aside from the fact that this race is so close and, by the way, when we first came out here a few days ago to cover this, we didnt come to cover it as a battleground state, we came to cover the battle between trump and rhine. It only became a battleground state today. So people really missed what was going on here. Pelley chip reid in wisconsin for us tonight. Also, we should make note the democrats needed to pick up five seats in order to take control of the senate, and they have failed to do that. The senate will remain in republican hands. We will have the latest vote totals for you when we come back as Election Night on cbs ugh. Heartburn. Sorry maam. No burning here. Try new alkaseltzer heartburn relief gummies. They dont taste chalky and work fast. Mmmm. Incredible. Can i try . She doesnt have heartburn. New alkaseltzer heartburn relief gummies. Enjoy the relief. See me. Dont stare at me. See me. See me. 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Think about this and what do we add to this conversation, donald trump pivoting to governing . Pivoted really to anything and has been one of the more sort of overused buzz words in this whole election. He never pivoted to being a nominee. He did it is h way. Hes obviously promise add great deal. Well see if he can deliver. In prod principles tha tha rr than programs. But tone would be the first thing. How gracious would he choose to be if elected. And cant christie is his Transition Committee chairman. Donald trump was elect bid people who want him to bring change to washington should he be elected, thats what theyre looking for. Oftentimes when president s are eelectricked people see the pivot almost immediately. When barack obama was electted in 2008, people said they could see something immediately change in his voice and demeanor. I dont know if you will see that from donald trump, thats the last time youve seen someone like donald trump rise to this level of office it was andrew jackson. Donald trump will have to turn to advisors who will give him advice on how to participate and run the Actual Office of the presidency. The question from my perspective right now is what i first note that he found . A con cilia tore note where he says we must not be enemies but friends. It must be an approach that he is not going to use the office of the presidency to engage in vindictive behavior that he has in the course of the election. There is hue multiand vindication. You have a sense he will take his victory if he were to win as to get him here. I think clearly any newly elected president will Say Something comes over you the second that looks like youre going to be elected. So many things that during this campaign we said he wont get beyond this, but it looks like he will. The ultimate i told you so administration. Although weve not been able to find his way yet to 270 votes. You know, it is a situation of ways. I think a lot of americans now are concerned about the direction their country is taking. A lot of people didnt support donald trump. I think its incumbent upon us to be hopeful about the fact that a hot of americans have given voice to concern and to i think a rising well of frustration. Also incumbent on him to recognize there are great reservations and an active leadership is to reassure a nation. Were a nation of states, and is for some people, this is a very scary moment. This feels like a thunder clap for a lot of people. You may see the leadership coming from the states, not washington. The thing to keep in mind is while we look at this as a moment of chaos and from the world and the market i think they are looking at it, but from thespective of the people who voted for trump this is abact o democracy, sending a message that the system needs to change. Back to scott. Pelley charlie, thank you very much. But wherever you are on Donald Trumps successes this evening, about 56 million americans are happy about it and 55 million americans are not, those being the popular vote totals. Major garrett is at the trump headquarters tonight. Major . Reporter scott, the crowd and it may start to chant again bellowing call it, call it, call it. This is a sense in the midtown hilton where donald trump has his victory headquarters that they are on the cusp of this historic breakthrough propelling donald trump a political novice, no military experience, unprecedented in the history of the american presidency, the 45th president of the United States. They believe that moment is coming voters believe this is an expression of their definition of democracy, their definition of what america is, ought to be and can possibly be and believe donald trump is their best voice in achieving that. A couple of quick words about his approach to governing. I have been talking to republicans on capitol hill. They are not necessarily about dealing with donald trump, one reason specifically, mike pence, the former member of the house, well known, well respected, they expect donald trump to lean heavily on mike pence for many of his first legislative initiatives, specifically to rapidly and replace and repeal the Affordable Care act. And who is one of mike pences closest friends in the United States congress . Speaker of the house paul ryan. There is some Great Expectations talking to tonight that mike pence can be a bridge between donald trump and the speaker of the house and a productive one at that. Pelley Major Garrett, thank you very much, major. Let us bring you up to date on where the election is. Whats taking so long . Its that close and really matters what some of the vote totals are because they are so close in so many of the states. This is the Electoral College map we have for you. Hillary clinton 215. Well within striking distance of the 270 he needs to win. The states in white are the states where the polls have closed but still, after hours of counting, the race is so close in those states, cbs news has been unable to make a projection of the winner. Norah, take us through some of the individual steps. Let me quickly why we are not able to call this race b table, here is my rough sketch of arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania, maine, New Hampshire, nebraska, add up to 79 electoral votes and the right number getting you to 270 would win you the presidency. Quickly, weve not seen donald trump or secretary Hillary Clinton yet tonight. Clearly they are behind doors family looking at these results, and we are looking at these results trying to figure out who is the winner tonight. Clintons Campaign Chairman john podesta left the hotel and headed to the Javits Center. So perhaps well get an update from the Clinton Campaign about what they see in the results. Now to pennsylvania, the keystone state and key to a Hillary Clinton win tonight. We see since the last time we looked at this. He opened up a bit of a margin, now were back to less than 80,000 votes. One of the reasons that cbs news has not called this up until now, the last update i received is there was a question about absentee ballots the n and from the ballots in and from the michigan, looks like to me less than 70,000 votes in the state of the michigan. Again, some discussion about absen see ballots around the detroit area. Arizona, what has been a traditionally republican state but has the largest number of hispanics of all the battleground states, you see donald trump with a margin there. Wisconsin, a state that Hillary Clinton did not visit since the doing quite well in that state but also if you look at the the vote tally, its close. And New Hampshire. Look at this. Less than 4,000 votes in the state of New Hampshire. Its just four electoral votes, but had al gore won New Hampshire . 2000, h he would have been president of the United States. The gary johnson the spoiler for Hillary Clinton, the like North Carolina and florida where he got the younger vote, the 18 to 29yearolds, well have to look at the margins to see if theyre big enough. We started out the night saying it was very difficult for donald trump to get his six different pathways. Now the narrative has flipped. It is very difficult for Hillary Clinton with those deficits and those three states of wisconsin, pennsylvania and michigan to succeed in winning then you would still have to deal with New Hampshire and maine. Isnt it also true that no matter which one of them wins, it would be by a razorthin margin, perhaps, in some of these battlegrounds . Perhaps. But if he were to win all of them, he would be in the 300 range on electoral votes and once you go over 300, you get to but wisconsin. If he wins wisconsin and pennsylvania that gets him over 300. Is that likely . To norahs point, in the popular vote, theyre sprighted by 1 . Out of 100 million votes theyre separated by 1 million votes so that shows you how narrowly divided the nation is. Elaine . Gary johnson, our team has been doing the math, and with respect to florida, for instance, under 130,000 votesse but when you look at the combined vote totals for gary johnson and jill stein, that number is in the neighborhood of 267,800 votes. So you consider the effect that the thirdparty candidates had in a battleground state like florida, were also looking at states like pennsylvania and wisconsin, the numbers are fluctuating, but now Something Like 70,000, 80,000 votes in pennsylvania separating the two about 188,000 votes separating them. So 188,000 votes combined. You see the effect of this. Im hearing from the Clinton Campaign that the reason Campaign Chairman john podesta left the hotel and secretary clinton is he is going to the Javits Center to say it is too close to call. So i think, you know, they know that people are leaving the Javits Center, pictures earlier that people were dispirited, some even crying. Now the Campaign Chairman is going over to rally the troops and, according to an official inside the Clinton Campaign, saying its too close to call. Too close to call or not wanting to accept reality . Some are saying its not so close to call. Pelley we will be back with nor nbc News Coverage of students historic election. ,,not getting your best sleep . Could be youve got the wrong bed. Enter sleep number. She likes the bed soft. Hes more hardcore. You can both adjust the bed for the best sleep of your life. Right now save 500 on the queen cse mattress with sleepiq technology. It is Election Night on cbs. We have breaking news. Cbs news has now made an estimate in the state of maine. We areje the votes are counted, Hillary Clinton will be the winner in the state of maine. With its four electoral votes. That brings Hillary Clintons total up to 218. Donald trump 244. But still, a very steep hill for Hillary Clinton to climb. Again, we are looking inside those additional states. Really the ones that, animated