forecasts news alert on brand new weather dangers for tornado ravaged southwest missouri. jenna: severe thunderstorms packing high winds and hail are in the forecast for joplin and that's hampering the search for survivors in a town that have seen utter devastation, and words don't do it justice. jon: take a look at those pictures, absolutely amazing, 89 dead but that number expected to climb as a monster twister suggest a -- cut 56-mile wide path of death and destruction, one of more than 60 tornadoes to tear across the midwest. joining us on the phone, mike o'connell, missouri department of safety communications director. mike, we just talked about 89 dead in joplin. is that the latest number that you know? >> we just finished debriefing and we're told that that number has risen now to 90. so there are 90 confirmed dead, coming out of the city of joplin. you mentioned that severe weather. they had to suspend search and rescue efforts because of that severe weather that moved in there about an hour ago. they were able to go all night, they suspended it because of the danger that that posed, now they are back, i am told, searching once again, but they have to be on the watch for the rest of the day because severe weather continues to be in the forecast, and that is something that we're all going to be watching very closely. jon: is there the possibility of more tornado? >> you know, that was discussed as being possible. right now that is the no the key threat in this severe storm system that is in the area, and is likely to come back. but they are watching that very closely, because it is very possible. jon: you said you've got 90 dead. with so much debris, so much destruction and communication so very badly damaged, i suppose it's quite likely you're going to find more. >> well, that would be what we would hope is not true, but that's very, very possible. right now, all their efforts, the search and rescue crews, are concentrated on finding survivors and getting to everybody that they can. this just happened less than 24 hours ago, so somebody is trapped, they're using high tech devices, they've got cameras on scopes, they've got sound equipment that can pick up noise. they're going to do everything in their power to find everybody. and there's been a tremendous amount of support, both from that region and away the state, and then in arkansas and oklahoma, where we have some great search and rescue teams that are on the scene that, as i said, they worked through the night. jon: is this a case in which people were simply caught by surprise or was it just the fury of this storm and the tremendous damage that it caused, that caused so many deaths? >> this is an extremely violent spring, as we know what happened in some states to the east of us, just within the last month. i'm told that the sirens were sounded about 17 minutes ahead of the 5:41 touchdown of this massive tornado. some weather reports, i think, had it as 22 minutes notice. but this was such a powerful storm that hit such a concentrated, deniesly populated area -- densely populated area, you know, you've seen the pictures, you've seen what it's done. jon: it's absolutely chill to go see that black funnel cloud on the screen now. mike o'connell with the missouri department of safety, communications director. mike, we know america is going to be behind you as you rebuild and care for the wounded and the dead. >> thanks for all your help, jon. onjon you bet. some brand new video just coming in from storm chasers of that torn -- tornado as it hit op lin. we got this 23r twister chasers dolt covment take a listen: >> on -- this from twister chasers.com. take a listen: >> it's hitting the ground, i'm telling you. i got it. i got it. stay with it kevin. >> why are you doing that? >> huh? >> i have a large, destructive tornado. jenna: the sights and sounds just incredible. mike o'connell mentioned that the danger is not over for folks in the area, brand new watches and warnings are posted now. maria molina is live in the fox weather center with more. >> brand new watches are happening from the atlantic, so the severe weather is not just across the center of the nation for today. there's another watch issued across the dallas metro area with a severe thunderstorm warning in the downtown area, so we are looking at new thunderstorms further to the south. but that particular cell, moving through joplin, missouri right now does have a warning, the warnings have expired for the city of joplin, so that is a little bit of good news. there are reports of larger hail and also, some wind gusts to the west of joplin, so that's what this storm system has left behind. we do want to take a look at video from yesterday's tornado that did rip through the area yesterday evening. devastating images. it is believed that that particular tornado was a multi vortex tornado. what that is is a larger tornado with other smaller tornadoes fitting in within it, so that's likely one of the reasons why that particular storm caused all of that damage, and that supercell that produced that tornado touched down, did develop across southeastern parts of the state of kansas before moving eastbound and heading into southwest parts of the state of missouri. so it is just devastating images. we do have before and after image, one area hit hard was st. john's hospital. take a look closely before, you can see the roof still put together in the before image and after, all of the damage, windows blown out, damage to the roof. it is a very sturdy building. so that gives you an idea of how violent this tornado was. it's very important now, when the warnings are issued, you go ahead and go away from windows. windows are typically the first thing to go. these are before and after images of 26th, and meadow lane, you can see the damage and here's a sporting goods complex, as well, all of the damage that has been left behind, and like we said, the severe weather not over just yet. we do have a widespread area stretching from the center of the nation on into interior portions of the northeast and guess what, jenna, tomorrow, even that area in op lin, missouri, still looking at a risk for more severe thunderstorms tomorrow. jenna: the before and after images are amazing. it gives us such perspective. thank you maria, we'll continue to keep viewers updated as this develops. jon, it certainly wasn't just missouri where we're watching everything that's happening. jon: check out the pictures of the damage in kansas, from a city called redding, or perhaps reading, forgive me if i'm not pronouncing it ceact correctly, folks, the roofs were ripped off buildings there, dozens of homes, completely flattened, and even over in minneapolis, fallen trees are everywhere, debris is scattered all over town, officials say at least one person died there in this severe weather. our viewers do an amazing job of helping us tell the top news stories of the day by sending the images that they have taken. check out this shot from minneapolis, two houses, right next door to one another, very different outcomes in this storm. rudy's mom took this photo, her friend's house is the one that survived there. you can send us your photos showing the aftermath of this week end's storms. upload them to us, foxnews.com/you report. be sure in every case, you stay safe out there. jenna: right now, major development necessary america's election headquarters. the republican field for president, taking shape. tim pawlenty, making it official he's in, the former minnesota governor announcing his candidacy for president in a web video. he's expected to formally announce in person at a town hall-style meeting in iowa just over an hour from now during our show. this follows indiana governor mitch daniels' decision not to make a run for the white house. karl rove is former senior adviser to president george w. bush and fox news contributor. so karl, let's talk about two important parts of this race, the message and the money. tim pawlenty put out this video today, he says he's going to be the honest politician that's going to tell us the truth about how bad it is out there. does that message snrai. >> well, people want candor and this gives him a chance to contrast president obama both in the statement and the speech he'll give later today, he basically says the president is not shooting straight with you about these problems, we've tried the president's way, now we need to confront these problems honestly and find way to solve them. >> does he have money behind him? >> he'll have an initial good bump because he has, for example, my home state of texas, he has really good people helping him raise money but look, money and politics, the guy with the biggest wallet isn't necessarily going to win. jenna: really? because it seems like that's the perception. >> the question is do you have sufficiency. look, remember this, this is a sequential contest, iowa, new hampshire, south carolina, nevada will be in there some place. the question is do you have enough money to fight each one of these battles and if do you and you start to win, the internet and the nature of politics means that you're going to be able to continue to get enough money to be viable in contests after that. jenna: a few commentators on the show have referred to pawlenty as a vanilla candidate, he doesn't have a whole 4r09 of charisma, according to some. if you were advising him, how would you rise him -- advise him at this stage of the campaign? >> he's an upper midwest politician. there's too much scandinavian about him. >> look, i'm in the scandia naifan hall of fame. you need to put an edge on it. the important thing is he's gotten an edge over the last year. eve seen it in the video and you'll see it in his comments. when he goes places like washington, d.c. and say hard things, they are going to be controversial. that's part of it. the other part of it, turn it to an advantage. look at his video and comments today, he'll say look, i get t. i'm not the most exciting person around. if you want charisma, somebody who can give you great speeches, we got a guy in there and it's not working out too well. jenna: there's someone that -- some would say the directness hasn't helped, puhl ryan with the proposal about med cay and the budget saying hard things and there's been backlash, within the republican party, is pawlenty sus e79ible to that same reaction? >> sometimes controversy is good and helps you rise to the top but paul ryan came one a strong proposal which has galvanized the republicans around him and the republicans who attacked it like newt gingrich immediately suffered problems from having made that attack, and the former speaker spent the last week backtracking on his comments he made on meet the press sunday. jenna: you think the republican party can hold it together and have one central candidate? >> absolutely. we're at the beginning. there will be moments where it looks like it's going off the rails and moments it will be unified. what will happen at the end of this, i suspect, given the nature -- nature of these people and the campaigns they try to be running, they're going to unify the party and demonstrate to the party that they can reach outside its ranks in order to beat obama. remember, the thing that will galvanize people and cause them to temper disagreements on this or that issue is the desire to beat obama. jenna: quick final question, what's the one mistake a candidate cannot make right now. >> cannot be inauthentic. people this year are looking very carefully to see who you are and if you say something that's not you, if you're trying to be somebody else or trying to take positions that are not truly engrained in your heart, people are going to pick it up, whether it's quickly or over time, they'll pick it up and it will damage you beyond belief. jen i don't know you authentic. karl, thank you very much for being with us. other news here, dejavu in iceland, check out this volcano, sending thick ash high into the area. it's different than the one that shut down air travel last year in europe. we'll explain, though, how this one is also causing major problems. breaking news from pakistan, the taliban storming a naval base. now there are new details about what pakistani security forces did to regain control. much more as well on the deadly storms in the midwest, as we keep our focus here state side, jon. jon: we can get more information for you from fox news.quom, jenna. here's the home page. we now understand this number has actually gone up, at least 90 people are dead. take a look at this. this is a rescue hop from the hospital there that was so badly damaged, those blades are stronger than iron, and they have been snapped like tooth picks. if you scroll down just a little bit, there's a photo display of the destruction in joplin, and other parts of the midwest. it's all there for you on foxnews.com. you can check it out during the commercial break. fox news.com. it's your other news source. jenna: right now, some new information from overseas. the pentagon says it has no information that mullah omar is dead, the taliban is also insisting today that omar is alive and, quote, living in a safe place. these comments come after a report inside afghanistan's intelligence agency claiming that he was killed in pakistan two days ago. so mixed information there. we'll continue to keep you updated on that developing story. in the meantime, jon is over at the international desk with an update on this deadly taliban attack at a naval base in pakistan, jon. jon: it is absolutely unbelievable when you think about it, imagine getting into one of america's most secure military installations. that's what happened in pakistan. a nation, by the way, that is armed with nuclear weapons. tareq is at aur international desk with more. >> good morning. we reported on an attack in peshawar in north pakistan. we have another information about in the port city of karachi. i have video on my screen. this is pretty good video we have in. it began last night when a group of insurgents with rockets, grenades and other weapons attacked the naval base. twelve of the officers were killed, and two planes were destroyed in the fighting. after about 18 hours, the pakistani military finally regained control of the base, killing sujts in the process. the pakistani taliban once again claimed responsibility for the attack, saying it was done to avenge the death of usama bin laden earlier this month. by the way, we learned today there were about six americans working the a the base at the time of the attack but they are okay. again, six americans present, but they're all fine. and jon, we'll let you know when more information comes in. jon: it raises all kinds of questions about the security of their nuclear arsenal. i mean, if these taliban can just walk on to a military base, storm the base, and wreak this kind of havoc. >> you saw the video, it's a scary situation, under control now but it does raise concerns, absolutely. jon: tareq, thank you very much. jenna: the u.s. hikers who have been jailed 20 months in iran got the rare chance to call home yesterday, shane bauer and josh fattal told their families they staged a hunger strike. the third hiker, sarah shourd, eventually released, said they often staged hunger strikes in prison to get better treatment. in the meantime, back here at home, their families are holding their own hunger strike, this after a trial for the hikers didn't happen a few weeks ago but the iranians simply didn't bring them to court. the mothers are participating, also josh fattal's brother, alex. you're seeing high profile folks also participating, de. pak choprar -- chopra are taking place in this, and laura ling. in the meantime, a volcano in iceland threatens to disrupt air travel in europe, though this is a different volcano than the one that erupted last year, the massive plume filling the skies has shut down air space over iceland. at this time it's bearing down on scotland. british officials warn the ash could disrupt flights as early as tonight. there's already some minor disruptions in scandinavia. aviation officials in ireland say flights may be affected later this week but they also say it's unlikely this will affect the president who just arrived in ireland today. rick: -- jon: a fox news alert. take a look at live pictures, these from minneapolis. we've been talking a lot about joplin, missouri, but minneapolis, also took a hit from a tornado yesterday. these pictures just coming in to the fox news room of the aftermath of that storm. imagine the terror there. you're in an ordinary neighborhood, going about your business on a sunday evening, and here comes a tornado roaring through. those folkies in minneapolis are picking up the pieces today. we've got some more information and some more pictures to show you after a break. jon: right now there are new indications our political leaders in washington may be willing to work together, both parties addressing health care costs to try to get the government's debt situation under control, signals from top congressional republicans indicate they are willing to compromise with democrats. pib lick opinion, though, might work against them. a new national poll shows 54 percent of americans say it's possible to balance the budget without cutting medicare spending. 59 percent say the same is possible without cutting social security spending. let's talk about the possibilities here with dick articley, former gop house majority leader and chairman of freedom works. what do you think about that polling first of all, congressman, is that pie in the sky thinking by americans who don't know the numbers? >> well, no. i think if you change the language to without cutting medicare, current medicare benefits, or social security benefits, yes, the scary numbers on both of these two massive entitlement programs are in the out year unfunded mandates, and in both instances, those numbers exist because the programs aren't voluntary. the fact of the matter is if you address both medicare and social security, the americans are free to opt out and opt into providing for themselves on their own terms in the private sector, these out year numbers can be reduced quite quickly by voluntary desubscription. in the meantime, if you take a person like paul ryan, who's the only guy who has the plan out there on medicare, he's saying the government of the united states shouldn't be the employer of first resort for everybody over the age of 65, whether they need it or not. let those people who are free to and able to and choose to find their own health care, continue with their own support into their senior years by way of their voluntary action. let them be free to choose and let them be free. the fact of the matter is there are many seniors now who do not depend on and who do not have to have medicare for our health care security, and if we were free to do so, we would continue the same kind of insurance we had all the years of our life until we were 65, but the government prohibits the insurance companies from continuing that coverage, and it doesn't make sense for the government to be insurer of first resort for people who don't need government assistance. jon: you've heard the pounding that paul ryan has taken, largely at the hand of democrats, but even at the hands of some republicans over this proposal that would limit some of the medicare funds available or limit some of the medicare benefits available. americans want compromise. is it time for the budgets committee chairman to say yeah, let's compromise? >> no, wait a minute. first of all, paul ryan, like i say, is the only guy who tend -- stepped you and said look, i got a plan, let's some of the others make their plan available for us to look at. and then the other thing is, if you don't do that, then prepare to work off paul ryan's mark. the fact of the matter is, america knows, the biggest problem we face with respect to the fiscal solvency of this nation's government is medicare. if you don't have the courage to address that, you shouldn't be in the game. democrats have taunted republicans for years because they haven't done that. now paul ryan has done that. let them come to the table in good faith and say let's look at your mark or let me show you my mark and let's go to work on this and let's take the problem on, since it is the biggest problem the american people face and they know it. let's work together in good faith. i would like to see people put their politics aside and get serious about the nation's business. jon: very quickly, some republicans like the idea of a draft paul ryan for president movement. are you on board? >> i certainly would be comfortable with that. right now, he's the one guy who's stepped up with creative, tested ideas and is willing to have the courage to address the big problems. let the others -- we got a good field out there, let them rise to this occasion. but you know, i look at paul ryan and i love the guy, but you know, the good book says the child should be leave, and maybe -- should lead and maybe this is the child that will lead us out of this fiscal wilderness. jon: he's a young guy. >> he's a young guy, and he's a courageous guy. jon: congressman, thank you. jen fallout from the president's call for peace talks between the potentials and israel, president obama discussing his plan over the weekend with an american proisrael lobbying group. take a listen: >> the bordering of israel and palestine should be based on the 1967 lines with mutually agreed swaps so that secure and recognize borders are established for both states. yuen jen our next guest says the president's message is misunderstood. we're going to ask him why, just ahead. the former head of the imf now under house arrest on rape 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[ female announcer ] only flood insurance covers floods. for a free brochure, call the number on your screen. jenna: fox news alert. we want to bring you live pictures out of minneapolis, another area that was hit so hard by tornadoes over the weekend. take a look at damage in this neighborhood. you can see what we normally see in a tornado situation, where you have some houses hit very hard. as you take a look at the path that the tornado went through, and other houses spared. the soared that hit north minneapolis killed one person and injured 29. although as you can imagine there are still some rescue and recovery efforts ongoing at this time. we've been also covering joplin, missouri, that area we heard at the top of our show, 90 deaths there. really just a violent, violent storm that passed through both of these dates, minneapolis and missouri. in minneapolis authorities had a curfew overnight. they were concerned about looting when one liquor store was looted after the storm. there were some restrictions imposed on the people living there. we'll bring you more live buyers as we the we get them as reallye wake up and we are getting the first look at the damage. jon: dominique strauss-kahn was supposed to lead european countries out of our debt crisis. the former chief of the monetary fund is under house arrest hold up in a manhattan apartment in new york city. a monitoring bracelet is shackled to his angle and armed guards are watching his ever move. eventually he'll be moved to another new york city apartment, but the building where he is right now is a bit of a tourist attacks. adam spa spear row from the fox business network joins us from outside the apartment. what is the latest, adam? >> reporter: well, john the wife of strauss-kahn is looking for a temporary-permanent residence, 71 broadway, we are not too far from ground zero and also trinity church and well street. this has always been a tourist area. she is looking for not only a more permanent place but the legal team isn't going to tell anybody once that is secured. the problem is this is temporary housing and they haven't found the next place for him to go. they have to have the 24-hour security, plus the video monitors. what is inc incredible all abous that your 401k, your retirement accounts, our ira's are indirectly being affected by the fact that he is inside this temporary housing, because dominique strauss-kahn was the man who had alleviated the europe's debt problems. the euro's debt problem has reared its head again. he was supposed to negotiate last week and he can't, so investors are selling off their investments. jon: what a mess. jenna: markets are down nearly 200 points because of concern about the debt crisis. rough monday on the markets. in the meantime white now while the president begins his six-day visit to europe vice president joe biden is meeting with with the israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu at the white house. high on the agenda is peace between the palestinians and israel, this as debate rages over the president's call for the 1967 po borders of israel to be used as a guideline for some of the negotiations. our next guest says debate is over done and the president's position misunderstood. it's robert wexler. he helped the obama administration on mideast policy. what is so misunderstood about the president's position? >> the president's position is totally in line with israeli prime minister's benjamin netanyahu's position which is that israel musting be recognized by the international community as a jewish state and israel must be strong and secure and must remain a vibrant democracy. the president actually has led the way in terms of debunking the pal stan yan tragedy of going to the united nations to declare a unilateral state. what the president has artfully and i think correctly suggested is that the palestinians and israelis enter into negotiations based on the 1967 lines with agreed territorial swaps. as a result -- jenna: let's stop there. that's something we probably don't have an understanding of. you mentioned that the mutually agreed swaps are the key, the key that we should be paying attention to in the president's statement, why is that? >> because what the president has proposed is a scenario in which negotiations can actually incorporate into the internationally recognized borders of israel. about 80% of the israelis, jewish israelis who today live outside of those borders. that would be a particularly positive result for the state of israel. also, it would protect that thin waist that people talk about for israel that talk about a security problem and would incorporate most of the jewish neighborhoods that are in jerusalem that are outside of the western jerusalem lines into israel eupl perpetrato imperfec. jenna: it sounds like you have hope, why do you think it's a possibility. >> it's always a difficult challenge. people have been trying, presidents, prime ministers for deck eights. the stakes are so high now with so much dramatic changes in the middle east and north africa. if the israelis and the palestinians could negotiate and make problem it would make tremendous progress for the israeli and palestinian people in terms of stability, and security, and providing freedom in a region which in those regions is anything but in a. jenna: we appreciate your op ed peace in the wall street courage as well. thank you for being here. jon: casey anthony accused of murdering her 2-year-old child caylee, now a trial, almost two years in the making is about to get underway. the death penalty is on the table for that young mother. a preview live from florida coming up. 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[ male announcer ] if you can't afford your medication, astra-zeneca may be able to help. now you don't have to wait six weeks to get it. natural instincts now comes with a new color refresher. just color, then give it a boost two weeks in and get a freshly colored look once again. natural instincts. it's all good. jon: right now in new orr leans a potential landmark case that could impact every child in the country. a federal appeals court is rehearing a case against two texas school principals who are accused of violating elementary school childrens' rights. the reason they confiscated the kids religious theme candy cane pens. should be there a set age for first amendment free speech rights. joining us now, jennifer brandt, family law attorney and former prosecutor tad nelson. the basics of this case and there are actually several of them as i understand it that are going to be sort of united in this particular argument in the appeals court. the basic is that these elementary school children were handing out candy canes at school, for pencils that said jesus is the reason for the season, that kind of thing on them. the principals took them away and said, hey this is a public school you can't be exearthing religion here, do i have that right? >> absolutely. and the issue here is the constitution, like you said it applies to everybody. i've read it hundreds of times. not once have i ever seen a disclaimer about age or where you are in life or anything. it applies to everybody right down the line. jon: so, the argument, i guess, and the government attorneys are trying to enforce this. saying that young students, jennifer, do not have free speech right because they are what, too young, children? >> i don't think that's exactly what they are saying. they do have first amendment rights but those rights can be restricted in some respect by the school, because, for example, while school children can read their bibles in school or pray in school, when they then hand out those bibles to their classmates or try to coerce other people that they should believe what these children are believing, then the school can step in and prohibit that type of behavior. and i think that's exactly what you have here. they did not want those candy canes distributed class wise because it goes beyond exercising their own first amendment freedoms. jon: especially in a place like texas the candy cans and the message on them probably won't be too cons vert shall. you might see a situation where a young kid might wear a t-shirt to school that said something offensive on it. >> you made a good point. i think some of the arguments on this case are a bit disingenuous, that's for another day. wh*fr you're going to take the constitution you've got to respeubgt it as little as possible. we've had a standard since 1969, we need to limit people's peach only when it materially and substantially disrepresents the learning environment. this is a christmas party where you can hand out any gift you want. if you're going to hand out a candy again that says, jesus, that's the reason for the season, if the kid doesn't like it, throw it in the trash. you don't have to preach god. >> how could you say that that's not disruptive? if you're a child who doesn't believe and you receive that candy cane that may be offensive to you, so the school has a duty -- the school has a duty to make sure that education is the main message and not religious beliefs, and if they are in and environment where other children are trying to preach or push their religious beliefs on children that may not believe the other thing the school does have a duty to step in and stop that type of behavior. jon: what about the free exchange of ideas here. >> this is more than free exchange of ideas. you're handing out this pencil or candy cane to each child in the khrafplts it's not about, hey, what do you believe in, or what do you believe in, it's about here, take this this is what i believe in and i'm putting it on you. jon: tad your argument in ten seconds, please. >> what an opportunity for the teacher to use this situation and usette ace a learning experience. these kids go to public education to get ready for the real world, they need to learn tolerance and that there are differences between kids and they need to learn no matter what you believe, everybody's beliefs is valid. >> you don't have to have the beliefs forced upon you, that's the issue. jon: we'll let you know what the court of appeal decides thank you. jenna: a report in the "new york post" which is owned by the parent company of fox news says the president's re-election team is come paoeug research on the man you're seeing on your screen, new jersey governor chris christie, this despite the fact the republican governor has repeatedly said he is not running for president. eric shawn is live with more on this report. >> reporter: it's a sign you are taking seriously in presidential politics even if you insist you're not running. new jersey republican governor chris christie has repeatedly and forcefully said he will not seek the white house next year. as you said that apparently high school not stopped him from being touted as a potential strong candidate. so much so that president obama's campaign reportedly digging into cristie's records. as you said the "new york post" owned by the parent company of this network says the president's re-election team is look into cristie. he's made headlines with his blunt no nonsense talk about fiscal responsibility. he's taken on and won major concessions with the state's teacher unions. his political adviser told us he doesn't know firsthand what the obama team could be doing but he said cristie is definitely not running in 2012. then he said any digging could be considered flattering, an indication that cristie has been doing a good job as new jersey governor. a source in the current obama campaign does not deny there is any digging but also tells us that they won't co confirm. it a 2008 campaign insider said any responsible campaign would ask around about potential candidate. we know despite cristie's continue aoug insistence that he will not run a group of prom manslaughter republican fundraisers from iowa will visit cristie at the new jersey's governor mansion this web. they hope to try and talk him into making the race. cristie has said he think hes could win a presidential race but in his words he says the is shut and nailed closed. jenna: that's pretty clear. i'm going to start doing a little research about you eric shawn. you never know what you're going to uncover. in the meantime a break in the case of a brute physical crime on a baseball fan. remember this san francisco giants-l.a. dodgers opening day. police say they have a suspect after debts and a swa s.w.a.t. m swing into action. jenna: welcome back. news on the housing market for you now. three more years. that's the timeline economists give before the housing market is clear of the backlog of foreclosed homes. who owns those homes? the banks. raoelt track reports banks and mortgage renders have inch ten tore sraoe of nearly 90,000 foreclosed homes, and they are in the process of for closing on another million and millions more are in the works. nina he's ton is a columnist for forbes magazine and a fox news contributor. she have talked so much about jobs and gas prices as a real threat to our economy. what threat does the housing market in that condition pose to our economy right now? >> you know, jenna as you know the housing market was at the root of the financial crisis in the first place. until the housing market recovers the economy as a whole can't recover. they are still kind of chugging along at a low economic growth rate. we have a high unemployment rate. we've got to get that housing market chugging again. this news is not good. jenna: how do we get it chugging again? >> i think frankly you have to rip the band-aid off. part of the problem is that we've had -- the obama administration has had niece mortgage support programs that has kept people in their homes, and a lot of those people it turns out either couldn't afford those homes in the first place, they bought houses they couldn't afford or ended up not being able to afford them, they lost their jobs, something awful happened to them. what's happened is they ended up for closing any ways, so we just put off the pain. and on some level you just have to go through that pain, the prices have to come down, and then other people get into the market. it creates homes that are actually more affordable for other people to get in and start becoming homeowners and start making the cycle work to a better cycle. jenna: the intention of the plans as you mentioned was to soften the blow of the housing market. and in your opinion it just delayed it. so now we're going into another election cycle. how do you think housing plays as an issue for 2012? does it have a role? >> i think it does have a role. it has a role particularly in a lot of these markets. like the signs you just showed. in florida, nevada, california, these are places that were really hard hit in the housing market, and i think -- and they are continuing to feel that pain, and it's going to continue to feel like we are just still in a recession, even though we're not technically in a recession. i think if you go into the election the more you have housing problems, it's going to communicate with unemployment. it's also by the way potentially going to combine with inflation on gas prices and food prices. there is just not a lot of good news on the economic front right now, jenna. jenna: interesting points you make about the states, florida and nevada being big ones in the election. nice to have you, thank you for joining us today. >> thank you. jon: the jury is picked now the trial of casey anthony accused of killing her own 2-year-old daughter caylee is about to begin. the stakes could not be higher, the death penalty is on the table. lie to florida with a preview of what happens. and the death toll now at 90 in just one missouri town after a killer tornado ravishes the place. more violent storms threatening the midwest. plus the brand-new pictures of of the massive devastation that continue to come into our newsroom, and amazing sore reese of survival astories ofsurvival. ♪ [ male announcer ] in 2011, at is at work, building up our wireless network all across america. we're adding new cell sites... increasing network capacity, and investing billions of dollars to improve your weless network experience. from a single phone call to the most advanced data download, we're covering more people in more places than ever before in an effort to give you the best network possible. at&t. rethink possible. jenna: hi, everybody, high noon on the east coast. we are so glad you're with us. i'm jenna lee? i'm jon scott. there is a state of emergency in skwrop opinion, missouri as a massive tornado tore the community apart. miles of unbelievable destruction. 90 people known dead. the desperate search for survivors complicated by more harsh weather in the area. crews pelted with hail and rains as wind gusts threaten to push the debris around in dangerous ways. mike tobin live for us in joplin. what are you seeing where you are, mike? >> reporter: hopefully we're seeing a break in that second waive of harsh weather that moved through the area. the rain not falling too hard right now. a lot of lightning still in the sky. the wind never picked up that strong as the rain and hail came down. it tk delay crews who are searching through the debris trying to find survivors. everywhere you look out here you can see a scene of destruction. behind me you can possibly see some of the hydraulic diggers that are picking through the debris there trying to find survivors. you can see sue stories of a house that has been separated from the lower stories of the house simply by the force of the storm. all of the trees that have been stripped of their foliage. what is hard to show you on tv is the depth of all of this destruction, it stretches some six miles, pretty much through the center of joplin, missouri here. everywhere through the six miles you can see a scene like this. trees knocked down, uprooted. building debris shall the cars piled up on each other. this is not the most powerful category of tornado that moved through here. they are estimating it at an ef3 or ef4. the difference is it moved so slowly. witnesses say it parked itself here in front of the hospital and battered the hospital. the hospital is not usable now. all the patients, including the critical care patients have been moved to another location. the medical records, x-rays have been found now some 60 miles away, as there is a break in the weather at the moment the crews are back out right now search through all of the debris, not just here at the hospital but through all of these neighborhoods hoping to find some survivors, anticipate, however, that the news will get worse, in terms of the amount of people who have been occurred ear killed by the force of the storm, jon. jon: mike tobin live in joplin where they have such a job to do. jenna: unbelievable to see all the wreckage just behind mike. dangerous weather is still threatening parts of the country as well. it's simply not tphoefr. jon: meteorologist janice dean back with us after maternity leave and is live in the fox center. what a day to come back. >> reporter: jon, just seeing the pictures devastating. we have had an unprecedented year of tornadoes, today really being no excepts. look the at the storm reports, thinks only from yesterday. not only did we see tornadoes, 400 reports of hail, 200 reports of wind damage moving throughout region. the damage has been done across joplin, missouri. unfortunately we have the threat of severe weather not only today for skwrop opinion, missouri but tomorrow as well. all of the areas affected by tornadoes unfortunately they have nowhere to go. so they are really in desperate need for help and the red cross is doing their best to get out and help all of the people who are affected. but there are your storm reports, again in the red there, that's where we've seen tornado damage. and the reports continue to come in. unfortunately the threat for more severe weather today. joplin west of springfield. they are getting a break in the weather where our friend mike tobin is. unfortunately throughout the day today more reports could happen in that region of severe weather, including hail, damaging winds, unfortunately tornadoes. wafpls and warnings for the dallas, texas kwraeur and across the mid-atlantic. i want to show you the risk for severe weather today stretching across a very wide section of the u.s. and the red-shaded area that's where we have the highest risk for severe weather, meaning yes, more tornadoes for parts of oklahoma and missouri, up towards the ohio river valley. not done yet the threat continues tomorrow another wide section of the country stretching in towards the northeast and we have that ha red section at moderate risk for severe weather for parts of kansas, oklahoma, and missouri. joplin, missouri you are in the warning zone for the potential of severe weather. we are watching the pictures from joplin, missouri. minneapolis also got hit hard by the same weather system. i know we have pictures here h. 29 injured, one reported dead. a hundred homes damaged reported. downed power lines the big concern there. this is just incredible. the problem is you have these big tornadoes hitting very populated areas, that's why we're seeing such an impressive death toll unfortunately out of the severe weather system and it's not over yet. may, typically is the worst month for severe weather, jon and jen a back to you. jon: scary stuff. janice dean, we'll check in with you a little bit later. thanks. >> my first campaign stop will be in iowa, that's where i will tell the people the taout. i'm tim pawlenty, i'm running for president of the united states. jon: that's tim pawlenty making his race official. he formally enters the race at a town hall meeting in iowa. we are live in des moines. >> reporter: former minnesota governor tim pawlenty announcing he is indeed a 2012 president candidate for the white house running in the republican caucus and nomination process. he will be expected to emphasize several points which with help him here in iowa. one we is a mid westerner from a border state, that he has won state-wide contests in what he described as a center-left state, the state of minimum so the that and he knows how to balance a budget. that he has budgetary experience and the budget on the federal level will be an extraordinarily large issue here in the republican nomination process. he will get some push back from democrats how to how that final budget as he is going out the door, going from governor to former governor is going to end up, and that is still later this summer. but he and his supporters insist that when it's all said and done that final budget will be in the black. >> my strengths are this. when it comes to getting this federal government spending and deficit and debt under control i've got a record in minnesota of actually doing that. like i said there's only four governors in the country that got that a grade from kato institute, i did. i cut taxes, i did market based. performance pay for teachers. that's why some of the outside groups are saying this is the one of the best if not one of the best conservative programs in the country. >> reporter: he certainly has put in the time, he started assembling an impressive level of iowa republican -- political professionals that are out there beginning to do that groundwork and certainly he's put in the time here in the state of iowa starting with almost a year and a half's worth of visits in the state. if you are going to make your mark as somebody who doesn't have the kind of name id or a sarah palin, or mitt romney or mike huckabee or newt gingrich would have this state would be the one to be in. jon: looks like a beautiful day for an announcement. thank you, steve. jenna: joining us now is someone who proceed sraoeuld pawlenty on a series of presidential candidates bret baier. you did she's profiles a few months ago. now that you see pawlenty actually jumping into the race officially here saying, i am running for president, what do you think defines him as a candidate? >> reporter: i think steve hit on it right there. eight years as governor in minnesota, a blue state, pawlenty had a conservative record, one in which he arguably balanced the budget without raising taxes. we'll see how that pans out as steve mentioned down the road and democrats will probably come after him over the specifics of the budget. but he support -d ca supported e but has since walked that back. he's seen as someone who succeeded in a blue state, and that is important for reaching out to independents and blue collar workers that republicans really want to tap into in 2012. he's a nice guy, he's painted as a nice guy and the concern is does he have the sharp elbows to be able to -- and the sizzle to be able to really win the gop primary? i asked him about that in that series and he says, you know what maybe we don't need sizzle this time. jenna: everyone needs a little stkeuz hsizzle. as the white house is getting ready for their own come main as well how do you think they are perceiving pawlenty jumping in. >> reporter: i think it was expected and one person who they are looking at. i mean you know he's not well-known and you've seen the polls across the country, it's not taken off as far as his approval -- paw lien tee's lie l rating. we'll see if it takes off. it's a busy weekend. mitch daniels designificance not to run, herman cain got in the race on saturday and pawlenty today. it will be interesting to see if his campaign gets some of the absorption from the daniels crowd who really wanted to see him run. jenna: you point out how quickly things can changement we put together the 2012, the 12 you profiled to see where we are, and if we can show you that we'll show you some of those that we've shadowed out. they officially said they are not running or dropped out of the race. what surprises you now taking a look at this group several months after you first profiled these 12? >> reporter: yeah, i think chris christie is still a question mark. he said no, and obviously sarah palin is a question mark. but it is interesting, months ago we came up with this list of potential gop candidates, and we went out and we wanted to start the process to just see who -- profile them, now we are down to probably three, really, who are in the race, and a couple of question marks, and it's just fascinating to see how the dynamic has changed. we came up with this list, we thought we had everybody on the list that we could possibly think of, and so far we're three for 12. jenna: [laughter] well, you know, you do what you can. three for 12, that's not too bad. >> reporter: they were interesting pieces, that's right. jenna: and those absent faces leave room for other people. i know you took a look at a few others as well. we'll talk about those in the coming weeks i'm sure, bret. he will be with us tonight of course 6:00pm eastern time. what are you going to do, you do your best, that's all you can do. after a jury selection that went through fits and starts casey anthony's murder trial gets underway tomorrow. she is accused of killing her own child. but with no witnesses and no confession prosecutors will have only one thing to rely on, what will that be? we're live from florida with the answer to that question. also, mechanics san police are calling it the most gruesome discovery in the last four years. dozens of bodies buried in plain sight. in the meantime we're keeping an eye on the devastation in the midwest. jon is taking a look at some of our online coverage. jon: the pictures continue to come into foxnews.com. we mentioned it last hour. but if you take a look on our home page you can click on the link to some of the incredible photos that are coming in as joplin, missouri tries to cleanup after that horrific tornado struck there just about 18 hours ago. people are in shock, but people are pitching in to help one another out. it's all available for you there on foxnews.com, and foxnews.com is your other news source. there's a whole world missing when you search on orbitz. like eve single american airlines flight. orbitz doesn't have them. but you'll find all 3,400 of them at aa.com. every day. jon: terrible and gruesome new developments in mexico's violent drug war. police there say they have discovered another mass grave in the city of durango. 9 bodies dug up so far in the largest find of the last two months. julie bandaras has the latest details from our new york city newsroom. >> reporter: officials say the mass graves probably hold the corpses of executed gang rivals, or possibly kidnap victims or even mexican police. 89 bodies were found buried in a vacant auto repair lot close to schools. making this the largest of mass graves found in tku durango sine last month. some of the corpses have been in the groundless than six months. others have been there for as long as four years. this latest burial site raises the obvious question, how could residents or authorities not know something was terribly wrong? some human rights advocates argue police in durango may have turned a blind eye to the grim crimes going on in their city. >> this didn't happen gradually. these are the graves of considerable size. based on the situation we are asking for an examination, why didn't they notice. >> reporter: the city's morgue was so overwhelmed by the large number of badly decomposed remains, refrigerated trailers needed to be brought in to store piles of bodies awaiting examination. forensic experts struggled to identify crimes, or tattoos or fingerprints leaving it up to the hundreds of families to come and take dna tests hoping to find out if any of the dead are their loved ones who violently appeared months or even years ago. the number of bodies recovered so far in durango 219, of course that figure sure to rise with this newest discovery, but in four rears, get this. mexico's bloody drug war has produced almost 40,000 gang-related murders not including the thousands of miss persons, jon. jon: julie, thank you. jenna: opening statements are set to begin tomorrow in casey anthony's murder trial. anthony stands accused of killing her two-year-old daughter caylee in a case that captured the nation's attention. phil keating is live in orlando with more. what can we expect tomorrow. >> reporter: we could expect a bombshell. that's what legal observers are bracing themselves for, that perhaps jose baez the lead counsel for may unload something surprising pointing a finger at perhaps a family member as the person to blame in this case. it's been three years since the news broke that 2-year-old caylee anthony went missing, unreported to anyone by her mother for 31 days. throughout this has been a sensational case from her mother, cindy anthony telling the 911 dispatcher that it spelled like a dam dead body was in her daughter's drunk. she was then explaining was a pizza. having protestors from the orlando parbgt protesting outside the anthony home yelling baby killer throughout the nig night. >> i feel uni apologize, i would never do it again, i can swear on my own life. >> reporter: chaos erupted in the clear water, florida courtroom as this woman suddenly yelled from the back of the room, she killed someone any way. that earned her an angry contempt of court. he did swear in the jury, all of whom will be sequestered here in orlando a hundred miles from their homes. this trial is expected to last six to eight weeks. the make up of this trial is 12 kwraors plus five alternates, so the 12 jurors are seven women and five men and they will decide beginning tomorrow, 9:00am in the orange county courthouse whether the death of caylee anthony came at the hands of her then 22-year-old mom. the prosecution theory is that casey basically didn't want to be a single mom any more. she wanted to be free, single and party and not have the burden of responsibility. they contend casey researched on the internet inside her parents' home how to break a neck and cleacloroform, and they contende use that to make caylee go unconscious. and duct tape her mouth and stash her in her car for a couple of days and dump her in the woods a quarter mile from her house. the defense theory is that the case is all circumstantial evidence and the prosecution team is basing a lot of it on junk science. it will be interesting, 9:00am tomorrow morning. jenna: interesting indeed. tough allegations, innocent until proven guilty. we'll see out court case goes. phil keating with the latest for us out of florida today. in the meantime jon over to you. jon: i'm in the aqua situations department in fox news where we're keeping an eye on the satellite feeds coming in, take a look at remote 252, a look into nasa's mission control. keeping an eye on space shuttle endeavor on its history-making mission. tim pawlenty about to officially announce his campaign for president, he's in day pho*eupbs, iowa. over here on 260, there is the white house, this is the office that tim pawlenty and so many others want to occupy. president obama is overseas in ireland eight when he goes overseas it seems all hell looks like. take a look at remote 248, that's joplin, missouri where tornadoes tufpd down 18 hours baggy. so much damage, 19 people day. we are keeping an eye on it here in acquisitions on fox news. butm say something interesting. so how about this weekend we learn some new tricks of the trade... then break out our doing clothes and get rolling. let's use some paint that helps us get the job done in record time and makes a statement when we're finished. we're lower the cost of a new favorite color. more saving. more doing. that's the power of the home depot. get five dollars off one-gallon cans of select behr, glidden,nd martha stewart living paint. jenna: right now new developments on three crime stories we are keeping an eye on today. a rutgers university service pleading not guilty from charges this his roommate committed suicide. he allegedly used a camera, what happened is he apparently broadcast an encounter between clementi and another man. after that incident clementi committed suicide. the 15 charges which include by as intimidation, which says that robby acted because clementi was gay, in the meantime a prosecutor calling the son of kerrigan nasty, drunk. prosecutors allege mark kerrigan caused his own father's death after the struggle during an argument. the kerrigan family insists he died of a long-standing heart gun. rob blagojevich asking for a mistrial. he says they failed to prove the allegations in question. prosecutors rested their case last week. the defense is expected to put on its case when the retrial convenes this wednesday. jon: president obama's remarks on mideast peace talks ruffled some feathers last week. over the weekend he clarified his remarks concerning negotiations based on israel's pre-1967 borders. his address on sunday earning widespread praise from the jewish community including israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu. joining us now is prime minister benjamin netanyahu's former chief of staff george burnbomb. these two have had a contentious relationship in the past, is it better now. >> i don't think it's better. i think president obama, especially in his speech thursday, which was not a flippant remark, it was a major policy peach means what he said. and when he said israel should go back to 1967 board december. i think we have to take him at his words. i think the relays ship is not any better, it's probably worse than it was. jon: he says and tried to clarify on sunday, 1967 borders with land swaps attached agreed to by both sides . does that clarify the situation? >> no, not really. 1967 borders, there are a few things. first it's the practical tactical aspect of it. really putting ears on the position of being nine miles wide. the average commuter in the united states travels 16 miles to work every day. 67 borders puts israel in the position as half as wide traveled by any worker in the united states. you don't have to be a general or military scientist to understand that that is not defendable from a military standpointment more importantly is in a negotiates process with the palestinians, using that terminology, 1967 borders is a reward to the palestinians, something they can rally behind. to reward bad behavior which in fact the pal tin steupb yans have done in signing a agreement with a terrorist organization, hamas is a bad diplomatic policy. jon: aren't these the kind of pronouncements that you generally take to both sides in private before you trout them out in a very public speech? >> absolutely. i think it was -- i think again the president is very committed to his vision and this is part of it, and i think the israeli people, the jewish people worldwide have to be very cautious about what this president's intents are. jon: i can argue the flip side though, too there has been attempt, after attempt after attempt at mideast peace. nothing has come to fruition, why not get bold and make a big peach in the way this president did. >> the entire middle east, not just the israelis and the palestinians, the entire midwest is literally a minefield. if you're walking through a mind field as the mayor of jerusalem used to say you walk very slowly, you're taught that in the army. to be bold at this time when we don't know what the outcome of ha will happen in egypt, tunisia or yemen or other countries surrounding israel is a mistake diplomatic lee and practically. to be bold now, remember, jon as you know, this is not 44 or 63-year-old conflict this is a 2,000-year-old conflict. taking our time and getting it right as mr. benjamin netanyahu so eloquent lee right, history will not give the jewish people a second chance. getting the right is the most important thing right now, not trying to earn the peace price you got, undeservedly in your career. jon: we are noted the undeservedly there. he is the former chief of staff to benjamin netanyahu of israel. thank you george. jenna: a twister touches down and tears up a six mile path of destruction, an entire missouri town almost completely leveled. now new threats of severe weather on the horizon. mike to be inch is preparing for his next report. another republican candidate about to officially announce that he's running for president in person this time. he did it on a web video. we'll take you live to iowa as tim pawlenty makes his was run. president obama about to speak in moments as waoes traveling overseas. it's all "happening now" we'll take you there live in a few moments. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] help brazil reduce its overall reliance on foreign imports with the launch of the country's largest petrochemical operation. ♪ when emerson takes up the challenge, "it's never been done before" simply becomes consider it solved. emerson. ♪ jon a fox news alert. take a look at a live picture from demoines, the person whose face is partially hidden by the teleprompter display screen there is tim pawlenty, former governor of mississippi, that's his wife, mary, taking to the podium. he is about to announce he is officially in the running for the republican nomination for president. we'll keep an hear on the announcement of his candidacy, if he makes any news we'll bring you the highlights ahead. jenna: from iowa, to ireland now, to continue to watch what the president is doing today. the president on his first part of a six-day trip to europe in ireland, he visited the place his great, great, great grandfather's birth was, and now he's in dublin and there's an irish celebration taking place. we expect some comments coming from the president, and we'll watch for any news coming from that. so far, this trip has been described as nostalgic for the president, to kind of retrace some of the steps that his -- of his ancestors we'll keep you updated on the events as they happen. jon: a fox news alert, a thunderstorm is hampering rescue efforts in op lin, missouri, crews still looking for any possible survivors who might still be trapped after a tornado ripped through op lin less than 24 hours ago, leaving at least 90 people dead. a thunderstorms is -- a thunderstorm is lashing that city with heavy rain, hail, winds up to 60 miles an hour. that's all all kinds of problems and scares, really, for the search and rescue teams. joining us on the phone, major tammy spicer with the missouri national guard from jefferson city, missouri. how many members of the guard are out there? >> right now we have 140 soldier citizens from the national guard standing side by side with first responders and leaders from the joplin area, just helping this community through this unthinkable and continuing worsening tragedy. jon: there are so many problems, cell phone towers were knocked down, power is out, communications are very spotty. what's the guard's biggest job? >> you know, the guard works in support of local authorities, so governor jay nixon immediately mobilized the guard, knowing that the community of joplin has far exceeded its resources with this horrible tragedy, and really, our main priority has been assisting with search and rescue, and as this weather just continues to pummel this community, we need to be out there doing what we can to get everyone to safety. we are helping somewhat with communications, because that's -- there are so many people coming to help and they need to be able to talk to each other. jon: and you know, no tornadoes apparently in today's forecast, but the misery of a downpour, you know, you've got a hole in your roof if you're lucky enough to have a roof at all, you've got a downpour coming through, you've got 60-mile an hour straight line winds from the thunderstorm, that is just insult on top of injury. >> it really is. and this community just, more than ever, needs us to stand beside them and behind them and give them the strength they need and that extra encouragement. missouri is all about helping our neighbors, and so this is an example of us all pulling together to get through this unthinkable tragedy. jon: i went to school in missouri, and very, very good people there, and we wish them well. we know the nation is pulling for them. going to be a lot of people donating to the red cross and agencies like t. i know. major tammy spicer with the missouri national guard, thank you. >> thank you jon. jon: we appreciate it when you our viewers send us what you're seeing on the ground. we put out the call last hour for pictures or video from joplin. take a look. william got back to us, he stayed safe in a furniture store as the storm was roaring in. when he went outside, he heard screaming. this is video he took when he went searching for anyone who needed help. he says it's absolute chaos, he has never seen anything remotely close to this. look at those trees, stripped bare of bramples, every leaf is gone. william says his family is safe but he has friends who remain missing. thanks for sending us that video william and for those of the rest of you, accepted us your images of any tornado aftermath. go to foxnews.com/you decide. please be sure, there are downed power lines, obviously, nails sticking up in the debris, we don't want you getting hurt in the process of helping us report this very big story. jenna: we'll keep you updated on this news state side. in the meantime we head overseas to this next headline, the taliban denying reports their leader was killed in pakistan. the terrorist group says mullah omar is alive and is well. conor powell is streaming live from kabul with the latest. conor. >> reporter: jenna, today was one of the more bizarre days of reporting here in afghanistan. early this morning western and afghan journalists started getting calls from afghan security officials saying that mullah omar, the military and spiritual leader of the taliban, had been killed in pakistan, by mid morning, afghan news stations were saying he had been killed while the isi, the pakistani intelligence service, were moving mullah omar from geta to the western part of pakistan to a safer area, then later in the afternoon, the same very afghan officials who said and were confirming omar had been killed then later said that no, mullah omar, simply has disappeared from his safe hiding spot in pakistan, leading to questions about where he was hiding in pakistan, and why this was suf a safe spot if everybody knew about it. but they are still saying that afghan -- afghan security officials are saying he's missing, the taliban all the while are saying no, mullah omar is perfectly fine, he's safe. what's not clear, if he's supposedly hiding in pakistan or afghanistan, but most people think he is hiding in pakistan with some of the help of the pakistani security officials. the reason this was so important is that mullah omar was the spiritual and military leader of the taliban here, and there are sort of two schools of thought about whether or not his death would help bring about an end of the conflict here in afghanistan or if he's the only person who can negotiate some type of settlement here. so it's a big sort of bizarre and chaotic day, because his importance here is like that to usama bin laden across the way in pakistan, when he was killed, there were many afghans and westerners who thought with the death of mullah omar, maybe this war would actually come to a quicker end. jenna: we'll continue to watch those developments out of afghanistan. conor, thank you very much. jon: a fox news alert. the republican field for president 2012 is taking shape. over the weekend we found out herman cain, former godfather ceo, is in, and this man is officially saying he's in. tim pawlenty, former governor of minnesota. >> president obama promised that spending $800 billion on a pork-filled stimulus bill would keep unemployment under 8 percent. he promised that bailouts for well-connected businesses were a good deal for the country. he promised that a federal takeover of health care would keep costs under control. and as hard as it is to believe, he even promised that he would cut the decifit in half during his first term as president. but the truth is, since president obama -- >> >> coming up on "america live", op lin, missouri, we've got brand new pictures and a climbing death toll as more bad weather is looming right now. families are searching on the ground and even on the internet for their loved ones. also, the 2012 race, crirs stierwalt joins me with a surprising take on who he sees emerging in the gop field. and giants fan brian stow fights for his life at this hour. his cousin joins us now with the family's reaction to the arrest of a convicted gang member. all that and much more coming up at the top of the hour on "america live". we'll see you then. jenna: just want to take you back to iowa, tim pawlenty, former governor of minnesota, is running for president, and he announced today in iowa he is doing so. his comments, we're carrying live for you on fox news.coment. we'll take you to any of the headlines and anything that we think is important. jon: breaking news right now from across the globe. first, it is pushing 10:00 p.m. in pakistan, where troops regained control of a naval base from taliban militants, the insurgents attacked and then occupied that high security facility for 18 hours. they destroyed two u.s.-built airplanes and killed 12 security officers. next, it's about 8:00 p.m. in iraq where a car bomb killed seven people. according to reports, the target was a police captain who was injured. finally, almost 5:00 p.m. now local time in iceland, where a volcano is still spew ago cloud of ash into the heavens, that's impacting british air space. right now scottish airlines are already canceling dozens of flights. you'll recall the eruption of another volcano in iceland led to the grounding of thousands of flights worldwide. jenna: a fox news alert, a major decision out of a very divided supreme court today that affects one of america's largest prison systems, and will likely send shock waves across all 50 states. james rosen has been taking a look behind the headlines on this. james. >> reporter: at issue in this case was whether the state of california had to comply with a lower court order directing the state's prison authorities to reduce their prison population by about 22 percent. today, a sharply divided u.s. supreme court decided that yes, the state must obey that order. california's prisons are by all accounts severely overcrowded, even compliance with today's decision meaning the release of about 32,000 inmates will still only bring the prison population in california down to about 137 percent of capacity. the plaintiffs, a group of inmates, add halg -- had alleged that prisoners as a class, including disabled and menly hand i capped were suffering violation of the eighth amendment on criewsh and unusual punishment, writing for the majority of the justice anthony kennedy joined by the four liberal members of the court in an opinion that deported from tradition by including photographs of poor prison conditions. kennedy wrote and i quote, if aprison deprives prisoners of basic sub stensance including basic adequate medical care the courts have a pont to remedy the eighth amendment violation. justice scalia, leading the 4-member conservative block which produced two defenses wrote his defense from the bench, and today, he wrote, the court affirms what is perhaps the most radical injunction issued by a court in our nation's history, requiring california to release the staggering number of 46,000 convicted criminals. scalia's figures were based on older population data. he adoo he added the vast majority of inmates most generously rewarded by this will not be prisoners are medical conditions or veer mental illness and many will be fine physical specimens who have developed muscles pumping iron in the gym. in 2006 then california governor arnold shars weg invoked emergency powers to ship inmates off to private prison facility necessary other states. it will be interesting to see if other prison systems now see lawsuits filed like this one and have to obey an order like this one. jenna: very interesting and the process for letting those said prisoners out. obviously a lot more to the story, james. thank you very much for the break down today. >> thank you. jon: there's an arrest in the brutal beating -- beating of a giants fan, there he is, he's the father of two, beaten almost senseless on opening day, but the search for suspects is not over. a live report straight ahead. and more troubles for mississippi river flood waters. )%)%)%)%)%)%)%)%)%)%)%)%% jon: remember way back in january here in the northeast? we were buried under about 8 feet of snow? and janice dean, the weather machine, was leaving us to go have a baby! well, little teddy was born in february. >> and you guys actually, we signed off with you on "happening now", you and jenna and there's my little guy! theodore patrick newman. jenna: how old is he? >> 3 1/2 months. jenna: 3 1/2 months and back. how is older brother matthew doing? >> matthew is doing okay. he's not king of the hill anymore, and jon came over, actually, jon came over last week to see theodore and matthew and he brought us beautiful gifts, and thank you to you guys and all of the viewers who wrote in. jon: uh-oh. okay. jenna: i did a trademark. >> what does carroll burnett do? she does that to tell them their loved and mommy has to earn a paycheck. jon: and she's only called home once so far. janice dean, welcome back! jenna: in the meantime, we have to take everybody else to ireland right now. there's the president, president obama, getting ready to make a speech at a celebration in dublin, ireland, he's retracing the steps of some of his ancestors today, in money gls gall, where his great, great, great grandfather lived before immigrating to the united states. so the president is going to be addressing this large crowd in dublin, and this is the first of a six-day, 4-country tour for the president, it's streaming live, foxnews.com. we'll be right back with more of "happening now". em. but you'll find all 3,400 of them at aa.com. every day. jenna: the primary suspect in the brutal beat -lg o beating os fan is in custody now. they hope his arrest will lead to more suspects who might have beaten brian stow. he suffered brain damage and remains in critical condition seven weeks eave was attacked in the stadium working lot. casey staoeg i wil steigal is l. >> reporter: the tip came from a parole officer who recognized the man from the police sketches circulated around the country. it was early yesterday morning when police converged on an apartment complex in hollywood detaining several people. this going down less than three miles from dodger stadium. in the end 31-year-old giovani ramirez was arrested. he is a documented gang member with a long rap sheet including three prior felony convictions. l.a.p.d. saying ramirez and another guy repeatedly kicked 42-year-old brian stow in the head following the season's opening game back in march. he was reportedly targeted simply for being a san francisco giants' fan. the father of two remains in a coma and the search for two other suspects continues at this hour. the other man who took part in the beating and a woman who drove the get away car. stow has shown slight signs of improvement in the last several days and a member of his family expected to talk with martha maccallum up next on "america live." you won't want to miss that. jon: our must-see moment of the day comes from new york. this was a very, very big weekend not only in my household but for thousands of people all across the country. those are the west point cadets of 2011 who have been at west point now for four years, graduating. there is admiral mike mullen awarding the diploma to the class president, joe simon. the big hat toss. the west point class of 2011. if you want to feel good about america. jenna: who are those guys. jon: that is my dad, and my son gosh, member of 2011. these are pictures from the parade on friday. if you want to feel good about america i tell you what go to a service academy graduation. i know you have a connection to one of those. jenna: annapolis, maybe a better one. jon: a country club from what i here. [laughter] jon: it really is just absolutely a moving moment to go to one of those