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Mexico is not promising enough of a crackdown to stop illegal immigration. And dday 75 years later. Western leaders gather at normandy and pay tribute to the heroes who paid history. You are among very greatest americans who will ever live. You are the pride of our nation. You are the glory of our republic, and we thank you from the bottom of our hearts. [ applause ] well have more from todays very moving dday commemoration a little later in the program, but we begin the hour with a dramatic escalation in Nancy Pelosis antitrump rhetoric, the words spoken by politico in a private meeting by house democrats. Quote, i dont want to see him impeached. I want to see him in prison. Its extraordinary language for any political leader to suggest a sitting president belongs in prison. Even more so because pelosi as speaker is third in line to the presidency, and she is the nations top elected democrat. Speaker pelosi is known to choose her words quite carefully. This escalation comes as she tries to hold back calls for an immediate impeachment inquiry, and as the pressure comes from not just democratic back benchers but from members of her own Leadership Team. Jerry nad slaer longtime pelosi loyalist but listen to nadler who is chairman of the committee who would be responsible for any impeachment proceeding. Are you on the same page as the speaker, nancy pelosi, what it comes to impeachment . As i said, we are launching an inquiry now, and whether well launch an impeachment inquiry, it may come to that. It may come to that. When that decision has to be made, it will be made not by any one individual. It will probably be made by the court because certainly nancy will the largest single voice in it, the Committee Chairmen and rank and file members. Cnns manu raju joins us live from capitol hill. For the speaker of the house to say i want to see him in prison, wow. Reporter yeah, its a remarkable statement, and it also goes to what shes trying to do in convincing her members to back off impeachment. Shes saying she does not want to go down that route. She has been consistent in that. She has had an uptick in her comments about what she views as the president s actions including the line she said in recent weeks as what she sees as a coverup from this administration. Now saying once hes removed from office she would like to see him go to jail, but what message is she trying to send to her colleagues is that it doesnt make much sense to go this route of impeaching this president because the senate was ultimately equipped as president , the president that would use him to campaign and help him get reelected. Thats the political argument that shows been making for her argument, the challenge is making sure her members agree with her. You played that committee from jerry nadler of the House Judiciary Committee who would be in charge of launching impeachment proceedings. Hes getting his own pressure from his own members on that very committee to open up formal impeachment proceedings, and nadler himself is sympathetic to those concerns, has urged pelosi to consider opening up an impeachment inquiry believing this would help the case in court and believing thats the route that they should ultimately go. Pelosi has backed down and rejected those requests, but making the rather dramatic remarks behind closed doors and thats where she wants to see the president go. The question is how much longer can she hold off her caucus from saying, well, if hes committed crimes, why dont we take every step necessary to potentially impeach him and remove him from office. At the moment shes saying no. Shes got the numbers at the moment. Will that change is the question for the weeks ahead. Appreciate the live reporting. With me to share their reporting an insights, cnns dana bash, Michael Schar with the New York Times and Vivian Selena with the wall street journal. Youve covered the speaker a long time. She does not fly off the hand. I want to see him in prison. Why, and why now . She is, as manu just report, so accurately, she is being squeezed further and further into the corner by her own membership, and the fact that you showed what jerry nadler, the House Judiciary Committee chairman said after an uncomfortably pregnant pause with wolf blitzer. The biggest news in that was the pause. Exactly. Him trying to figure out what to say, according to the political report which said that she wants to see him, the president in prison, that was a direct response to jerry nadler and other members of her Leadership Team saying, come on. Weve got to do this. Weve got to start the impeachment inquiry, and so she is certainly a master tactician. She understands her caucus. She has a reservoir of goodwill with her caucus, but its becoming harder and heard and harder, and the context, of course, of saying prison is that she believes that the best way to address this is at the ballot box. A firstterm voters about to face the voters. Let voters vote him out, she believes politically it will be easier to do that without impeachment proceedings and then the constitution or at least maybe the department of justice will be more more apt to prosecute him for crimes that she clearly believes that he commit that had she cant go after him for as president. Underestimate her at your peril given that she cant be speaker again. Remember, shes speaker again. Remember, some think that this is a tactical mistake on her part, among them brian fallon, a longtime democratic strategist in the clinton campaign. If you generally think trump is in prison, opening the impeachment inquiry is the absolute least you can do. If you think youve got him, you need to impeach him. George conway, the husband of cone Washington Bureau the trump adviser and a veteran washington attorney, given dojs attorneys of not indicting president s this provision counsel is in favor of impeachment because if you think trump should in jail for his crimes, hell get there sooner the sooner he leaves office. Yeah. Thats the fine line that nancy pelosi is walking here where shes trying to throw some red meat there in an ironic way to sort of tamp down the calls for impeachment. The other potential area in this, 2016, the most common chant at donald trump rallies is lock her up and this is a way and a way that the democrats criticized of being out of line for calling on somebody to go jail for political purposes. Democrats will argue that this is beyond political purposes, but tint deuces that sort of element that we need to win this election so we can put this current president in jail which is quite striking. Democrats said wait a minute, thats beyond the pale. Mark levin, a supporter of the president , has always tweeted now nancy pelosi should be expelled. Thats not going to happen, but you do get into the base politics of all of this, and one of the things we dont know. The president is traveling overseas. We dont know how closely hes following the news. We dont know if hes aware of her statement that she thinks he should be in prison and he has a new nickname for how his arch rival. Nancy pelosi, i call her nervous nancy. Nancy pelosi is a disaster, okay, a disaster. Let her do what she wants. You know. What i think they are in big trouble. Its been interesting to watch this escalation. He calls her crazy sometimes. Now he has nervous nancy. She says hes covering up crimes, and now she says he belongs in prison. The president is going to go out there like he does and going to call names and call this whole thing part of the broader witch hunt but at the end of the nancy vital is so vital to him for getting his agenda across. Hes about to announce the relaunch of his Election Campaign and has no trade deals because he cant get along with the democrats in the house. He has his Foreign Policy is sort of teetering all over the place. Hasnt really come to the table with the democrats in congress, even some republicans are now deciding with the democrats with regard to his trade deals, so hes between a rock and a hard spot and while this namecalling is sort of the president s m. O. In these situations, its not going to get him very far because at the end of the day hes going to have to cooperate with them how. And they were not the republicans were not as successful as they hoped in the mid terms of making pelosi such a rallying crime. I suspect having the speaker of the house saying she believes or she would like to see the president in prison will help. As you try to dissect, you know, again, shes very complicated. She is very strategic, and, again, you underestimate her at her peril, why she would take it up further. Every week shes gone up in her escalation of the rhetoric, and yet, listen to her here, she says, no, its not really pressure. No. Im not feeling any pressure. Let me just address that. I see in some metropolitan journals and on some tv that we are trying to find our way or unsure, but make no mistake. The we know exactly what path were on. We know exactly what actions we need to take, and while that may take more time than some people want it to take, i respect their impatience. I would love to know her definition of pressure. Well, look, i think one of the things that to know about nancy pelosi is even though these moments, these episodes of her ratcheting this up look like video kind of moments in time and so were apt to think about them as kind of like these incidents of pressure being and then her reacting quickly. This is not a person who sort of reacts off the cuff like that. Shes got a strategy. Now she may shift, right, if if the pressures around her do, you know, kind of force her to adjust her strategy, but make that doubt, this is im certain a thought out, well thought out strategy of how shes going to kind of get from a to z. The only thing i will add is shes been ratcheting up her rhetoric in public and this might have been incredibly strategic to get this leak out there which i find it hard to believe on her part, others maybe. This was not part of that im going to ratchet up my rhetoric in public. Theres no sound bite that they can make that about on the republican side where they had a chants at every single rally. Nancy pelosi knows how divisive impeachment proceedings could, and this is something that could be very detrimental to the country as a whole and a lot of democrats very afraid of that, but just talking about the impeachment could real rally the Democratic Base ahead of the elections. Yeah. Were going to take over. Were going to do this, and its something that i think shes probably very hesitant about, but sneaking into it gradually. Some of the Public Comments have been designed to set the president off. She does know how to get under his skin. Well see his reaction. Right. Well see his reactions as he gets a better sense of how hes aware that have. Well stay on top of that story. More of the more poignant moments at the dday ceremony in normandy honoring americas greatest generation. 65 of those in 192 American Veterans in attendance today were survivors. We know what we owe to you, veterans, our freedom. On behalf of my nation, i just want to say thank you. Medic ray lambert. Again and again ray ran back into the water. He dragged out one man after another. Ray, the free world salutes you. Thank you, ray. [ cheers and applause ] mexican officials are back in urgent meetings with the Trump Administration today, and there is some talk of progress, but the president says not enough progress, and his word makes clear that the president believes that a 5 tariff on all mexican goods will take effect on monday due to a weak mexican effort to stop the flow of migrants towards the u. S. Border. Weve told mexico that the tariffs go on, and im very happy with it. A lot of people, senators included, they have no idea what they are talking about when it comes to tariffs. They have absolutely no idea. Were the piggy bank. The United States is the piggy bank. It has all the money that others want to take from us, and they are not taking it anymore. Its a lot different. The the dow is up 68 point. Thats a modest gain. Senate republicans trying to get the president to back down or at least slowdown. They want to hear from him directly about the tariff plan but the president not due back from europe until friday and the senate scheduled to be out of session though im sure they could arrange a meeting. If you listen to the president , number one, he said senators dont know anything. The are president talks about how tariffs work in a parallel universe than how they actually work. The president s words the other day on this trip, if mexico came to the table with a pretty good table, that hell say no, well do this first, and then well talk. Hes seemed to determine that this is going to happen monday. When youre talking about senators, youre talking about senate republicans, too, and this is an intraparty fight. If you look at some of the states that this impacts, texas impacted and michigan impacted quite heavily, so these are important political states, you know, for the president s reElection Campaign, so i think until that argument is made to him, i think hes making his base play like he usually does to try and drive up his base, so in that sense he wants to be hard on mexico regardless of if the deal is actually a good one or not. Go ahead. Its also no surprise that the president loves tariffs. He thinks they are a very effective tool to getting people to comply to what his demands are and even the closest advisers around him from trade representative lighthizer to some of his white house staff are not seeing this as the right path forward, so since day one, since the tweet came out, a number of his advisers saying, you know, what this may not even go through. Its essential lit president s way of maybe sucker punching mexico into complying with his demands quickly, but ultimate lit president is the Still Holding firm because he does see this as an effective tool to get him to listen to his demands. Almost as if he wants them to believe its in place and then he can say see it, worked. I got them to come to the table. Got them to come to the table with a stronger plan. Hes mixing trade and immigration. You mentioned many soft states. If youre a republican senator or any member of congress can, rich neal, a democrat from massachusetts, chairman of the ways and means, says the president is common deering imtrade policy with immigration policy and john cornyn, who often questions the president , a pretty loyal republican. He says numbers. 406,000 u. S. Jobs lost if 5 went into effect is the estimate of this analyst group. 117,000 of those, more than 117,000 of those in texas alone. That is why john cornyn, again works often is muted in his criticism of the president says please, no. Tariffs, on the other hand, would be a massive tax. The u. S. Chamber estimates that texas alone would face 45. 35 billion anyone creased costs as a result of a 5 tariff that could take effect as early as monday. This translates into about 1,000 more on a car. Hes on the ballot, us a noted, and what the president has done. Hes twisted his party like a pretzel on many issues, trade significantly, and if youre a texas reap warnings immigration as well. And this is on the backdrop of pain, severe pain that so many of the senators and house members in trumpwon states are feeling and they are hearing about from their constituents, farmers in iowa, you know, farmers all over, you know, red state and blue state america, so that is already going on, and this threat is just its like from their perspective its kicking them when they are down, and so that is why you this is going to be such a fascinating test to see if the insurrection that is going on right now on capitol hill among the president s fellow republicans that weve not seen on a policy issue is going to actually see fruition and they are going to act on this if in fact the president goes through with this 5 tariff. I dont know if credit is the right word. You mentioned senator cornyn is on the ballot and so is President Trump. Youre right, tariffs, trade and the issue on which hes been most consistent dating back to when hes been in politics and hes on the ballot. Some of his private analysts worry Global Growth is slowing. Theres a threat of a global recession anyway even without imposing tariffs against mexico and the president says, he may, depending on his meeting with president xi, he may impose even more tariffs on china. Well, you mean, when am i going to put the extra 325 billion worth of tariffs . I will make that decision, i would say, over the next two weeks. Probably right after the g20. A lot of economists question wait a minute, how hes doing it. Standing up to china is something long overdue. The president is slight about that, but its a Political Risk that a lot of politicians would not take such a risk heading into their own Election Campaign that he could tip the economy into a slowdown and some even think a recession. Heres the problem. With china at least there are a series of specific things on the table that they are negotiating, and if they get there, then he can back off. On mexico, you know, the mexicans i talked to Senior Administration officials familiar with the negotiations and discussions at the white house, that what the mexicans came with that said well do this, this, and this, but the problem is that nothing that they can do, nothing that the government of mexican can do substantly substantively on the ground which the president wants which is an 100 end to illegal immigration which is impossible. How can the president find a way to back off, maybe with the urging of his aides, because its an allornothing kind of thing which hes described it which is, you know, concerning if youre a senate republican. Well, the administration has already had to provide assistance for farmers who are hurting from the china tariffs, and now you the mexico tariffs coming on the heels of that. The white house can see they are already having an Economic Impact but the president believes in the long game and ultimately heines sifting that the long game will pay off for americans. We shall wait and see. We shall wait and see. Again, thats where a lot of republicans say, yes, help but the farmers, but thats not conservative markedbased economics. Up next, joe biden facing a hurdle. Could his stand on abortion hurt him in the democratic primary . My insurance rates are probably gonna double. But dad, youve got allstate. With accident forgiveness they guarantee your rates wont go up just because of an accident. Smart kid. Indeed. Are you in good hands . I had no idea why my mouth was constantly dry. It gave me bad breath. It was so embarrassing. Now i take new biotene dry mouth lozenges whenever im on the go, which is all the time. New biotene dry mouth lozenges. Freshen breath anytime, anywhere. Rather than worry about how to pay for longterm care. 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What we dont like is relying on fancy technology for help. Snail mail we were invited to a y2k party. Uh, didnt that happen, like, 20 years ago . Oh, look, karolyn, weve got a mathematician on our hands check it out now you can schedule a callback or reschedule an appointment, even on nights and weekends. Todays xfinity service. Simple. Easy. Awesome. Id rather not. The democratic frontrunner joe biden facing a big test as he doubles own on what he calls his general election always strategy. Bidens Campaign Says the 2020 frontrunner still supports the Hyde Amendment which forbids federal money from funding abortion and the former Vice President s support of it means hes todays pinata for every other democratic candidate. Womens groups also quickly flogging biden suggesting hes out of touch. A planned parenthood action spokesman said, quote, supporting hyde isnt good policy or good politics. As noted, the former vp under fierce attack from primary rivals who said the Hyde Amendment discriminates against poor and minority women. This is senator cory booker just this morning. This assault on womens reproductive rights is an assault on women, but its a particularly an assault on africanamerican women and the Hyde Amendment to deny people through medicaid and medicare abortion rights, that is an assault on africanamerican women, too first big test. Weve seen some criticism of the crime bill vote. This is this we have debates in a couple of weeks. This is one issue in which joe biden among the other democrats stands alone. The other candidates say youre out of touch. The country has changed. Yeah, and, look, he he has a long game here. He understands what you need to win the general election, places like pennsylvania, places like michigan. He understands you cant put yourself in such a place to win the primary that you are that its impossible for you to win the general election and thats his whole gain. Thats one of the defining debates among democrats, biden is old school or traditional, says you cant be for medicare as all. Too liberal. Be called a socialist. We cant do it. On the Hyde Amendment hes obsessed like the support with the state of pennsylvania. Planned parenthood versus casey, a democratic governor and even senator casey has the governors son has become more prochoice. Hillary clinton lost the White Catholic vote and joe biden looks at that and says youre not winning pennsylvania and if youre not winning pennsylvania youre not winning michigan. He has an old school vote that catholics are swing voters, and many might be pro choice but dont like their tax dollars going to this. On the republican side, i was talking to a trump source who doesnt disagree with that when this initially came out and it became a thing yesterday, that being that states like pennsylvania, especially pennsylvania. This could help joe biden against a trump, no question in doing what hes trying to do, get the working class democrats barks maybe even disaffected republicans in the suburbs who are sick of the chaos in the trump duration, but i keep thinking about jeb bush who said he was going to try to win the primary by winning the general. He never got off the ground. At least joe biden is in the cat birds seat right now. The question is whether or not he can stay there and whether this issue is one thats going to bull him from his perch because people are so in such a different place for him on this which is genuine. He has had this position for 40 years. He does not believe taxpayer dollars should be used for abortions. To that point. Lets go back and listen to one of the criticism from biden from the other democrats youve been around too long. Some that have is raising his age and some of that is raising his views. The party has moved on. They believe the country has moved on. We dont know that. But if youre Bernie Sanders or alexandria ocasiocortez, you think the country is ready for medicare for all. You think the country is ready for a more get rid of the Hyde Amendment. We dont know that. Listen to biden way back when he was running for president in 2007 on meet the press. I still am opposed to public funding to abortion, and the reason i am, is again, it goes to the question of whether or not youre going to impose a view to support something that is not a guaranteed right but an affirmative action to promote. He described it in the same interview as the biggest dlilema between his own catholic faith and supporting abortion rights. A candidate must share my view on abortion. Liberals in 2004, only 17 of liberals said a candidate must share their view. Now its up to 37 . Moderates you see jumping from 10 to 21. Conservatives up, too, but not as dramatically. Running a general Election Strategy in the primary, i mean, i assume when we get to the debates this is going to be one of several flash points where the newer, younger, fresherfashed democrats say sorry, joe, that party is not around anymore. And bidens campaign is not committing to this in stone. They are saying essentially he would be open to repeal down the line. The country is different. Not just the Democratic Party is different, hed be going to a Supreme Court where hes got two new conservative judges in the last couple years alone and suddenly were talking about roe v. Wade and overturning, that and suddenly bidens people are faced with this dilemma of do you stick with this viewpoint if roe v. Wade is overturned . A lot of sources close to biden say, no. He would have to reconsider. He starts flipflopping though and then he gets into another dilemma. Yesterday was remarkable in the sense that the floodgates opened on biden. This primary contest has not become that antagonistic. People started mentioning by biden and started differentiating themselves from him. Cory booker this morning continuing and targeting africanamerican women which is a vital part to this party and a vital part that biden needs in south carolina, so i think theres a difference now where people see biden. They are tired of seeing him at the top of the poll and they realize they have to go after him and he is on an island on this issue. Everyone else is in a different side. His answer when inevitably brought up, his answer will have to be not just, you know, the general election answer but a substantive question. How do you respond to bookers credit stha criticism that this affects poof africanamerican women . Whats the substance that have and not brush it aside and have you to win and lets talk about electoral politics. Frontrunners get tested, and this unone is starting now and about to get more so. Details of a tragic military training accident that killed one west point cadet and injured many others. Award winning interface. Award winning design. Award winning engine. The volvo xc90. The most awarded luxury suv of the century. The volvo xc90. Heres another reason to join tmobile. Unlimited data with taxes and fees included. No surprises on your bill. Need another reason to join . Bring in your discount, and well match it. Thats right. Tmobile will match your discount. Shaving has been difficult for me. I have very sensitive skin, and i get ingrowing hairs. So its a daunting task. Oh i love it. Its a great razor. It has that fence in the middle. It gives a nice smooth shave. Just stopping that irritation. That burn that i get is really life changing. A few more details coming in from west point, new york, the home of the United States military academy. An accident there this morning left at least one cadet dead and more than 20 others injured. Cnns Paolo Sandoval was there on the scene. Were waiting for a briefing. What more have we learned from this terrible accident . Reporter we heard that this terrible accident involved a light, medium tactical vehicle referred to often as an lmpv. That was not the vehicle involved but one member on the scene said this is something that would bring supplies into a flood zone because they are very heavy and rugged and theres no telling what took place earlier this morning with that vehicle that left one cadet dead and 20 others injured and two other soldiers injured as well. And its important to point out at this point that we dont know the condition of those 22 people who were injured, but i can tell you the air is certainly heavy here. Hearts are certainly heavy here, john. A little while ago President Trump even taking to twitter expresses his condolences here, the commander in chief saying he was sorry to hear about these accidents involving this brave cadet and we want to point out that these are Young Service members in the early part of their career here during the summertime told by our military analysts that this particular part of new york is used for these kinds of exercises. We should point out that the west Point Academy still away from where we are right now. Were surround by government owned and operated Training Camps that are used for west point can a death, and were told that thats whats happening earlier this morning so its going to be interesting to hear exactly what specifically happens this year, obviously a very detailed and indepth investigation as we wait to hear from the superintendent of west point. Any moment now well see what happens. Well bring that back two. Its a terrible story, and well continue to update our viewers. Polo, well continue that. Up next, democrats head to the state of georgia to jockey for one support of one critical supporter. Clothes you want to wear another day. Make febreze part of your clean routine for whole home freshness. Our mission is to provide complete, balanced nutrition for strength and energy whoohoo greattasting ensure. With nine grams of protein and twentysix vitamins and minerals. Ensure, for strength and energy. Athis is the averys trying the ahottest new bistro. This is the averys. Wait. And the hottest taqueria . And the hottest. What are those . Oh, pierogis . And this is the averys wondering if eating out is eating into saving for their first home. This is jc. team member welcome to wells fargo, how may i help . vo whos here to help with a free Financial Health conversation, no strings attached. This is the averys with the support they needed to get back on track. Well done guys. team member this is wells fargo. When crabe stronger. 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Its their chance to make their case to a critical primary constituency in georgia and across the country. Cory booker arguing this morning record turnout is the key to the general election in defeating President Trump. We are not going to win this election by fighting him on his tougher and his terms. If we can make this a movement election that activates the consciouses of a country that brings out everybody from the sidelines of a democracy to getting on the field, communities like mine will see a nation where justice does roll down like water and righteousness like had a mighty stream. And in the all politics is local Department Rather georgia is home to Stacey Abrams who came up just short last year in her run for governor. First of all, Stacey Abrams is my hero, the fact that shes focusing her attention on Voting Rights and making sure everyones vote is counted. I look forward to meeting to her and follow the lead that shes offered to me and welcomed to everyone in this country. She is what this country needs right now. Hes just one. Actually, you know what, hang on. Theres more. If this country wasnt racist, Stacey Abrams would be governor. Without voter suppression, Stacey Abrams would be the governor of georgia. I think Stacey Abrams would be governor of georgia but for voter disenfranchisement. If you dont have the guts to participate in free, fair and open elections, get the hell out of politics, and i know that governor abrams agrees with me. Im sure its lost on Stacey Abrams that there are a lot of democrats who think maybe her support might be helpful in this race. Or meeting with her. All these guys are also trying to schedule meetings, do anything they can. Remember, she is not totally ruled out jumping into this race, so i think that is one of the dynamics at play. Its a worry among some candidates she could get in and kind of change the dynamics a little bit and also a potential Vice President ial nominee, but her her popularity in the party is strong and not just because of her strong georgia gubernatorial bid but sort of what she represents in the party about voter disenfranchisement. Black women are a powerful force, so i think that she represents a lot of things that this party is currently about. To that point, just in georgia in the democratic primary, 51 of the voters in 2016 were africanamerican and 62 were women and onethird of the electorate in the democratic primary africanamerican women so kudos to all the candidates for realizing we should probably go to this summit. Yeah. No question, but also as im hearing all of those candidates talk about how spectacular Stacey Abrams is, and not to take anything away from her especially beto orouke, its im sort of youre reminded of what happened in the last election where the two of them caught major fire on a national stage. She is still kind of in the im not running bubble which protects her. If and when she runs its a whole different ball game. Its interesting, the two of them also represent, beto and Stacey Abrams, represent sort of defying the odds in very heavily red states where they were come up and really challenging incumbents and in stacy abrams place putting reasonable challenge where she came so close. Her critics will say though they didnt end up making cuts so why are we putting our bets on someone who lost a race n. Stacey abrams race you have factors putting into it where she may have won if and shes still kind of this questionable candidate in terms of people wanting to put their hope in her for something bigger. Joe biden among those at the event. Im suspecting from him well get a little bit of bar rack that always helps him with references. More next. Getting dressed can be rough on sensitive skin. Downy free gentle has no perfumes, no dyes and softens clothes for sensitive skin. The only one trusted by the National Psoriasis foundation. Wgreat tasting, hearthealthys the california walnuts. Ever . So simple, so good. Get the recipes at walnuts. Org. Patients that i see about dry mouth. They feel that they have to drink a lot of water. Medications seem to be the number one cause for dry mouth. I like to recommend biotene. It replenishes the moisture in your mouth. Biotene definitely works. 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Get your dna kit today at ancestry. Com. It is foolish, beyond foolish, to think that the polls you see now tell you a lot about what the 2020 general election climate will really look like a year from now, but they do tell you some things and one of them is that President Trump has what you might call a 40s problem. A new poll in texas shows the president has just 44 , and hes losing to joe biden. That quinnipiac survey shows the president running ahead of the other Democratic Candidates in text yeah, but 48 is as high as his share of the vote gets, and the Michigan Survey even more telling and troubling if you support the president. He is as of today losing to a handful of democrats. He gets just 41 support when matched against biden, Bernie Sanders or mayor pete buttigieg. Now, again, its very early, but youre an incumbent president with unemployment below 4 in two states you won in 2016 and youre having trouble in michigan getting above 41 , 42 , 43 and in texas getting closer to 50. What does that tell you . Part of that is the soft numbers on independents in some of those polls where people took a risk on trump, and they support obama and then they went to donald trump, and those people are having some second thoughts, and i think thats leading to some of the softening here. We talked about this earlier in the show, but michigan and texas are those states that are impacted by these tariffs, so to the extent that trump heads down this path there is some politic political peril for him. Hand in michigan we have the issue of auto tariffs which is about six months out. We dont know whats going to happen with that. And again, just dont listen to anyone that these polls you what its going to look like next year. Vote verse two choices right now. Do we keep the incumbent or are we open to change . Those numbers tell that you they are open to change. Doesnt mean that they will vote for change but they are open to it. And that is why the just to be captain obvious here, the change really is dependent on who it is. Joe biden, in mish mix you know, yeah, okay. A lot of those voters can see that and check that box. Text yeah, maybe, but if its Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren it will be difficult for independents and a lot of soft republicans to do that. People have defied the odds before, but it really, really does matter on the ballot. The polarization is not unique to trump, but everything is exasbase baited under President Trump. Look at these numbers. 71 of americans say the Economic Conditions with good. Seven in ten americans say the economy is good but 53 approve of his handling of the economy. His personal characteristics and other things about him that are keeping him from normally would you think people would be saying im inclined to keep incumbent. Right now enough americans are thinking about changing. Cautionary tale for democrats works you know, this this isnt going to necessarily last. Got an election to run. Yes, you do. Remember 2016. Thanks for joining us. Brianna keilar starts right now. Im Brianna Keilar live from cnns washington headquarters. Under way right now, an extraordinary statement from the speaker of the house. Nancy pelosi says she doesnt want to see impeachment. She wants to see the president of the United States in prison. And its his favorite weapon, and the president is threatening two countries now with new tariffs. The republicans say they will actually tax americans. And investigators make unannounced visits to immigration f

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