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we're trying to on a daily basis synthesize all the information we're hearing from around the world, all the data that are becoming available if south africa, from the uk, from the united states, and come up with plausible projections as to what might happen. there's still a lot of uncertainty. we have some very pessimistic scenarios which suggest that we could see a wave that peaks by the end of january that's much higher than wave we experienced last winter and january 2021. we could see more than twice as many cases at the peak, possibly even 20% more deaths during this peak than we saw last year. but that's a very pessimistic scenario, and things could be much milder than that. >> so the more optimistic scenario? >> the more optimistic scenario, all the scenarios, all of our projections suggest that we are probably entering a wave that will peak sometime in january or possibly early february. but in the more optimistic scenarios, the wave won't even

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