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Core republicans against the frontrunner, george w. Bush. He couldnt make a race of it. I feel like were heading to something like that again this year. Haley is likely to emerge after iowa New Hampshire as the last viable alternative to trump but done it mostly on the votes of independents. And to really make a race of this, shes going to have to give republicans a stronger argument than shes been willing to try so far. Iowa is a deeply red state, a lot of love for trump, but is iowa a bellwether, does the result portend much . Not really. Iowa has had a poor record picking the republican nominee. Last three iowa winners, none of them won a dozen states or the nomination. That trend may break this year with trump

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