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the festive period brought generational mixing, destructive testing supply and patchy covid data which creates uncertainty about where heading. a leading infectious disease expert says while infections in the under 50s may be plateauing in london and the uk could see cases dropping, there's more to the story. this epidemic has spread so quickly in that group, it hasn't had time to really spread into the older age groups which are much greater risk of severe outcomes and hospitalisation. so, we might see a different pattern in hospitalisations. hospitalisations are still generally getting up across the country and we may see high levels for some weeks. following a rise in hospital admissions and high numbers of staff off sick, in the past week at least half a dozen nhs trusts have declared critical incidents. the alert isn't unusual in the winter but is raised when services are under acute pressure and may need staff redeployed. one trust affected is morecambe bay.

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