Hello, fan of an NFL team. MGoBlog excruciatingly scouts every Michigan play, and scores them to inform our coverage. Since mi atleta es su atleta now, here we share what we're sharing. Quickly: The best player in the draft by college production. Highest floor in the draft, might not be JJ Watt. Draft Projection: 1st or 2nd overall pick in a draft without any franchise quarterbacks seems about right. Teams picking there can't afford to mess that pick up, and Hutch is about as good a guarantee of that as you're going to get. I'd expect him to end up ~20th player in his draft class not the 1st, but if you actually know who the top five are going to be you should be in stocks. NFL Comp: Nick Bosa or TJ Watt. Great measurements, spectacular college production that should translate to instant very good NFL DE, but not one of the freaks. Unless he's TJ Watt What's his story? High-ish 4-star son of a 1990s All-American tackle (DE) in 2018. First inkling we had something was when our guys's senior high school scout revealed he was more than athletic enough to stay at WDE with a frame that's often on thr DT/DE line. Became a regular opposite Kwity Paye in 2019, first big play rescued a near upset at the hands of Army. Dominated Iowa. Played just 2 games in 2020, asked to 2-gap inside from DE spot to cover for DT deficiencies, unblockable vs MSU, then injured. Returned for senior season, moved out to DE/OLB in new defense, and was the best player in the country. Positives: Gamebreaker. Ideal size and length for defensive end. Surprising speed, insane strength, uncanny motor. Cerebral, uncanny preparation. Array of pass-rush moves, favoring a vicious club and push-style outside moves, plus an advanced counter inside move. Shows up in the biggest games/moments. Superior run defender. Superior teammate. Generational player; it would be an upset if he's not in the NFL Hall of Fame eventually. Negatives: Injured in 2020 but came back with no after-effects. If you were in position to draft him your franchise has been completely devastated from choosing the worst person in football to be your head coach recently, or you're the Detroit Lions. What others say: Pro Football Focus thought he was unreal; they say he had the 2nd highest edge rush grade (92.4) in P5 history, led the Big Ten in run stops, led all FBS edges on all three downs and put up the 3rd highest grade by a defender since 2014, doing so with remarkable consistency. Aidan Hutchinson led P5 Edges in Pass Rush Grade (93.4) AND Run Defense Grade (90.8) The only other Edge Defender to do that since 2014: Nick Bosa (2017)pic.twitter.com/HI6JMgd21E — PFF Draft (@PFF_College) March 25, 2022 Following the Ohio State game they had him as their pick for the Heisman. The NFL combine results, where he finished 2nd overall to ND's Kyle Hamilton, raised Hutchinson from likely 2nd overall pick to the consensus #1. He was also #2 overall on Bruce Feldman's freaks list last year, one spot above Hamilton and one behind Bama LT Evan Neal. On the other end, Ian Cummings has his doubts about Hutchinson's ceiling: My evaluation of Hutchinson has been a roller coaster, quite frankly. I wasn’t a huge fan and saw him more as a Day 2 prospect over the summer. Then the 2021 season happened, and the hype took over. Some elements of his game popped over that span, most notably his red-hot motor, violent hands, lateral agility, and speed-to-power conversion. However, rewatching the 2021 tape unearthed some concerns that may have been lost in the midseason hype. Hutchinson has above-average explosiveness off the line, but he’s not elite like his teammate Ojabo. His upright style further erodes that explosiveness. He often plays with his pads too high. With a high pad level, he can’t always launch out of his stance at full speed, and he can’t attain superior leverage and attack the torso consistently. Our Scheme/Best Scheme: Any. Michigan used him as a B-gap quasi-tackle before his injury in 2020 to cover DT deficiencies, then moved him out to a wide-7 end with the occasional dropback as a senior. Best fit would be as an either-side end in a 4-3 system, where his pass rush is a constant threat and he can occasionally wreck things inside if asked to. [After THE JUMP: Grading, tons of video]
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