Each year the 1st monday in september is labor day in the usa it is in canada too they just spell it differently its a celebration of the Labor Movement and its the unofficial end of summer and for many laborers automation and technology could spell the end of the line which jobs are robots taking over and which jobs will be safe lets ask our t. Boom bust host christy i and kristie ive read that in 1950 elevator operator was among 270 careers listed in the u. S. Census back to the future a recent Postal Service controversy involves. Taking sorting machines offline and these behemoths could move the mail much faster than human beings could and automation is replacing or accompanying workers in detroit and all sorts of Assembly Lines elsewhere kristie what sorts of Assembly Work is unlikely or impossible to be automated. Well as you know a lot of some of the work and manufacturing work is being heavily heavily automated nowadays but as a long must found out the hard way not everything can be replaced by machines for example car assembly as he found out cannot be completely completely automated just quite yet because many parts of the car Assembly Still require the delicate work of people such as everything having to do with the textile fabric inside your car and was also the production of the car body from the sheet metal is all automated all all of that still requires a lot of human supervision and Human Interaction to then transport all of the press parts to then get properly assembled and then most importantly of all theres also the troubleshooting maintenance and engineering that goes into each vehicle because no matter how advanced the software is things always break down and engineers are required to then troubleshoot and diagnose and then to fix it to get a running again and also apple as we know they have spent millions on their Assembly Lines trying to automate the entire process like why wouldnt that in order to produce more i phones to fulfill that men to become as efficient and effective as possible but as they found out too they still require humans as well because according to apple building a robot that can actually fasten the screws is among the hardest challenges in the entire industry a robot must actually be able to pick up a screw properly aligned at a specific angle which he requires the use of multiple cameras and then apple uses the screws are so tiny that the robots had absolutely no way to measure the force necessary to actually drill them into the phone so also gluing down electrical components very delicate work like that very delicate high tech Assembly Work is still requires Human Interaction and no matter what they do automate i guess the saved job would be the guy who repairs the robots for a couple decades i dont and for so with a voice that would sound as cool as well my voice or maybe a nice distinct British Voice like mine or a friendly female voice like mine how cool would that be introducing speech was the most natural so. Text to Speech Software on the market. Im joey and im one of the 38 voices from speechless which some jobs are simply obsolete or headed their bank tellers were obsoleted by a. T. M. s and a. T. M. s were obsoleted by smartphone apps with Renewable Energy booming a coal miners future is not bright if it ever was kristi which other occupations is technology making simply unnecessary mail and others are just huge advancements in everything from Software Robotics automation and ai that are really changing the trends that are threatening a lot of the jobs that we know of today from taxi drivers and drivers that are replaced by itself driving cars to restaurants servers who are also being replaced by just delivery so with the rise of automation analysts now predict that more than 1500000 jobs in America Manufacturing sector well become obsolete by 2025 and a lot of jobs in the low paid unskilled jobs those are more susceptible to being automated and this is quite alarming because a lot of these jobs are among the last well paying jobs that one can get with only a High School Diploma so much of the population will be shut out as automation replaces more people so some of these jobs include drivers as you mentioned pilots mail carriers mapping technicians photo processors were like when was the last time you went in to go develop a photo telemarketers translators cashiers those are all being replaced by as you mentioned apps whole foods for example they all just got automated checkout lines simply to reduce Human Interaction due to cohabit so while a lot of this news is bad when one door closes another door always open so its incorrect to assume that automation would just take away jobs because throughout history every single big innovation has that has caused a lot of job loss it has actually created more opportunities that it has made obsolete so it has always allowed for. Advancement some most experts believe that while a lot of jobs will be displaced by 2025 more jobs will be created so for example gartner cited that ai will create 2300000 jobs in 2020 while eliminating 1. 00 wow and that plus this pandemic shutdown has accelerated several trends already in motion you mentioned the ecommerce but even before we were in stay at home mode we were probably sending flowers by going to a website rather than a floral shop ditto jewelry you can buy the diamond ring cheap online and you mentioned film long term no photo mat booth the wall street journal reports that the fed ex hub in memphis currently has 500 job openings people to move what were already buying online kristie talk about occupations that ecommerce is obsoleting and enabling so yes while ecommerce is eliminating a lot of opportunities in one aspect it is killing brick and Mortar Retail as we know it and in person shopping is pretty much obsolete it is also creating opportunities on others such as the warehouses as you mention you still need delivery you still need the people who packed all of these deliveries and you need the shopping when you order of things you actually need the shoppers to go and stores and grab all the items on your list so it also creates additional marketing opportunities as well because when you shop online you actually generate a huge amount of data what you look at how much time do you spend looking at something to compare prices what are your Shopping Patterns and what are your trends all of that is big data that can then be helped to target ads more more towards products that youre likely to buy so while software can help to process all of this data to help target consumers better marketing actually still needs people creative people is to create all of these Advertising Opportunities to create the proper messaging. Campaign to actually capitalize on this data and interpret the data. And when you talk about shopping there is a behavioral satisfaction to that to that touch and feel and what the brick and mortar guys hate is called show rooming where you go do the touch and feel there and then you buy it online so i was surprised i bought a new car recently and i broached with the salesman how much more common it is to buy a car online and i said this must be killing it and he says no i love it because the tire kickers are wasting time and somebody who has already picked out the car online is a very efficient sale were speaking with christiane a from boom bust here on r t about how technology is changing Employment Opportunities you mentioned kristie the Autonomous Car ive actually had a ride in one of the Consumer Electronics show in vegas and in pittsburgh and elsewhere there have been limited street tests but were not quite there yet because a worse stay in home and b. They count on a 5 gene network that hasnt been fully built out yet several years ago an airplane pilot told me that he takes it off and lands it and then between computers pretty much fly the plane and he says the computer could probably take it off and land a 2 but who would get on the plane bruce leek the Founding Partner of Venture Capital firm Playground Global notes that 25 years ago amazon didnt exist and today they have more than a 1000000 employees people are trainable flexible resilient and intelligent and automation and robots arent any of those things chrystia mentioned the delicate little screws and gluing process that goes into assembling an i phone why dont their always be things that only humans can do right now obsolete. Really any job currently that requires any sort of creativity or innovation where things are being created cannot be replaced by robots because right now automation and robotics they are great at making the same thing over and over again or doing the same thing over and over again faster than a human can and that is great because thats what made mcdonalds and starbucks so known it was their consistency and their speed so you know what youre always going to get but automation has not quite advanced to the point where it can tolly create something new so along that line you have things like artist and architect sure when youre designing something new you have a lot of new technology to assist you so you have new drones i can do your Aerial Mapping you can do geo mapping with new technology there are new sketching tools for artists an architect but ultimately the design and the concept still comes from the person and also in other areas such as health care while huge portion of budget goes to r. And d. Experimental treatments exposure a a lot of ai can assist in formulation and narrowing down in narrowing down the formulation and our r. And d. At its core is still developed by scientists they set the actual protocol robotics also is now playing a huge part in surgery but is more so a tool rather than a replacement as it still requires a surgeons supervision because every single surgery is different and complications always arise so also theres also retail we always hear that retail is a very dying sector retail is dead brick and mortar is dead and theres absolutely no opportunities there well thats not necessarily true because a lot of a lot of the automation has created very high churn peoples Attention Span is very limited because before you used to visit a store maybe once every 2 weeks maybe once a month and you see new products on the floor and thats what keeps you engaged and returning to the same store over and over again right but now when shopping is all done online you can click refresh twice a day 3 times a day its like youre visiting the same store so if you dont constantly see new m. N. Torrie you get bored of going to that website and stores dont. I want that so in order to keep you more engaged they have to have a very high trying to have to have new in mentor you have to have new products and that also creates opportunities for new designers new shoppers to then go go out and source new products for the store front because sure because of this it creates a very. Sales cycle now kristie i boom bust weekday afternoons of for here on i t america thank you for stepping into the big picture comment up behold the new normal this is the big picture on our 2 america. Join me every thursday on the alex salmond show and ill be speaking to guests of the world of politics or business im showbusiness ill see that. The owner of a Radio Station in texas told me that the local Mercedes Benz dealer abruptly canceled all their advertising because they simply ran out of cars but theres a happy ending to this the Radio Station sold those commercials to Sylvan Learning center because wary parents are increasingly homeschooling what businesses will suffer will cope and will prosper in the new normal lets ask strome our president hillary ford which and long time c. B. S. New York Business reporter joe connelly you have both jested deluge of data anecdotal and statistical as the pandemic has disrupted business as usual hillary than joe what has surprised you the most in recent months as businesses have responded to the shutdown. Well one thing that has been obviously than the surprising and its only if you back up and look at who supports all the networks whether its the left wing media or the right wing media the pharmaceutical industry supports the networks and so everything in america based on what was funded from american medical schools is based on pharmaceutical companies the pharmaceutical Companies Fund most of american medical schools so you dont see any talk in the media and businesses likewise have not focused on what could really get everybody back to work which is strengthening your immune system theres almost no donald whatsoever none of my class talk about it what they can do to make their employees healthier the snacks you see in offices you see in offices were also very unhealthy and theres very little discussion its all like lines are asking for Everything Else that they dont ask what should my employees be doing to be healthy up so i think thats been a big shock and the 2nd is youve seen the Trucking Industry absolutely desperate for employees because that is something thats really obviously been necessary in the destruction of supply chains and whats been surprising is that more people arent stepping up to those jobs because a lot of people right now unemployed and of course theres a concern that maybe it has been due to the funding which of course now has been stopped other monthly funding but that has been a surprise to me the supply chains that be disrupted where there are lots of job openings they havent been filled with all the unemployed that we have yeah the Trucking Industry is bringing back retire reus and im told part of the reason is that younger job candidates are having trouble passing a drug test with we believe go and so many states joe what are you seeing during the shutdown that surprised you. One surprised me the most was how sassed Business Owners who voted to new products. Within one or 2 days of the shutdowns in new york city for instance theres a business called theyre not. Studios theyre one of about 500 new cool tech firms located in the old Brooklyn Navy yard with battleship missouri was dont where japan signed the surrender of to world war 2 on that now its full of all these new Tech Companies bednarik studios business and body employees fabricates plastics but theyre plastics for high end displays in store windows on 5th avenue. After new york was ordered shut down they said you know we use these plastics for brilliant displays lets read fasten the plaster in to think see holds for medical personnel which were needed they found out what federal Government Agency they had to sell these through they got their address they drove over there on sunday the owner of the Business Growth there on a sunday knocking on the door people were there he said weve developed this new face masses of plastic or Health Care Workers a week or 2 later by our r. V. Equipment came up with the same thing where does entrepreneurial business in brooklyn even be by our hockey products to the. Brilliant Just Brilliant weve been hearing so much about how supply Chain Disruption as hampered to every industry then just a couple of weeks ago steve christakis was here talking about how calling off the Minor League Baseball season is going to ripple through major League Baseball player personnel for a season start come the n. F. L. Scouts wont get a good look at college kids because a lot of that is called off and in terms of supply chain hillary you have spoken written lately about what you call reverse globalization. Theres a lot of tension with china and theres a lot of talk about reassuring meaning bringing supply chain functions back home beneath the emotional surface do the numbers still work or do we need the cheap labor of the cegep in china and vietnam and elsewhere just to make our numbers hillary where you are youre right about the cheap labor is appalachia and boeing that initiated the search for cheap labor and they really started this whole globalization process and in a big way in terms of cheap labor but ill turn to pete n r o and what he actually said at the white house back in february which is you know we must get production back on shore and that has been a Major Initiative from the white house interestingly enough back in 2014 professor in golden at Oxford University hes the professor of globalization and development hubert a book called the butterfly the fact and he was talking about the systemic risks involved in globalization and what to do about it it was written of course after the saas pandemic he talked about a number of global risks to the International Supply chain and one of the course has come true so what youre seeing is whats called also decoupling the relationship between america the u. S. U. S. And china the supply chain and ill even mention in the u. K. For example most of the common factor has come to somewhat of a grinding halt because all the products and all of the supply chain the costs used in common fracturing have to be imported so what youre going to see is youre going to see Global Corporations having to reduce risks how do they reduce risks is by only shoring a lot of that supply chain and so you will see it in the u. S. And youll see elsewhere actually theres an interesting story that jag you up in the u. K. Had to import car parts in suitcases because they werent able to get it any other way so youre starting to trend i would say also yes theres been something called. Birger the convergence of the underdeveloped and merging nations they were catching up to the west in terms of development because there was so much offshoring in terms of labor to those markets namely they were called the brics you know brazil russia india china south africa theres been a prediction that a lot of that convergence is going to slow and Christine Lagarde actually has a voice and concern about this one thing thats interesting to see though is they have not slowed their production down as much as the west has during a so what you might see are 2 factors or 2 trends while the factor of reverse globalization in terms of re on shoring but you might find convergence actually expedited because manufacturing has continued in a lot of the emerging nations whereas it hasnt to the same extent in more developed nations like the u. K. And like the euros. Yeah were speaking with the hillary ford which troll marc Business Development consultants in the washington and the veteran c. B. S. New York Business reporter joe connelly joe the big story at the beginning of the shutdown is something you alluded to earlier is business is shifting to services and more recently youve been reporting on businesses pivoting the way they actually sell example. I think this is the big story Going Forward now heres one example we did a story this week on edge of a Company Based in new jersey they started some years ago and their business once teaching teachers how to use technology and classroom better on march 17th their business took off and the whole Business Model changed they now started teaching teachers how to teach better online all of a sudden schools up home started to hire to teach their School Teachers system wide how to teach better online whats happened now in the last couple of weeks when so much concern about the reopening of schools and use gave is now running webinars or parents on how to better supervise their kids who are learning from home and they will teach the parents the tech system that that local School System is using so that the parents can go in there and see what the kids are doing and see how they are doing goes beyond that nonprofits are often businesses they are businesses some nonprofits y. M. C. A. s like i would cas boys and girls clubs are now starting to run new businesses theyre extending summer camps into the fall to run supervised study hopes with the camp counselors many of whom. Have a background and education and parents can take their kids to summer camp they will oversee them for the whole day so the parents who work at home and also give them breaks outside supervise would masts during the day one other example manufacturer of high end i were told me the other day in finding a very surprising thing most eyeglasses and sold. Companies the local want to sions and increased their capture rate in other words how many people actually buy something who come in by as much as 15 percent you know why because the store is less crowded now so the Business Owner can spend more time educating the cost of murder and selling to them because hes not as robust costumer doesnt want to go round of 16 Different Stores now anyway nonsale so sure going back up the Old Fashioned reason spending time with a counselor. Almost out of time so ill need the quick answer hilary but i must say when joe says Old Fashioned productive telecommuting and a crashed economy may have written the obituary on the expense of office space like weve seen in mad men do you think the workplace as we know it is a dead duck now. Actually you know it is a dead duck if there are 2 major trends going on holiday one of them is actually Office Architectural redesign firms are flat out busy the kurds why everybody is reconfiguring the space that they have obviously to have cirrus that sings that number one thats actually did very well but also i think that office will be moved to the suburbs theres been a great move cushman and wakefield recently productively to study talking about the move to suburbs and suburb and offices so i think its more of an elegant offices yes perhaps that but its going to be in the suburbs and offices will be reconfigured with fewer open cubicles and open spaces and more actual sort of private spaces the way the use of these things almost like a swinging of the pendant back to where there was indeed our office space. Yeah i am told by Real Estate Agents here and coastal know when that the new yorkers who are looking out are very interested in Internet Speed they want broadband at the beach hillary ford which and joe connelly thank you for your time on the big picture and thank you for watching the big picture will be back with another show for you same time next week and if thats not convenient set your d. V. R. On direct t. V. Were channel 321 and on dish were channel 280 and if you have cut the cord we are free as a bird on pluto t. V. Channel to 79 and you can watch r t america on the live stream at youtube dot com slash r t america and you can see any show that we have done on demand youtube dot com slash the big picture our t. And we will put a t. V. In your pocket when you download our portable t. V. Its free in the app store and google play and you wont believe how much stuff we have there im holland cook at home in rhode island hope youre sticking close to home and stay in safe 2 and questioning more. Trade and investment to become metrics bills to come to economic development. Most people think about trade they think about goods and services being exchanged between countries at the end of fast chapter of a trade agreement as opposed to looking very different but wont when investment leads to toxic manufacturing that destroys sacred something. The environment. That means if local communities that are being poisoned if they object if they do anything that the company feels is interrupting their profits they can they sue. The nationals of taking on the whole nation still of the morris is trying to use i. S. T. s to stop oregon from implementing new tobacco regulations aimed at cutting domestic smoking rates a French Company sued egypt because egypt resists minimum wage democratic choice trump. Joint says we try to fund dont want to touch it. So what weve got to do is identify the threats that we have its Crazy Foundation let it be an arms race is on all sides very Dramatic Development the only posts really im going to resist i dont see how that strategy will be successful very critical time to sit down and talk. The president s press conference from the new state Department Auditorium march 23rd 1961. I want to make a brief statement about laos. It is i think important for all americans. To understand this difficult and potentially dangerous problem and these 3 maps show the area of effective communist domination as you wars last august and now from december 20th now to the present day or the end of march
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