Joe biden says when all the votes are finally counted, he expects to come out on top. The Campaign Says he is on track to win michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania. Joe biden i believe we are on track to win this election. [applause] we do because of the unprecedented early vote, the male invoke, it was going to take a wild. We are going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying votes is finished. And aint done until every ballot is counted. [applause] we are feeling good. Bidens biggest victory has been arizona, the only state to flip since trump won it in 2016. Millions of ballots need to be counted with results unclear in battleground states. Ethiopia has begun military operations in its north as tensions escalate. The local government has been accused of attacking federal troops. Local authorities have dismissed that, accusing the Prime Minister of plotting conflict. A state of emergency has been declared by the federal government. The region held elections in september, the federal government deemed them illegal. Two more have been killed in ivory coast. The convoys of two cabinet ministers were attacked. Rival factions have been fighting since weekend elections that returned the president to power. The opposition rejected his reelection and vowed to set up a transitional government. Much more to come on al jazeera about the u. S. President ial election. Up next, inside story. I will be back with breaking news in 30 minutes. Hello and welcome to the program. Americans and much of the world are waiting nervously to see whether donald trump or joe biden will be the next president. The final results from tuesdays election depends on the large number of postal votes in swing states. The u. S. President is often regarded as the most powerful person in the world. Changes in u. S. Policy can benefit or hurt millions. Donald trump has upended Diplomacy Commission away from global alliances and pulling the u. S. Out of agreements on Climate Change and Irans Nuclear pleura graham. Nuclear program. Joe biden has promised to restore some of those ties, but some are skeptical. When it is what is important to us is that america returns to respecting the iranian nation. If it lives the unfair and illegal sanctions and replaces them with respect, our situation will be different. A strong bipartisan support for israel is one of the foundations of the american israeli alliance. I cant say that is that alliance has never been stronger. I can only hope that this policy that isolates iran and brings the fruits of peace, grounded in reality, to the people of israel , the arab peoples of the region, i can only hope that this policy will continue in coming years. I hope that the new u. S. Administration will handle relations with hong kong in a comprehensive way, taking into account the interests of the many u. S. Businesses in hong kong which employ a lot of people, and not thoughtlessly a allow Political Considerations to have an unwarranted effect. Lets bring in our guests. Nancy cerda berg president for National Security affairs under bill clinton joins us from jackson, florida. Joining us from western urszulas him from western slowed. Formal Legal Advisor to israels foreign ministry. Also, the deputy head of the northeast on the european council. Welcome to all of you. I would like to be i would like to begin in jacksonville with nancy. The Foreign Policy needle, the american foreignpolicy needle was always set to the middle of selfinterest and status quo. That seemed to work for many years, and then along came President Trump who seemed to rip that up, bringing the u. S. Out of established agreements like nafta and changing agreements that he simply did not agree with. After four years, what is the legacy of american Foreign Policy it stands today . s up the play, we are less safe today than we were four years ago. Donald trump came in and tried to upend all of our agreements, take on allies, side with dictators. I think whoever wins this election needs to understand, and joe biden does come of the United States needs the rest of the world to solve our global problems. We need to work with our allies, stand up to dictators and be sure that those International Agreements while not perfect, are hard but, we need to show Global Leadership whether it is on terrorism, Cyber Security isis, global warming. Not one of them can be solved on our own. We need to shift back. I think people are unrealistic if they think were just going to back to how the world was on barack obama day in office. President trump has Barack Obamas last day in office. President trump has so distressed in our allies and that will take a long time to rebuild. There are powers that have emerged that we need to share the stage with. One interesting thing is that no president act with isolation. He has advisors, think tanks. To do something so radical must have come from within a way of thinking within the u. S. Already, surely . I think President Trump tapped into a growing concern in our middle class that we the game was rigged against us. Anytime you have that sort of victim mentality at the middle class, losing its health care, have not seen income in wage. They tend to be susceptible to autocrats and blame others. In Donald Trumps case it was immigrants. It surprised all of us that he won, he won by tapping into that fear of the other. He has double down on that in a way that is troubling to people like myself. Working hard to get joe biden elected. We will see how all of this comes out. I think his trade tariffs are costing americans more. Iran is closer to a Nuclear Weapon than it was before we pulled out of the deal. North korea is being north korea. Increasing its weapons, its missiles to reach the United States. Our allies no longer trust us. We are undermining nato. Frankly, playing into president putins playbook. Whoever wins this election is going to have to understand we need to rebalance our approach. I would like to say we should take advantage of the chaos of the last four years and recreate some of the momentum after world war ii to think about where our institutions are pared why does the Security Council look like 1960s politics . Yes, the world could be put on steroids if we need to make sure International Institutions evolve with the challenges we need. I think chaos can sometimes enable us to rebuild. As joe biden says, build back at her. That is how build back better. It has not just been chaos. There have been certain advances, certainly for israel. In west jerusalem, President Trump has been described as israels best friend. The president that works for if you had an election in israel, President Trump would win by a landslide. Are there any dissenting voices so that opinion . I think israel is israel has been happy with donald trump your also know biden is a good friend of israel. Under bidens administration, there is no sale of advanced weaponry like the f35, which we have seen under trump. Both biden and President Trump have come in fact, come out in favor of a two state solution. [indiscernible] israel feels we can work happily with a budding administration as we have worked with the Trump Administration. It has been a favorite child of the u. S. s Foreign Policy there is a lot of going on when it comes to israel. They do get, according to what a lot of people are talking about, they do get a fairer share of u. S. Weapons, foreign aid budgets, it said read etc. At some point, that needs to be looked at. By doing has said they need to look at the u. S. Israeli relationship, yet you seem to think it will change . Throughout it wont change. The United States has always seen israel as important both for allegiant reasons and reasons of u. S. More policy. This will continue, we have no doubt. Obviously, the issue that israel should be secure, frankly, this is the peak of reaching peace. If your cereal is weak, it is unlikely they will reach peace. If israel is secure, there is a good chance we can continue what we already achieved with egypt, jordan, the gulf states and others as well. In london, opinion seems to be split on Foreign Policy over the past four years when it comes to the middle east. Have that qad, saudi arabia, clearly backing donald trump, saying he has a great leader. And then you have iran who says what donald trump is doing benefits us because he is isolating the states in the International Community and we have set for a long time that the u. S. Is a hindrance, not a help when it comes to Foreign Policy. What do you think is the legacy of the last 40 years . There is a lot of rhetoric that comes out. It is true that in terms of the political standing, or international stage, President Trump has failed to get support from his allies, particularly in europe, for his maximum pressure policy on iran. That policy has managed to come up by itself unilaterally, because incredible economic damage to iran over the past few years. The two candidates, trump and biden, offer different policies on iran. Joe biden has been clear, in fpc published, that he wanted to join the nuclear deal with iran, rejoin the alliance with europe and come up with a solution to both Irans Nuclear activity and behaviors among the International Community. Whereas with trump, they are likely to see the u. S. Double down on what has been a rather destructive policy as far as u. S. Interests are concerned, european allies are concerned. We are left in a situation where iran is increasing nuclear activity. Its regional stance has not changed. It has managed to cement position and a lot of theaters. We are nowhere closer to those solutions on diplomatic negotiations that trump vowed would take a matter of weeks for iran to capitulate and come to the table. We also have a situation where, like you say, the sanctions have not worked. The leadership is still in power. America is isolated. But, it is not just about iran. This is about iraq as well. It iraq, youve got 30,000 u. S. Troops and a massive u. S. Presence within the political structure. But, it is counterbalanced by the iranian one as well. Where does iraq fall into this when it comes to u. S. Foreign policy . Unfortunately, iraq has been caught in the crossfire between iranian and u. S. Military escalation. Attacks against u. S. Embassies being retaliated by an assassination against iranian and Iraqi Military figures. Since then, we have had these periodic military tit for tat isolation between u. S. Forces and those backed in iraq. Additionally, the u. S. Has lost quite a lot of political ground in iraq. There has been a new iraqi Prime Minister in recent months that has vowed to bring more balance of Foreign Policy, the maximum Pressure Campaign being led by President Trump and his team has mightily backfired and turns of isolating the u. S. Polital positioning with iraqi leadership. I do not see that the maximum Pressure Campaign has benefited iraqs stability or u. S. Interests. Our guest in west or islam made an interesting point. He said this is a bipartisan issue when it comes to israel. Mcgregor republican, israel will always be a friend to the u. S. That is not the case when it comes to other countries. It used to be the case that foreignpolicy of the u. S. Did not change much under democrats or republicans, it was fairly stable. When it comes to things like big countries, china, russia for example, there are very different foreign policies between democrats or republicans. If there is a split house, if the senate is republican and that leadership regret, how are you going to square those . It depends on who is victorious in this contentious election we are in the midst of. We know how donald trump operates. If he is elected, we will see more of the same. Siding with dictators, undermining allies, going it alone. The rolled will be laissez. If joe biden is the world will be less safe. Joe biden has rolled out an extensive foreignpolicy plan. He is fact driven, understands the challenges from china, not by trade war, but trying to contain it. We had a huge agreement trump pulled out of that with designed to contain china. They promise to work with allies in the region to hold china accountable to its expansionist illegal land grab in the south china sea. Also, trying to contain prudens expansion a beens expansion in the middle east, if you look at what is happening in the big picture, we will stand shoulder to shoulder with israel, but we are far away from a two state solution then we were two years ago. We have a worse humanitarian crisis in yemen where we are siding with saudis. We have coddled saudi arabia that dismembered the u. S. In the consulate. Khashoggi. Trump brags about having saved over that scandal. I think you will see a reset in terms of Holding Saudi arabia accountable, working with our allies so that we put our Nuclear Ambitions back in the box. With around. Just pause the chaos. This is not going to be solved in one term. It is going to take a long time for our allies to trust us again. It is going to take a long time to rebuild some of the relationships around these agreements. Joe bidens term build back better i think a place iran. He wants rejoined, but there were problems. I hope he does address those. I think you will see two very stark approaches to the world, depending on who wins this election. More chaos, more america first, a rejection of values at home and abroad, or riding who tries to work with allies and once again lead. Lets bring in robbie. I want to talk to you about iran and the israeli perspective. Clearly, the israelis have long considered iran to be their greatest threat. They were against the 2015 jcpoa deal. If that comes back, what pressure could israel put on the u. S. To not go through with that deal if biden is elected and wants to put it back on the table . Israel will be asking the United States to make a bet. The previous agreement was for 10 years, after that, iran would be free to do anything. Iran didnt break the terms of the deal, this is donald trump pulling out. It did violate it, in some cases. But the man idea was the main idea was it was a temporary agreement. They feel a better deal should be made which would ensure that iran will never have a Nuclear Weapon. This can be done. What we emphasize in america was it could only be done if there was a potential threat. You cant bargain unless you have stake in the background. Then, you do not have to use this. If there is no state, there is no there is difficulty in negotiating. This is what we divert the Obama Administration and did not succeed. There is not a stick that seems to be working. The u. S. Does not have a strategy that seems to be working. I would disagree that the Iran Nuclear Deal leaves iran free to develop Nuclear Weapons. It doesnt. Iran is a member of the nonproliferation treaty means which means it is vowing not to go down that path. A nuclear deal put in place is the most intrusive inspection mechanism under any country with international monitors on the ground. That is why with the rollback of irans commitment, the monitors can validate what iran is up to. This is how we know exactly where iran is expanding Nuclear Capabilities in response to the campaign ran by President Trump. In response to the question, we cannot get a bigger stick than what we have over the trump have with the a Trump Administration while going to military conflict with iran. We have seen sanctions being exhausted by this administration, the political isolation, i think if we are dealing with the second Trump Administration, israel and other countries will have to ask themselves whether they want to double down on this maximum pressure policy. That is, in my view, the next phase of this is going to be a military campaign by the Trump Administration. Or, do they want to push both President Trump or joe biden towards a diplomatic negotiation with iran that limits both the Nuclear Escalation that is the threat to the entire region, or whether they want to actually push forth escalation that could be that could backfire for the whole region. One of the reasons i am concentrating on iran is because i think it is going to be a key Foreign Policy for the u. S. Going forward, no matter who is in charge. Would you agree . It is certainly an important piece of it appeared i would not limit it. It is not that supple. I think the saudis are going to be key. I think china and russia are probably a bigger challenge in terms of the scale of the problem. The inbox of the president is full with challenges. If you look at the approaches of the two president addressing arounds nuclear challenges, it is clearly better at the negotiating table than a military campaign. I would disagree that President Trump is thinking about a military campaign. He wants to bring our troops home, not send them. He did takes the military strikes against solemani, but there is no grand strategy to have a Strong Military we would like to get to the other gusts that she their guests. The other guests. If you are if he were advising the incoming president , wh would you talk about . It is important to bear in mind that iran violated its International Public Energy Authority is not a member of the nbt. Where you going with this . Iran is. It violated it. The iea informed the u. N. That it violated it. That is why they had to deal in 2015, so it would not be. So it would not be violated. There was a deal. The deal was temporary, thats why it was not good. I agree it was good to put it off for 10 years we are running out of time, i just want to say, is a ron for you the key is iran for you the key issue to the u. S. . The whole middle east. We are going to see a Nuclear Arms Race in the middle east which is in nobodys interest. It is in the u. S. Interest and the world to make sure iran does not have a Nuclear Weapon. L. A. Allie line first and foremost thing any administration has to do is look for a calm situation with iran. Maybe there is a military campaign underway, but military escalation we have seen can very quickly get out of hand. Particularly with the u. S. , under this administration who is also increasing things like injections which will be matched with a similar response in the strait of hormuz. I think that if any u. S. Administration is serious about the endeavors with iran in the nuclear issue, they need to move quickly and fast in coordination with european allies to try to freeze iran pause Nuclear Activities and rolled them back. There will be a need for economic quid pro quo. Any u. S. Administration will have to unclench its fist on sanctions and provide a certain amount of Economic Relief to iran. I want to thank all of our guests. Thank you too for watching. You can see the program again any time by visiting our website, al20. Com. For further discussion, facebook , a. J. Inside story. You can join the conversation on twitter. We are at a. J. Inside story. Hey, im darius rucker. Coming up onreel south. Join the crowd as we move forward, demanding justice join the crowd [man] ladies and gentlemen, at this time id like to discuss confederate monuments. [darius] in new orleans, reckoning with the past aint always easy. This guy right here, he fought to keep it that way. [darius] in the year of tumult, the citizens of the big easy stand their ground in the face of monumental controversy. [man] this is a battle for the public spaces. [darius] a divided city cries out. This time, on reel south. [female narrator] support for this program is provided by south arts,
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