The. Im feel good. Youre welcome to the program. Israel says it has regained full control of its board. Weve got the following south, todays talent attacks. The army says its recovered. The bodies of more than 1500, how much militants inside his royal revealing the scale of inc. Carson, as hes ready to Defense Force increases its bombardments of gaza. Im also threatened to kill hostages for every strike of civilian targets. Me saw bloss echo throughout garza raising whole buildings to the ground and seconds or israel says its military offensive against the Palestinian Militants behind stocks. Todays attack will continue new that should go down to whats input. So i know that we all once immediate result, one, it wont take time one, i promise you into years riley citizens. At the end of this campaign, all of our enemies will know that it was a grave mistake to attack these royal my corporate. This what we will do to where i read amazing the coming days, i mean, will reverberate with them for generation, some adult this voltage shows the moments that miss solve hits. What b is really all me says a 2 set per mosque months and as in gaza on the ground residents, a gathering that belongings and trying to escape as the strikes continue, whole neighborhoods are quickly becoming uninhabitable. And as the number of injured increases, hospitals are struggling. Yeah. Do you have the o . This is randy. As drank the medical situation in guys i had already been green for nearly 17 years. The hospitals have been seriously hampered by the siege. We dont have the access to many medical supplies, drugs and equipment in gaza above as the israel has announced a new siege of gauze, a cutting of food, fuel electricity and water supplies. How must this drawing to increase the pressure on israels lead is by threatening revenge for the strikes on goals a that you know what i mean had he said no, early, no, we announced that starting now every targeting about people without warning will regret. It may be met with the execution of one of the enemys civilian hostages. Here the nearby hear nothing. We will be compelled to broadcast it. You know that both audio west and video valley come with bullying. The phone will be, was full. But as well shows no sign of backing down in an effort to maximize its cheap strength, these really apples, this daunted, flying citizens back from europe to be mobilized as was of as well. The un says israels blockade of food, water, electricity, and fuel to gaza via an a to international ravenna shop shop. To sign a speaks for the un human rights office, the in position of sieges that endangered the nights of civilians. By depriving them of goods essential for their survival is prohibited under International Humanitarian law. And a restriction on the movement of people and goods to implemented each must be justified by military necessity or it may amount to collective punishment. A lot corresponds with rebecca rates is in these really kind of federal and they have to both a with guys that actually gave us a clearer picture of whats going on on the ground. Well actually we just had another couple of rockets fly all over. They just as i was waiting to come on in the alarm sound, and we had to take how there as best as we could. But they were actually a little way off in the distance, but were pretty close to the cause and border now, because another alarm. And you can, you can really hear the strikes in guns are and you can see quite clearly when rock its a fight out from the northern part of accounts or im standing in front of this to rock Police Station. Now, some people have been following along with will remember to road on. I think its one of the cities that will go uh to be interested in peoples minds. The this particular Police Station was the scene of a 20 hour gun bass. So between come off militants, it will hold up inside and, and the military who are here, theyll basically have to pretty much destroy the building in order to, to bring it back under control and neutralize, to use the military time over time that they use in, neutralize those militants that were inside. From here you can very clearly hear the strikes in to gallons of which have been continuing. Most of the day. Im sure people are seeing live pictures from gaza. Um, seeing the devastation thats going on in there for the civilians living there. Its an incredibly terrifying time with many of them nowhere to run. And this has, this has been a consistent points throughout the last 4 days with the israel saying get thousands and thousands of say, well, where do we go . A yeah, its a, its a really tough situation to the civilians in gauze or, and they was slight hope, at least in the beginning that some people might be able to get the paperwork to try and go out through that exit. Sorry, i have the alert on my son that go to go to get the paperwork to go via the exit through egypt. But even in normal times it can take months to get that paperwork. Many people just not going to be able to manage that. Certainly not at this time and even still today weve saying that these are the military have bombed areas needed making it almost impossible. So that crossing is closed, people in gaza having no way to run and hide. There are no bomb shelters. Theres really no particular se sons the we know that a couple of 100000 i think is the 2nd our little less than 200000. I have evacuated their homes. Thats according to you in figures and some have gone to you and run schools in the hopes that they will be sped in. The military say that they are targeting, you know, how much target spot. We know that civilians definitely getting caught up in the fray. In fact, the death toll is no doubt going to be huge. From base rule or on the guards inside the death toll on me is riley side. Also very high. But on the golf inside its going to keep climbing. In fact, i dont think well have any idea of updated fi goes because its going to be so hard to count the bodies. Uh and identify those people and count the body. Said that a quote off in the rubble. So, so far weve seen 4 days of air strikes up from israel and the well this is a bracing for a ground operation in gaza. You see any evidence of any Ministry Bills up the the most definitely fail. Uh, where we were a little earlier today, we were in an area near a village cause it came in so close to the border. And there you can see a very big hardware, military hardware. And the truth builds up and massing at the border. I believe its happening all along the gallons a border and uh, it certainly looks from what we can say without. And i said i that they are preparing for something really big. That of course, they dont giving us any idea of not giving us any indication of what the next steps are, but they have one front apartments have Benjamin Netanyahu from the top to the bottom to the military. People that were speaking to on a daily basis have one, is that the response is going to be be and it could be long. So it definitely does a piece. I cant say for certain whether thats going to happen. But its certainly everyone is expecting the Ground Invasion. Thanks back to rebecca, rebecca with is instead of in the southern israel where affairs of the conflict between israel and how may i ask who a spin over into neighboring 11 on is right. The defense for says it has killed a number of suspects across the board of from that, but on, on. But its highly helped us have been striking targets in the area. But with an avenues economy already in a dire state. Many had this made by the prospect to fresh strife monday morning in a be rude cafe, some friends the playing a game with back gunman, others a, glued to the news. The escalation between israel and a mass has been closely watched by people here that worried the conflict could spill over into 11 on each of them has lived through was between israel and 11. And the last in 2006 had a baby. But the boy is really the last thing we need now. Our economy is already in shambles. Mission 100. The buses all outside the f one i q that im worried about my children, about my family behind the border. Israel is strengthening its positions. Then, in the afternoon fighting erupt, these ready all me says it killed him, portrayed his entering from lebanon after that is rarely had, he kept his a tech positions in southern lebanon. This is where he rains aside, and those are all a lead up the rain. In fact, militant group has the law on the weekend to support as rallied the message we already had come back, as well as the Strongest Military force in lebanon on sunday. It said it had fired missiles and shelves towards israel, but on monday denied any involvement in the latest attacks. A log book has been law as so cautious because at 1st he knows, what would it be . The price of it is that you didnt made it to the strike. A confrontation would be bad for business. Just last year, these railey and 11, these governments signed a historic agreement on Gas Exploration in the mediterranean. Even hezbollah accepted the deal. Hes putting the money time aboard. The deed was, uh, is that i end up on the which are both parties have agreed to uh, define that amount of time border and to split that other than you money that heavily indebted lebanon depends on that revenue, would be on the line. If a fresh war broke out with his rail lets have a look at some of this with a william the way, whos the cd director of the receipt really center and the list of programs at the atlantic council. He joins us from darby. Welcome to d. W. Which do you believe you very much for a has blah and iran when they say they had no pots in these . How much the tax as well around obviously had a part and these attacks because it has been the primary beneficial benefactor of hamas moss would not have the weapons and materials needed for this attack without around im honest with not have the training to do these attacks without around, its uh at 1050. So to that degree its a little decided the point of whether or not around was specifically responsible practically for planning the operation. But its all, and furthermore its, its hard to imagine that the leaders in toronto were not aware of it before hand. So whether they were involved tactically, to give the specific go order or not, they still there significant responsibility. And has the law a lie is less immediately obvious. Ive seen reports that they were involved in this specific planning. We dont know that yet to be the case. What we do know is that those public reports were source to people in homeless and it has the law and 2 people close to the government in damascus. All of which are a rainy and allies and proxies. And so the message clearly is desired to get out there that around was behind this and you. So then you ask yourself, why does around want that message to get out there . Well, its because they very much want israel to do the kinds of to take the kinds of actions that would result in this war. Expanding beyond one simply between or israel and a moss into one that would be multi front and regional in nature. In fact, thats the only way that hamas can win this war. If its just between israel and homos, um, then this war was over and how moss has lost the moment they decided to start it. Do you anticipate visual moving in that direction . Multi front and regional . I think that thats what ran wants. I dont think that thats what is real watson. I think israel will be doing everything that it can and its allies around the world into the United States. We doing everything they can to avoid that outcome. We do not want the westbank to um, to immersion to a 2nd front. We do not want riots amongst arab is rallies to become prevalent. The way they started to the last time that there was a military engagement between israel and im us, and we certainly dont want there to expand to the north because has laws capabilities the worst that of from us. So theres a lot of work being done diplomatically right now to put pressure on all of the governments that have the ability to influence a moss and have the ability to influence actors like has blog to say, dont go down this path. And theres also, um, actions being taken, for instance, the United States moving its Aircraft Carrier strike group to the region to intended to deter actors like has the law from taking from getting engaged in the war directly. But havent we already seen the age righty . Miss . Hows that having a know towards that presume to has the physicians on the board as weve seen a minor things being taken theres theres certainly we should not expect nothing to happen from huntsville law has lot cant allow this situation to go through and, and say at the end of the day that it did nothing, but the question is what it does. What weve seen thus far is the kind of a tit for tat reactions that, that are not uncommon, sadly enough on israels northern border. Israel is, is, uh, is, is reinforcing that northern border and one thing that has the law will not have that come off had, is the element of surprise. And so israel will be well positioned to respond rapidly to any thing that uh, that has the law does. So all of these are the types of actions that are designed to avoid a real 2nd front in this war. Okay, so if i understand you correctly, um we should look at this in why the times and just have mass launching on attack on, on israel. This is her mass, and its back us who seek to inflame a regional conflict. If you look at the other end of that and at what israels response, where just israels response, where is not likely to and weve, weve heard of Benjamin Netanyahu talking about a israels response. Changing the middle east. It seems bold so many same things c. Im think of all, but it seems on thinkable that the end of this war ends with the status quo and to ends with where we were before with this simmering resentment and take for tots. Right . This is a game changer. If i can use that type cliche, i am the, the cliche though tired is appropriate, as at least when it comes to gaza. There is a consensus within israel and all the people that ive talked to there that there is no way that at the end of this operation, the exact same situation will be allowed to continue with a boss uh, being in complete control of the entire territory of gaza and doing and be able to build that capabilities to take the kinds of actions that they were doing today. But there will be some in israel who will be advocating for a renewed occupation going back to what it was before, 2005. That will be others that will be advocating for a re installment of the Palestinian Authoritys responsibilities in gaza. Which ended in 2007, when im us, took it away by force. There will still be others that will be arguing for a new type, a new strong man emerging from hamas or being imported from elsewhere. These are all the questions that are being asked now, and what they all come down to is the same question that general portray us asked in 2003 before the United States. And they did a rack. How does this and what is the governance structure of, of guys will look like afterwards because its not going to look like what it was before to israels credit. They are asking that question now. They dont have the answers yet. Thank you for talking to set through that to within wexler from the atlantic capital. Thank you. Thank you very much. I. I dont think they definitely nearby some but then let me recap our top story for you, the fighting between israel and the palestinian group. How much of these a lot of pictures from gaza, where israel has stepped up, its bump off between natalia agents with tara attacks that launched by comma on saturday. Israels Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahu says the strikes are just the beginning of the response to how much will echo with autonomy is for a generation. As long as the tax on these rail have driven up Global Oil Prices on the back, a fee has to be solved, could escalate into a regional conflict affecting oil, producing nations and revising phases of another period of high prices and could fuel inflation around the world. Last week, oil was around 85. 00 a barrel. Thats down from the 97. 00 seen in september of the saudi arabia and russia reduced in global supplies. The surprise attackers pushed the price of brent crude up to 88. 00 a barrel. Oh mary santa from the dw business can talk us through this at welcome murray. So explain more than about the connection between this 4 day of war on Global Oil Prices. Right, so the war has not actually impact it or production or oil, transportation. And thats because, as well as non Oil Producing country, but the reason that oil prices have spiked regardless is because of concerns that this will spread across the region. So right now, a lot of dust being tossed up in the air. And unless believe that the test will likely settle, but if the conflict spreads into the region and Oil Producers are implicated, we can see a higher or price in the future. So to assume that scenario, then, if these other Energy Actors get involved. Right . So analysts have their sites set, especially on 2 countries. Iran in saudi arabia, let me start with the wrong. So iran has been accused by is really officials of, of being implicated in this attack. And if the west actually links iran to these a terrorist attacks by him, us then a punitive sanctions would follow on oil exports by iran, iran as an Important Oil exporter. And that would inevitably lead to higher oil prices. Saudi arabia is also in focus because saudi arabia has actually been and normalization relation to normalization talks with israel. Those talks were boxed by the us. And within the frame of these talks, a saudi arabia has pledged to put in more oil onto the markets. Um, now if those talks break down because of height intentions in the regions, those oil barrels are not entering the market and therefore oil prices will remain high. And we will notice that because inflation will likely go up. Okay. Meanwhile, is rails currency, the shackle thats left of the value in the last few days, just whats behind that . Exactly. So on monday it was uh, the worst performing currency. It was down 3 percent against the dollar. And its actually currently an 8 your a lo and thats because investors are worried about this conflict miss. When yall was said that this war will be lengthy and difficult and thats causing uncertainty and impacting the currency. Now the is really a central bank has already said that its ready to sell up to 30000000000. 00 for an for an reserve currency in order to prop up the currency the cycle. And thats actually never happened before the historic move. So the big moving move there in order to stabilize the currency, it should be set so that the shackles actually had a weak your overall already. So this is not an outlier in terms of this new developments. The cycle already lost a lot of value earlier this year, when the government announced announced plans to strengthen the powers of the government in relation to the countrys top court. So many so many areas and israel moving into unprecedented areas. If the central bank does step in this thing, isnt gonna go away quickly. So is Central Bank Action is likely to be successful. Well have to wait and see it as we saw this as this is unprecedented, but the is really central bank has a lot of foreign reserve currency, so a lot of power can be wielded by the central bank. So not a reason to, to, to worry too much at the moment. Okay, thanks for that to date of the Business Report at the rehab center. This is a quick summary of whats been happening on day 4 of this was more than 1800 people on ive known to been kills. And some us launched its attacks on israel over a 1000 in is riley itself more than 800 and gaza view and says more than 1370001000. So ive taken shelter at schools that it runs the us as its begun to deliver weapons and Ministry Supplies to me as well. On the Health Ministry in gaza is calling for a safe call into or for medical aid, saying that hospitals are running out of supplies. What color messiah secuity expos and professor of International Politics at the bundles value and invest in munich. Asked him whether his response is likely to be limited to asked strikes. No, i expect the ground floor in the, in the next hours the next day is to come because the declared goal, political goal is the destruction of the military wing and the Political Party off off. And this can only be done by the ground forces. So therefore, we will see a massive Ground Invasion in todays to come so ground war and im very in a small area, im particularly densely populated area. This is not going to be a traditional award. Is a business going to be oven wolf . I or absolutely, this is going to be irving wolf or this is a 3 dimensional war. What i mean by this is a, i mean, you have to expect that the enemy is taking you from a box from below, from the, from the front and from behind you comp, enzo with mechanize vehicles. You have to go in by infantry and you have to fight basically for house in the house. Its going to be a long war. Its going to be extremely bloody and messy. So each bio has said that if hes not targeting civilians, but given the density of the population, there it is. Hospice, a house of williams kind of boy being hit. And 11 does. And if, if, if this is all preparation for the ground war, if the level enough blocks of a flat, so give the enemy nowhere to hide. Then if youre sending troops and on the ground, not in times, but on, on, on for that makes your job much easier or no, i mean, it doesnt make your job much, much easier. The, the, the components of preparation for the ground, for israel, as all school civilians to leave gaza. Um, as far as i know, egypt will only accept 2000 per day. And there are 2200000 People Living in gaza. So it wont be possible that all the civilians are going to leave will be able to leave closet before the Ground Invasions thoughts. And then secondly, we know from previous campaigns that how mazda is using civilians as a kind of human shields. So therefore, the, the Ground Invasion is the alternatives to bomb being from a boss guideline to rumbles. So which means basically the chances for civilians to survive is much higher than if it really would rely on a purely air campaign. But definitely we have to expect that also civilians are getting killed in this ground. Invasion is far more bearing in mind that this, this trying to envision who still fear rascal at this stage hasnt, hasnt begun yet. Is that more . But israel could be doing to prevents against a civilian deaths as well. Actually, israel, it did what, what it could do to prevent the mass of civilian casualties. I mean, offering people to leave garza and in the framework of the air contain doing a roof knocking, which basically means that you drop a small bump on, on the roof, off of a skyscraper or a house or not causing much damage, but basically alerting the civilians to leave the building because a quarter after that, the real bump will come into this house. Um, sending a short messages to the civilians in gaza where they can go in order to survive. I mean places where these ready air force doesnt the tech. There was not much more israel can do to prevent the casualties. The civilian casualties once the Ground Invasion stopped and bear in mind how must will prevent civilians from leaving god because they need them as human shields. At. Lets take a step back now and the question that everyone is asking is, how did, how mosse bodies to launch attacks and incursions on such a massive scale undetected by us or as regularly intelligence this . Well, this is, i mean, this is the 6000000. 00 question. For the time being, i dont think that the, the is rarely see the Security Services. Didnt notice that there was something that there was something going on. But i think that they took the wrong conclusions, or even worse they, i learned it is rarely politics and they ignore the advice of, of the Security Service old basically d and d analysis also Security Service one way or the other. This is a mass of political failure and the massive failure of these ready Security Services. On the other end of that question, of course is how did how mosse manage to build up the results is to launch this unprecedented attack. What, how did they get . How did, how did they get hold of, of the, the weapons in order to achieve this . What 1st of all, we havent seen from what we know from pictures and videos. We havent seen any weapons used in this attack, which we didnt know that theyre in the professional from us. So usually they get their weapons of food tunnels smuggling, mostly through egypt, provided by you wrong. But this is something which goes on a 4th decade. So we dont know about any new types of weapons they use, so the weapons they use, where the weapons we know a mosque was in possession with the off by was, was surprising was the cool the nation of this attack because this attack happens from a land from, from here and from sea. And the interplay between the 3 dimension is something which is usually unknown for how most right. Lets zoom out now is a risk, that based severity of age miles response. A could drill the why the region into this conflict. One of those things that uh this uh, will depend on the severity of israels response. I mean there are the, might be the opening, i mean to say from off the might be the opening of a 2nd from the north of his world by his ball law. And then israel with will face a 2 front war which will cause enormous challenges for you as well. Secondly, imagine that israel is able to crash him off and to defeat his ball law, there might be any rang and reaction. And then were on an uncontrollable situation. And all region, so this conflict has read of the potential to spill over to more at uh to more actors in the region to more players in the region and become a kind of uncontrollable