year in particular, it is going to be a whole lot of fun. there's really no sport, art, or spect call in the united states of america that can compete with presidential politics for sheer american entertainment value. when it comes to the question, though, of who will win and whether or not president obama is going to get a second term, the determinists among us determine however fun this whole process is, the process of republican party picking a nominee is irrelevant. the determinists among us tell us they don't even need to know the name of who the republicans -- the name of the republicans are going to choose for the nominee to predict the election results next november. the determinists among us say the only thing you need to know to tell us who is going to win the next election is what the unemployment rate is. no president has been reelected with a unemployment rate above 7.2%. that's what it was when ray kban was reelected. over 7.2 unemployment, no president has ever won himself a second term.
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