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is a significant place for an incumbent to be. when you go state by state in the swing states, president obama does seem to maintain a slim edge in several of those. how close do you think this is going to go? how is the over all things dealing to you at this point, 11 days out, chris? >> one of two things is going to happen. either it will be a nail biter right to the end, if i had to guess, that is what i guess it would be. it is so close in these swing states, but it really is a question of turnout. if it is one or two points, it doesn't matter. at that point, it becomes a matter of ground game. you can get more numbers to the polls than the other side can. it's a war to break one side or the other, i would guess that it would break for mitt romney. we have seen that historically. sometimes at the last minute, most famously reagan in 1980. at the last minute, people decide that we have given the incumbent enough chances.

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