and bill clinton's economy back in hit a 7.8 growth rate. that was then, but this is now. earlier we spoke with financial expert about how to look at the current economy. >> i think there are two big things that people should be looking at. one is what is going to happen with these tariffs and what will happen with trade wars. i think that is actually the biggest risk factor that we're facing for the markets and for the economy. and it can just be as little as the threat of a trade war that can make people and businesses pull back. the second thing is interest rates. so what will happen to interest rates, are they going to continue to go up and at what point do short term rates get higher than long term rates. that is what we call interest rate inversion. when that happens almost for the last 40 years you see this very pr predictable pattern of the stock market hitting its peak within