ukraine. the eu set a target of producing 1 million artillery shells by spring. german defence minister says that is unrealistic. now live to the vice president of the german marshall fund whojoins to the vice president of the german marshall fund who joins us from brussels. can we talk first of all about the level of funding? a lot of the speculation ahead of the meeting is that european governments are starting to flag in their support for ukraine. do you get a sense of that today or are they in for the long haul?— that today or are they in for the lona haul? ,, , �*, ., ., ., long haul? surely there's a lot of concern about _ long haul? surely there's a lot of concern about that. _ long haul? surely there's a lot of concern about that. it's - long haul? surely there's a lot of concern about that. it's also - long haul? surely there's a lot of concern about that. it's also truei concern about that. it's also true across the atlantic, but there's a lot of concern about the future. this meeting of the last two days, it really was reassuring for those who are concerned about this because it was an opportunity to reflect first of all on what europe is actually been doing. it's up to about 27 billion euros in military support. that exceeds now what the united states has done. has a german defence minister pointed out, they are very real constraints on what europe can produce and send for ukraine. it's a mix of both concern and taking stock and realising europe is doing a lot.- and taking stock and realising europe is doing a lot. we're going to talk later _ europe is doing a lot. we're going to talk later about _ europe is doing a lot. we're going to talk later about the _ europe is doing a lot. we're going to talk later about the spending . to talk later about the spending package that the republicans have put into the house of representatives in washington. it is without funding for ukraine or for israel. do you think that's sharpen the focus? do europeans know they're going to have to bridge the gap? i think there is a generalised anxiety what could happen next year and in future years in terms of american support for ukraine. a lot of that depends on an election and other things, but it's a highly politcised issue. there is this anxiety in europe that europe is going to have to keep supporting ukraine, going to have to do more not only in terms of military support and funding, but also in training. there is a very significant announcement coming out of the meeting about european training initiative to train up to 15,000 troops. this is not insignificant.— 15,000 troops. this is not insignificant. 15,000 troops. this is not insianificant. ., ., , ., insignificant. how urgent do you think the need _ insignificant. how urgent do you think the need for _ insignificant. how urgent do you think the need for this _ insignificant. how urgent do you think the need for this military l insignificant. how urgent do you i think the need for this military aid is now? if the us is stalling on this 60 billion package, and the europeans have a problem producing 1 million shells by the spring, where does that leave the counteroffensive? ~ counteroffensive? well, there are -roblems counteroffensive? well, there are problems with _ counteroffensive? well, there are. problems with the counteroffensive anyway, how much actually turns on what we're discussing is unclear. but if we look ahead for ukraine to assure its security, however the current offensive turns out, it's going to need more support and equipment and more money, more training. a lot has been done and a lot is still being done by the united states. very little of what anyone is sending to ukraine these days would get there without american assistance. most of it logistically is getting there with american assistance. that's usually important. ian american assistance. that's usually imortant. ., ~ ,, american assistance. that's usually imortant. . ~ ,, ., ~ american assistance. that's usually imortant. . ~ ,, . important. ian messer, thank you very much — important. ian messer, thank you very much for— important. ian messer, thank you very much for that. _ important. ian messer, thank you very much for that. we _ important. ian messer, thank you very much for that. we were - important. ian messer, thank you i very much for that. we were hearing from a doctor who has been to gaza, and his thoughts on the number of child casualties. the debate about what the uk should be saying is as the situation in gaza gets worse, the debate about what the uk should be saying about it, is hotting up. there are signs the government wants israel to take greater steps to protect innocent life. the international development minister andrew mitchell has been speaking about the situation — telling mps that longer pauses over a larger area are needed because of the growing death toll in gaza. alleviating the suffering is our foremost priority. we welcome any initiative which would allow more aid to be delivered and hostages to be released. we have therefore consistently called for humanitarian causes, called for humanitarian pauses, for our pauses in northern gaza are an important first step, but longer pauses that cover wider areas will be needed. we are discussing with the un and other partners how best to achieve this. he said the british government had been urging israel to comply with international law to protect civilian life. the government has been clear that all parties to a conflict must afford civilians the protection that is their right under international law. that includes respecting the sanctity of hospitals so that doctors can continue to care for the sick and injured. there are things israel must do as part of their response. we have impressed this upon the israeli government. they must act within international law. they must take every precaution to minimise civilian casualties, limiting attacks to military targets. sir keir starmer will attempt to put labour's position on the conflict to a vote on wednesday, in a bid to maintain party unity. the party said its commons motion would reflect its "concerns" over the lack of aid reaching gaza and the "scale of civilian casualties". but it will echo the labour leader's position, stopping short of any call for an immediate ceasefire. there are reports he will sack any shadow frontbencher who vote for an snp amendment calling for a ceasefire in gaza. the shadow foreign secretary, labour's david lammy, attempted to shift the focus by pointing out that the new foreign secretary lord david cameron was not making the statement delivered by andrew mitchell because he is a peer. mr speaker, i would've liked to have started by welcoming the new foreign secretary to his place. where is he? but i can't do that because he isn't here. despite my respect for the right honourable gentleman opposite, he is not the foreign secretary. and we don't know when or how this house will hear from the foreign secretary because he's not a member. getting into a little bit of that in the panel part of the programme. but let's speak to... maha yahya, director of the malcolm h kerr carnegie middle east center. i want to pick up with you what we're starting to hear now. there seemed to have been a deliberate shift in focus towards longer cease—fires. what do you think is driving that? inaudible frankly, the situation in gaza. we're talking about 70%, 1.7 million people who have lost their homes out of 2.2 million. i don't need to go into the death rates. we're talking about 11,000 people dead, half of them are children. since the russian offensive began on ukraine, 500 children have been killed. that's almost over two years. in gaza, we're almost at 5,000 children in one month. what's really driving it is severe anger and anguish over what's happening to an unarmed population. this is a collective punishment towards a civilian population for the most part. attacks against palestinians, but also against the health sector. let me focus on the politics because we heard from a doctor who has a very good understanding of what's happening. i do want to try to keep to the politics. i want to understand what leverage the white house has over this. but thus far, it doesn't seem to have had any impact on benjamin netanyahu and the war cabinet. why? the impact on benjamin netanyahu and the war cabinet. why?— war cabinet. why? the white house said significant _ war cabinet. why? the white house said significant leverage. _ war cabinet. why? the white house said significant leverage. i - war cabinet. why? the white house said significant leverage. i don't - said significant leverage. i don't think they've used it yet. the united states provides significant support and military aid to israel. theyjust approve a they just approve a multibillion—dollar additional support and arms transfer. there are other kinds of aids in support. so, i don't believe the administration has yet used that leverage in order to get the israeli government to either agree to humanitarian poses — which i called a little between massacres or call for a cease—fire. i guess joe massacres or call for a cease—fire. i guessjoe biden is looking at political opinion and domestic opinion towards the war. a majority of people are still in support of the war. we've got pictures today in washington, tens of thousands of people attending the smart for israel, which has been organised by the jewish federation. israel, which has been organised by thejewish federation. —— the march for israel. leaders are going to speak at this rally today, a lot of them pointing towards the anti—�*s of buddhism that has arisen. —— anti—semitism. you have to set this in the context of what is going on politically at home. i in the context of what is going on politically at home.— politically at home. i think the administration _ politically at home. i think the | administration underestimated politically at home. i think the - administration underestimated the impact of this on domestic policies. in fact, the sum of the shift in policy we're seeing is a very divided picture, but we've also seen massive pro—palestinian rallies across many countries in the united states. many cities in the united states... sorry, there's a... {30 states... sorry, there's a... go ahead. 0k, _ states... sorry, there's a... go ahead. ok, so— states... sorry, there's a... go ahead. ok, so there _ states... sorry, there's a... go ahead. ok, so there are... - states... sorry, there's a... go l ahead. ok, so there are... there have been _ ahead. ok, so there are... there have been demonstrations - ahead. ok, so there are... there| have been demonstrations across major cities in the us. it's very clear that within the democratic party, there is a real challenge that the administration is facing. the polls are indicating that president biden's popularity has plummeted, particularly amongst arab americans, but also the younger generation, who support for palestine has increased significantly. but also within amongst progressives. this is happening in some of the key states like michigan, for example. lots of these states could lead to the loss of the presidency. also for the democratic party. it’s of the presidency. also for the democratic party.— of the presidency. also for the democratic party. it's going to be interesting _ democratic party. it's going to be interesting to _ democratic party. it's going to be interesting to watch. _ democratic party. it's going to be interesting to watch. particularlyl interesting to watch. particularly interesting to watch. particularly in states like michigan. maha yahya, thank you very much for coming on. we're going to pause and take a step away from the news and get some updates on the sport. hello. a man has been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter over the death of ice hockey player adam johnson, whose neck was cut during a match. whose neck was cut during a match in the uk's elite league. the nottingham panthers player was injured by a skate in a game against sheffield steelers last month and was pronounced dead after being taken to hospital. fans and mourners paid tribute to the 29—year—old at the nottingham arena a week on from his death, which south yorkshire police said a postmortem had confirmed happened as a result of a fatal neck injury. the panthers have yet to play since, but will return to the ice for an adamjohnson memorial game on saturday. south yorkshire police say the man they arrested remains in custody. they released a statement today sitting... she says they've been carrying out extensive inquiries to peefs carrying out extensive inquiries to peet�*s together the events. she says they've been speaking to highly specialised experts to assist in our inquiries and also urged members to the public to refrain from comments and back elation. —— speculation. liverpool striker luiz diaz has been reunited with his father in colombia, four days after luiz manuel diaz was released by kidnappers. both the forward's parents were taken by a guerrilla group in columbia, and while diaz's mother was quickly released, his father was held for 12 days. colombian police have confirmed that they have arrested four individuals connected with the kidnapping. diaz stayed with his club throughout his father's abduction, but has returned to colombia for the internatoinal break. for the eighth time winners, lyon are 5—0 up in the earlier kick—offs. stefanos tsitsipas has apologised to fans after he was booed off court at the atp world tennis finals in turin. the world number six retired afterjust three games in his match against holgar rune. in his match against holgar rune because of a back injury and has withdrawn from the tournament. in the same group, novak djokovic is up againstjannik sinner right now — with both players trying to make it two wins from two. is on serve in the first set. djokovic has just taken a fourth game to lead by 423. india cricket captain rohit sharma has urged his teammates to be brave ahead of their world cup semi—final against new zealand tomorrow. having won all nine of their round robin matches, including victory against new zealand, the hosts will go into the match as favourites. however, they haven't won the tournament since 2011 — so is sharma feeling the pressure? it's such a high—profile term limit. everybody's — it's such a high—profile term limit. everybody's watching. —— tournament. that is _ everybody's watching. —— tournament. that is what _ everybody's watching. —— tournament. that is what we've done in this tournament so far, which is very, very— tournament so far, which is very, very good — tournament so far, which is very, very good. but we know the importance of this week. we don't really— importance of this week. we don't really have — importance of this week. we don't really have to change too much. world boxing heavyweight champion 0leksandr usyk says he wants to organise a homecoming fight in kyiv once ukraine's war with russia is over. usyk is set to face fellow world champion tyson fury in february — with the winner becoming the first undisputed world heavyweight champion since lennox lewis in 1999. in—between fights, usyk has returned to his homeland to speak to troops on the front line, who says they're his inspiration. translation: personally, the guys who defend our— translation: personally, the guys who defend our country _ translation: personally, the guys who defend our country are - translation: personally, the guys who defend our country are big - who defend our country are big motivation _ who defend our country are big motivation and _ who defend our country are big motivation and i'm _ who defend our country are big motivation and i'm grateful- who defend our country are big motivation and i'm grateful toi who defend our country are big - motivation and i'm grateful to them. when _ motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i _ motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i call_ motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i call them, _ motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i callthem, i— motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i call them, i see _ motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i call them, i see their- motivation and i'm grateful to them. when i call them, i see their faces, i when i call them, i see their faces, i when i call them, i see their faces, i see _ when i call them, i see their faces, i see their— when i call them, i see their faces, i see their smile. _ when i call them, i see their faces, i see their smile. they— i see their smile. they screen victory — i see their smile. they screen victory it's_ i see their smile. they screen victory. it's partly— i see their smile. they screen victory. it's partly their- i see their smile. they screen. victory. it's partly their victory, too _ victory. it's partly their victory, too you — victory. it's partly their victory, too you know _ victory. it's partly their victory, too. you know that _ victory. it's partly their victory, too. you know that when - victory. it's partly their victory, too. you know that when i'm . too. you know that when i'm boxing and i_ too. you know that when i'm boxing and i win, _ too. you know that when i'm boxing and i win, my— too. you know that when i'm boxing and i win, my entire _ too. you know that when i'm boxing and i win, my entire country- too. you know that when i'm boxing and i win, my entire country wins i and i win, my entire country wins and i win, my entire country wins and all_ and i win, my entire country wins and all the — and i win, my entire country wins and all the people _ and i win, my entire country wins and all the people who _ and i win, my entire country wins and all the people who cheer forl and i win, my entire country wins i and all the people who cheer for me win. there is more on her website, but thatis there is more on her website, but that is it, back to you. around the world and across the uk. this is bbc news. fit and well, running her own business — emma from lichfield is pretty special. last summer, she was petrified from disordered, and after waking from a coma, the doctors had awful news. waking from a coma, the doctors had awful news-— awful news. they said it's really unlikely i'm _ awful news. they said it's really unlikely i'm going _ awful news. they said it's really unlikely i'm going to _ awful news. they said it's really unlikely i'm going to walk- awful news. they said it's really| unlikely i'm going to walk again. awful news. they said it's really l unlikely i'm going to walk again. i was absently devastated. think to month of physiotherapy _ was absently devastated. think to month of physiotherapy 's - was absently devastated. think to month of physiotherapy 's and i month of physiotherapy �*s and determination, she's regained full moment. thanks mainly to a daily transfusing of plasma —— thanks to month of physiotherapy and determination.— month of physiotherapy and determination. ., , . , , determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. determination. plasma is incredibly valuable- it — determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. it is— determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. it is liquid _ determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. it is liquid gold _ determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. it is liquid gold and i determination. plasma is incredibly valuable. it is liquid gold and it i valuable. it is liquid gold and it can be — valuable. it is liquid gold and it can be used to treat over 50 diseases— can be used to treat over 50 diseases and it has the potential to save lives — diseases and it has the potential to save lives. for diseases and it has the potential to save lives. ., ., , ., , diseases and it has the potential to save lives. ., ., , ., save lives. for more stories, head to the bbc — save lives. for more stories, head to the bbc news _ save lives. for more stories, head to the bbc news website. - you're watching bbc news. health teams in the uk are advising the government and the devolved administrations that all children be vaccinated against chickenpox as toddlers. in a shake—up of the national health service's immunisation calendar, children would be routinely offered two doses when they are 12 and 18 months. that would bring the uk in line with the us, germany, canada and australia, who routinely vaccinate for chickenpox at an early age. most parents consider it a common and mild illness among children that we just pick up and get through, but there are complications from chicken pox that can lead to hospitalisation, even death. let's bring in professor adam finn, member ofjoint committee on vaccination and immunisation, leading paediatrician and long—time campaigner for the chickenpox vaccine. good to have you on the programme. i got a lot of parents are a bit phlegmatic about chickenpox. "the quicker they can get through this, the better it will be." hi. the better it will be." hi, christian. _ the better it will be." hi, christian. this _ the better it will be." hi, christian. this is - the better it will be." h , christian. this is something that pretty much all of us have had. not very affectionately. but part of growing up. the vast majority of children do get through this unpleasant element it's in a week or two —— unpleasant illness. it's a victim of its own reputation because in children's medicine, we actually are aware that we admit thousands of children every year to hospital with complications of chickenpox. some of them recover quite quickly, but they're sick enough to be in hospital. 0thers become very ill and even sometimes permanently injured. these are mostly previously healthy children who you wouldn't expect to have particular problems. it's also a real problem for children who have reduced immunities, where it can be a fatal illness. so we now have a way that we can completely prevent this from happening by immunising, as other countries have been doing, and we're recommending that we get on and do that before too long. hagar on and do that before too long. how effective is the _ on and do that before too long. how effective is the vaccine? what other vaccines could be done at the same time? �* , . , vaccines could be done at the same time? 3 . , m vaccines could be done at the same time? , f. time? it's a very effective vaccine if ou time? it's a very effective vaccine if you give — time? it's a very effective vaccine if you give two — time? it's a very effective vaccine if you give two doses. _ time? it's a very effective vaccine if you give two doses. one - time? it's a very effective vaccine if you give two doses. one dose l if you give two doses. 0ne dose pretty much guarantees he won't get seriously ill, but doesn't completely stop you from getting chickenpox if you're exposed. two doses, the chances more or less complete if as a peer. so it's very effective in that regard —— more or less completely disappear. the vaccine can cause a very mild infection because it is a live virus, but it's a much weaker virus. most countries that are giving this vaccine are actually giving it in combination with the measles mumps are available so it becomes it becomes an mmrv.— are available so it becomes it becomes an mmrv. there are some --eole becomes an mmrv. there are some people who — becomes an mmrv. there are some people who get _ becomes an mmrv. there are some people who get chickenpox - becomes an mmrv. there are some people who get chickenpox more i becomes an mmrv. there are some i people who get chickenpox more than once, and would they be better protected if they got it eat then throw vaccine? i5 protected if they got it eat then throw vaccine ?_ throw vaccine? is very unusual because one — throw vaccine? is very unusual because one dose _ throw vaccine? is very unusual because one dose of _ throw vaccine? is very unusual because one dose of the i throw vaccine? is very unusual because one dose of the real. throw vaccine? is very unusual i because one dose of the real virus is usually good enough to protect you against getting at least any symptomatic of infection. it is possible that the immunity you get from the virus is a bit stronger than from the vaccine, but up till now, the vaccine, two doses has proved to be very effective. the other sting on the tail of chickenpox is that you don't actually clear the virus. it sits in your nerves and can reactivate and cause shingles later. the chances are much lower if you have a vaccine that if you get chickenpox. titer? that if you get chickenpox. very interesting _ that if you get chickenpox. very interesting to _ that if you get chickenpox. very interesting to all— that if you get chickenpox. very interesting to all the _ that if you get chickenpox. very interesting to all the older people who had shingles. thank you for coming on. who had shingles. thank you for coming on-_ who had shingles. thank you for l coming on-— you coming on. thanks, christian. you will know we _ coming on. thanks, christian. you will know we spent _ coming on. thanks, christian. you will know we spent time _ coming on. thanks, christian. you will know we spent time talking i will know we spent time talking about artificial intelligence. recent months talking about artificial intelligence, the dangers it presents but also the opportunities it will offer to improve our lives. and one of the most valuable might be its capacity to improve our weather forecasts. crucially important to farmers, to emergency planners, to energy companies, in fact so many sectors that depend on that timely accurate information. the teams at google deep mind are developing a forecasting system using ai that will not only process more quickly all the information we have, but will look at historic patterns and previous events to forecast with greater precision. i have been speaking to our climate editorjustin rowlatt about this and we began with an explainer how our current systems work. it's up to 800 million separate observations of what's happening in the atmosphere. and those could be from all sorts of places, from satellites, from weather stations, buoys in the ocean. there are even sensors collecting weather data on the nose of commercial jet planes. so, they take that data, they decide which they think are the strongest, the most important bits of data. so, normally whittle it down to something like 10 million data points. they then put them into a supercomputer. and we are talking truly enormous computers that attempt to model the way that heat and moisture is transferred through the atmosphere. so look at what they use the data to say, what the weather is like now and how that weather is likely to change into the future. and the models which take huge amounts of processing power, we are talking thousands of trillions of calculations per second. we are talking thousands of trillions of calculations per second. i was clarifying it with them because it's such an enormous number cos it's such an enormous number in order to come up with the weather forecast that we routinely use, which tell you at the most prosaic whether it's going to rain tomorrow and you should put a coat on all the way up to predicting storms and other extreme weather, which gives people full warning, which means, of course, that they can protect themselves, evacuate the area or batten down the hatches to protect themselves as if heavy weather is on its way. weather's on its way. so, how would this new ai tool from from google deepmind do it differently? well, in a way, what it does is a lot simpler. instead of trying to actually model the way the atmosphere works, the kind of complex physics of the atmosphere, what it does is it ingests it takes in the historic data. what it does is it ingests, it takes in the historic data. so it looks at what the weather has been and how it's changed over time. so, it's taken every hour of data for the last a0 or 50 years, takes that into the computer. and what the computer is doing is looking for patterns. so, when you put in the weather conditions today, it says, "i've seen that before and normally that develops into this." so it uses historic data to predict what's going to happen in the future. now, the level of detail it produces is nothing like the the detail that we get from the traditional models at the moment. that could change as they decide to make the resolution a bit tighter. but it is extremely accurate, more accurate on most measures than traditional weather forecasting system. so, it is a breakthrough, but it uses the output of the traditional models is the data it learns on, so it does need those traditional models. so, we're not going to shut the supercomputers down and go down and go over to ai. they work side by side. ai produces forecasts far, far quicker instead of hours of supercomputer time. ai produces forecasts far, far quicker. instead of hours of supercomputer timec runching those numbers, it can come up with a forecast in less than a minute using basically the kind of computer you might sit on, on a laptop, on a desktop, a big sort of a big computer, but not a giant supercomputer. it's going to be such a different future. stay with us. hello there, good evening. some very unsettled conditions currently across the uk, but also some very mild air, too, marked here in yellow on our air mass chart. the mild air moves away to be replaced with something a lot cooler as we head through wednesday, thursday and friday some very unsettled conditions, wet and windy, but also turning a lot milder once more. now, this is the pressure chart from earlier on today. you can see these heavy, thundery showers clearing away from the south coast — really quite blustery here. some rainbows spotted as things tended to brighten up from the west. still some showers across england and wales, but also some clear spells overnight tonight, too breezy, really, for any frost to form. there will be plenty of cloud, showery outbreaks of rain continuing across much of scotland, showers, too, for northern ireland. towards the north of scotland, in the sheltered glens and the clear spells, there could be perhaps a touch of frost here into wednesday morning. so, this is how we'll start off the day tomorrow. now, there are some very weak fronts, just gradually slipping southwards as we head throughout the day. that'll introduce, perhaps, a few showers into the north part of northern ireland through the afternoon, some showers, too, edging into lincolnshire. but to the north of that front there'll be lots of dry weather, some sunshine for the far north of scotland. the sunshine continues, and it should stay dry across much of england and wales, the winds will ease down, temperatures now much closer to the seasonal average. now, the dry weather in the south is not set to last because as we look out towards the atlantic two deep areas of low pressure approaching from the south and from the west. now, still lots of uncertainty regarding thursday, but current thinking suggests that we're going to see this rain across the south first thing, and there'll be more rain edging in from the west as we head through the afternoon. so, we're all going to be turning wet and windy. it's going to be a pretty miserable picture, i think, by the end of the day. temperatures again, 8—13 celsius. but friday will be a break between these systems. there should be a lot of dry weather around. the sunshine will last longest probably towards central and eastern areas. we look out towards the southwest, where there's another system approaching — again, highs of around 7—13 celsius. but those temperatures are set to rise, of course, as the wet the windy weather, the deep area of low pressure spreads in from the southwest. it's going to be a very unsettled weekend indeed with coastal gales, especially towards the west, plenty of heavy rain, but the temperatures will rise. bye— bye. hello, i'm christian fraser, and this is the context. you have manifestly and repeatedly failed to deliver on every single one of these key policies. either your distinctive style of government means you're incapable of doing so, or, as i must surely conclude now, you never had any intention of keeping your promises. i printed it out and, armed with my highlighter pen, i thought i would highlight the key bits thatjumped out. i then realised i had pretty much highlighted the entire thing. it is dripping with derision about the prime minister. her letter is eyewateringly excoriating. i've never seen a resignation like it. i can't recall one from history. suella braverman's letter is just the latest instalment in a tory psychodrama that's been playing out over the last 13 years, holding the rest of the country to ransom while the tories
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