Pretty much up to date on the headlines. Now on bbc news, electioncast. We are in this election because of brexit. We want to be getting out and buying our christmas presents. If anyone comes up to you and say they know what is going to happen, smile politely and turn your back. Its adam at westminster. Its chris at westminster. And laura at westminster. Its nice to be altogether. Yeah. And were going to celebrate this momentous moment by looking back at some of the manifestos that have been published that we havent covered in previous episodes, for various logistical reasons. Very good. 0h i made it sound so boring oh, well, never mind. Right. We are going to be poring over the competing, compelling visions for the nation. Is that better . Yeah, let us make it more fun. So, laura, what did you do yesterday, at the weekend . There we go, that is more fun already i went to telford. Because . Because there was the tory manifesto launch in the International Centre in telford. Paint the picture. So, it was quite dank. Quite wet and quite grey and foggy. But it was one of these weird moments where you see the comments or the political world as kind of public assets for a few hours. And the even bus in the placards. They give out the placards, they are standing the placards, and then the leader arrives and they all go hurrah hurray and then it is transformed into this big event, and then they all disappear, placards get handed back in, people get back on the bus, the politicians go away, the activists go home. We then hang around like a bad smell until we had finished our reporting. So, you know, i kind of, the news was on earlier yesterday, at 5 30 it was, sort of, you know, a couple of my team and a stray dog wandering around the car park. We will talk about the contents of the document, which some people say is, kind of, manifesto light, but actually, it has got quite a lot of stuff in it, really. It is not super light. It has a lot of stuff in it, that is true. When you compare to the labour manifesto, which is a very, very radical, very different, i was going to save blueprint, but it is a redprint. The tory manifesto does not have much to scare the horses, there were no giant surprises in it. But do not forget, the radical bit about what the tories want to do is to be out of the European Union in 67 days. So, the manifesto in and of itself, as that document, it does not, sort of, read like, you know, a text that will change the world. But actually there are really big things in it. Let us listen to borisjohnson and there may be some phrases in here that you have become familiar with. Jeremy corbyn wont tell us whether he would even be willing to advise people to vote in favour of his own deal. He used to be indecisive, now he is not so sure. Applause laughter and applause do we want. Do we want that kind of leadership, my friends, do we want more delay . Do we want more dither and drift and deadlock and division . Do we want 2020 to be another year of defeatism and despair . No, we do not. We want to move forward, because this country has an incredible future and here. Here it is. I believe it is at least the partial blueprint for that future. Here is the route map to take us forward, because unlike any other Party Standing in this election, were going to get brexit done. With a deal that is pre cooked, ready to go, oven ready, as i keep saying. Approved notjust by our friends in the eu, but by every single one of the 635 conservative candidates standing at this election. Curiously, ijust went round, it is part of my mission to get a copy of all of the manifestos to rattle around in my bag. Of course, one of which, at least, is going to be the thing that we consult for the next five years, in terms of holding a government to account. Ijust went round to cchq and said, can i have a copy of your manifesto . I told them who i was, but i could have been an ordinary voter, because it doesnt seem the most ludicrous thing to ask for. Two weeks out from the election. They said, oh, we dont have any printed ones. You can go on the internet. Isaid, i know, but want a printed one. I have got a printed one. You see, there in lies the difference between you and me. They give them out at the event, so i think. Anyway, they printed one out and i know the signs this sounds like a trite point, but it does give the sense of how a party is trying to project itself to the electorate. I have just been going through, because the pictures of various candidates, if you put aside the ones who are already in the government, you get a sense of the bases and the voices that there wanting to promote. And of 17 candidates pictured, nine by my calculation work or have worked in the public centre. And others have kind of, to borrow adams phrase when we were doing the sums, kind of cuddly, in a way. An ocean conservationist. Just to be clear, i was looking at the policy costings, just to be clear, i was looking at the policy costings while you were looking at the pictures. An ocean conservationist, and admin assistant, a farmers charity worker. What im saying is that theres not anybody here whose Job Description is venture capitalist. Anchor. Billionaire. And so, it isjust intriguing in terms of the public face that they seek to present. Sure, and i think the tories know that they are still very vulnerable on the squeeze on public spending over the last two years. I mean, last two years nearly ten years. They know that, they absolutely know that. And, you know, anyway, these are the two sort of pay competing forces in this election, and they . Labour all the time is trying to get the conversation onto austerity. The tories, because they know they are vulnerable brexit, the tories all the time are trying to get the conversation onto brexit, because they know they are vulnerable on austerity. These are the big, kind of, forces, arent they . Boris johnson was actually asked about that, whether he was really ending austerity like he said he is. By 2023, you will see, as a result of the decision, are 29 increase in spending, just on the nhs. The funding we are putting into the nhs, which we will begin, we will continue as we are back in downing street, if i am lucky enough to be back in downing street in december, we will be investing, as i say, the biggest ever cash boost to the nhs. 50,000 more nurses, 50 million more gp appointments and were bringing back the bursary for nurses as well. I believe absolutely passionately that its ourjob as one nation conservatives to support a step change in funding of our great Public Services, particularly the nhs and that is what we are going to do. Yes, of course, it is true that were doing it in a sensible way and were making big commitments now, were making big commitment over the lifetime of the parliament and particularly on Public Services and infrastructure. Adam is very excited, laura, about what we are about to do. But before that, on the spending stuff and the austerity stuff, i noticed there was a line in one of the papers this morning talking about for every pound that the conservatives have pledged to spend by the end of the next parliament, labour has promised 28. But then, interesting, this little nugget from torsten bell of the resolution foundation. He worked for ed miliband, saying that whilst those numbers sound modest, the conservative ones relative to labour, it would amount to the biggest increase in the size of the state, 1. 1 of stocks and shares, under any tory Prime Minister since harold macmillan. So, in terms ofjust that conversation about austerity and the end of austerity, money going into Public Services that was taken out of them under previous conservative administration or the coalition. That is right. And i think we were talking about this last week, werent we . Thats one of the things that this election is injunction about, it is the end of the common sort of, pull back the squeeze on the state, the retrenchment, the kind of post crash, you know, if you think about it in really big historical blocks, enormous crash, government shovels in loads and loads of money to avert disaster. Next government spends years and years trying to pull back that money. We are now the start of the next phase, where whoever wins is going to start reversing that retrenchment. You know, the pendulum is swinging the other way. Itsjust is the pendulum going to swing 1,000 miles an hour or is it going to gradually drift back . And if you took brexit out of this election ha ha ha ha that is the essence of where it is at. So, yeah, the tories, it is another good way to understand it as well as well as the one to 28, which sounds so kind of stretchy and crazy and almost impossible to get your head around, think about it this way, one of our colleagues came up with this, think about the tories were talking about tens of billions and labour is talking about hundreds of billions. So, you know, i know the difference between a tenner and 100 quid. Its a way of sort of understanding the scale of the differences. And what i think is interesting and it was chris giles, the economics editor of the fte, says, actually, the tories pledge on one of their fiscal rules is to balance current spending. In other words, the day to day stuff that the government spends will be matched by how much they raise in tax revenues and they will only borrow to invest in big stuff, like infrastructure and stuff for the future. But if you look at the costings document, the current Budget Surplus in the final year of the next parliament, if theres a tory majority government and they do other things they want to do, will be just over 5 billion. Which economists would say is a drop in the ocean and its a guess and also, well, are you going to have to break your fiscal rules fairly soon . Or are you going to have to raise taxes to make up the gap . Or is this alljust a sort of, evasion and a bit of positioning and actually all of the stuff gets forgotten . Though actually, do you remember, the last manifesto, no increase in National Insurance and that came back to bite theresa may and philip hammond. Yeah, it did. I think, that the first off there is a factual thing about manifestos. They are a bit different to a Prime Minister or a leader of the opposition giving a speech in saying that these are the Different Things that i would like to do. For a technical reason, in that the house of lords by convention does not block things that the parliament wants to do, a government wants to do, if it was in that manifesto. So, it is the kind of thing that, even if it seems outrageous to those they are not going to be in theory allows a blockage of the government gets a majority. I have to say, though, i was listening to deborah matheson, who is one of the. Ugh i dont mean that about deborah, i mean what she was staying. Because i heard it too. I didnt. It was that most people do not pay very much attention to manifestos. But they have a dynamic in terms of their campaign and they know that they can change the direction of campaigns. Im not sure that either of them or the other parties are really changing the dynamics of this campaign, though. For what it is worth, they do not seem to have shifted the dial opinion poll wise. For what that is worth and there is still time, i guess, because the conservative manifesto is a 2k hours old. Well, i was going to say, another manifesto launch, from the brexit party, but it was not a manifesto launch, was it . A contract. But it is interesting, isnt it . Nigel farages argument is that the leader of brexit party that the word manifesto is kind of debased. Well, lets hear his argument. This is not a manifesto. Because a Word Association test with manifesto gave us they word lie and is that any surprising given just how many broken promises be weve seen in british politics over the last few general elections . Manifestos are in means of telling people what they want to hear without ever having the genuine desire to implement them. In the subject of debased political language, i did try this out, actually, and i said to my wife, i pledge to do the hoovering. And there was just gales of laughter, that word pledge, which is so often associated with this particular stage in the political process. Yeah. Can be met with a scoop of cynicism. Derision more like. I hope you did, did you do the hoovering . I did, eventually, but not the full job. Really . So did you only hoover one room or something . Yeah. Chris what room was it . The lounge. Its the key room to do, i think, if youre going to do one. Did you do it properly . Well, i thought it was proper. You are probably scrutinising my domestic manifesto. We cannot spend more time scrutinising your vacuuming than we do the brexit partys contract. What are the big things in the contract . Now i am thinking about godfrey bloom. What are the big things in the contract . A political revolution. Yeah, it is a lot about constitutional reform, as we discussed before. Because they want to change the political system, potentially to make it easier to have more brexit party mps. And then, they talk about their big brexit dividend, so they say they would raise £200 billion, they do it by scrapping hs, keeping the £13 billion that would we would be giving the eu if we were still in, recovering £7 billion from the European Investment bank, which is the Investment Bank arm, wing of the eu, and taking 50 of the foreign aid budget and spending it in the uk, which would give them a0 billion over five years. They are not keen on inheritance tax and they are not keen on the tv licence either. But i guess the essence of it, to be on the nitty gritty of the contract, is this whole thing that we have seen from them in the last couple weeks, that they are saying borisjohnson needs to deliver the long term brexit solution by the end of 2020 and they are comfortable, because we know they are because this was their position until a few weeks ago, with the idea that if it comes to it and there is not an arrangement by then, to leave without one. Therefore, that coming political battle of 2020 is kind of there to be seen. Sure, and actually, it is in the tory manifesto, as well, a commitment not to extend if there is not a trade deal ready. Now, i have to say, if the tories end up getting a majority, which is still a big if, i would not be entirely surprised if ultimately they end up having to extend if they feel they need to do that, right . Because previous, Boris Johnson did that before, theresa may did that before, when they did not have majority. So, if you do not have a majority, remember, if anybody has a majority we will enter suddenly a different era that weve not been getting in the last four years, when everything has been so dicey. But you are right, i mean, that kind of alignment of interest from the brexit party to some of what borisjohnson has said, that is making a difference on the ground. It is making a particular difference to the lib dems. As they publicly acknowledge. As they very publicly acknowledge. And just some other stuff in the brexit party. Gone are the days when you would hear nigel farage saying at rallies, maybe we should have much more get rid of the nhs or change how the nhs works or private provision, that is definitely going. Theres a lot of stuff in there about investing in nhs and investing in education and the brexit party to plant loads of trees, which is what every moment city. Remember where they are trying to win. They are trying to win in labour leaving areas, right . They are not going to in areas like that where they are looking in good and speak, how, in places where hartlepool, in former rock solid labour parts of the country. So, saying that theyre going to scrap the nhs and make everybody pay for private health care, that is not one to fly. So, they are, in, all of partys manifestos are always shaped by where they are trying to win, right . Where they think their voters are at this time round. I know we have still to wait for the snp manifesto. Wednesday. Is that wednesday . But the striking theme, the theme running through all of them in one way or another, to a greater or lesser extent in all of them, contrasting the 2017 and earlier is that it is the green thing. The Climate Change runs through, whether it is the brexit party talking about their trees or it is a big thing in labour and the lib dems and the conservatives, that sense of this massive issue amongst all the noise of brexit and the rest of it is quite a striking change in just a couple of years. Certainly, im not sure if the brexit party one has a carbon target in it, i cannot quite remember, but the rest of them all do. To varying degrees of strength. Lib dems have a very tough target, the greens and astringent on all of the stuff, but, you know, this 29 election is very pro tree. The brexit party, as well, they would have net migration each year of 50,000 and that would be done through work permits. Which is very low. I mean nobody else is putting a figure on it and that is very low compared to where we are at right now. I mean, at the moment it is settled at about 250,000 a year. Without checking i think it is around about that, it is around the population of a small city like 0ldham, coming every year and it is been quite stable at that level. So for anybody to say oh, we would get 50,000, thatll be massive change. You can get more details and analysis about this manifesto on the bbc news website. Now, tonight is a big moment in the broadcasting history of this campaign. Inquisitor in chief is starting his interviews without the main Party Leaders on bbc two. I did not know his middle name. I do not know what it stands for. That is his twitter handle. Anyway, first up, i have no idea what they first minister of scotland middle name is. Here is nicola sturgeon. Ask if people are prepared to believe ifjeremy corbyn finds himself in a position to form a government that is going to walk away from all that these other things he wants to do, because he is not prepared to concede the right of scotland to choose our own future. In terms of the andrew neil interrogate was quite a lot in it. Nicola sturgeon sang westminster has shown that our voice doesnt matter. She is absolutely certain, she says, that scotland does not need its own currency in order tojoin the eu. Lots of scrutiny about the practicalities of independence, if scotland was ever to get to that. 0k, from scotland, we are now heading to wales. Plaid cymru publish their manifesto a couple of days ago and earlier on we discussed with our political editor. Well, couple of big things for plaid really, are a, they are anti brexit. They say that it would be a disaster for wales and they want a second referendum, and as you know, they are also a Pro Independence party and those two big messages from them, quite a bold message, if you consider that they are running in a country which has shown little enthusiasm for either. Remember that in terms of independence, you know, the poll suggests it is in minority enthusiasm for welsh voters and of course for brexit, well, wales did vote to leave in 2016. But here is a flavour of what their leader adam price said about that. We must defeat the negative, hope crushing wrecking ball that is brexit. And if we want the people to have the final say, then we must encourage as many of them first to say loudly and clearly in the days ahead this brexit is not for us. It never was and never will be. And you know the single most effective way wales can register its european voice, find its collective voice as a nation, is by sending the largest ever contingent of plaid mps to westminster in our history. Now, firstly, we love on electioncast to indulge in a bit of sephology, looking at the granular detail of seats that may be won or lost. Paint us a picture, in terms of plaid, what adam price has said there, as any leader would, he wants to win as many seats as possible, the numbers, their numbers are very tight, arent they . Do you know what, chris, they really are for plaid and, you know, there is barely anything in it between what could be their best ever result or a disasterfor them, because they are defending four seats, two of those four seats are ultra marginals. One of them has fewer than 100 votes in it and the other has just over 100 votes in it and their targets, their big target seat is the anglesey seat and last time i spoke to you, in fact, i was in anglesey, because that is where they launched their campaign. I was in a car park then, much more glamorous now, look, i am in a studio, nice and warm. But you can see then that with a view hundred votes, plaid could end up having their best ever result or a disastrous result for adam price, so really, really fine margins for plaid. It is going to be really interesting. Thank you for coming along. I forgot to do my editorial duty and say that andrew neil is going to be interviewing all the other main Party Leaders over the next two weeks. You mean andrew effing neil, as may be the politician emerging from an interview might call him. Thank you for your very quick tweet, saying thank you for your very quick tweet, saying that andrew neils middle name is ferguson. Which prompted us to do a little more research about the middle name of nicola sturgeon. Guess this it is ferguson, too not ferguson too, but ferguson, as well. Is it a popular middle name in scotland or does itjust happened to be one of the countrys most famous broadcasters and the first minister . You are preparing material for the morning, what we be looking at . A story involving labour which we will be broadcasting from 10pm tonight. I will not say any more on it, but i suspect it will generate a headline. The other thing happening tomorrow is, it is the deadline for registering to vote if youre not on the electoral register. It is at the end of tomorrow, midnight on tuesday. I know you have some stats about this in a minute. I was having a look at the whole process of this and if you so choose and you want to vote, but you think you are not on the register because you might have moved house or whatever since the last election, then you can just search for it online and it is relatively straightforward, providing you have got your National Insurance number. Is that all you need . Your address, your name and all of that, assuming it can be called that that the only bits you might not know off the top of your head that you need is your National Insurance number. If you get your polling card, that means youre on it and you do not have anything to any about. People should be getting those by now. I have got mine. I always laugh, i know where the polling station is it is less than 150 sabitzer my flat, i counted it once. That could be the new social media thing, steps to polling stations. We do not want to replace dogs at polling stations, it is the only thing we can tweet about on election day. A few stats about registering to vote. A massive 2. 8 million applications to register to vote since the election was called. That is million more than a comparable pre deadline during the last election when there was 1. 7 million applications. From call of election to this point. They also say that two thirds of the 2. 8 million who have applied to vote so far are under the age of 35. So, that means 1. 86 Million People under the age of 35 have registered to vote in the last couple of weeks. Precedents suggest, i think, that the last 24 hour is for those with the business of processing others are nine applications is a rather busy one. If you join as tomorrow night will be be reporting that the register to vote website has crashed, because so many people are registering to vote . Interesting of course, labour are really pushing this. Loads of social media activity because i think it is a way to get their votes up. Particularly if it is younger people who are less likely to be on the register and therefore could potentially register in greater proportion, relative to their cohort population at large. A few other things to announce. Channel 4 have Just Announced that on thursday at 7pm they will have a Climate Change deemed tv debate, with jeremy corbyn, nicola sturgeon, jo swinson and sian barry of the green party and england and wales. Invites have gone out to mrsjohnson and farage, but no rsvp from either of those. The debate will go ahead with or without them. So, i guess potentially with an empty chair or two empty chairs or whatever. An interesting one, as we talk about every day all of the manifestos we have seen so far are crammed with stuff about the environment. Although do wonder if itll end up being a massive fight as to who can announce how many trees they want to plant. And whether they are showing sufficient environment of robustness by saying that 2045 or 2050 or whatever is the appropriate and deliverable point for a carbon neutrality. Right, we have delivered all we have time for. Thank you forjoining us. Remember, you can listen to the podcast which has extra bonus stuff in it via bbc sounds, on the bbc sounds app. Thanks for watching, thanks for listening, for downloading and subscribing. Goodbye. Hello there, theres a big change in the weather for all of us by the end of this week, but before then we have got more mild weather, more cloud, and some further rain and perhaps in some parts, strong to galeforce winds, with the worst of the weather through tuesday and wednesday expected across england and wales. The reason for the wet and windy weather, another area of low pressure, this one contains remnants of ex Tropical Storm sebastian and that is going to stick around for the next couple of days. Ahead of that, we have still got mild conditions by the morning, a lot of cloud, some further pockets of rain and drizzle but the wetter weather and windier weather will be toward the south west, where the winds are up picking up in the morning. Gusts of 40mph or perhaps 50mph. That will push that rain band northward throughout the day, could be quite heavy at times, push its way northwards across england and wales into Northern Ireland and the central belt of scotland, some patchy rain and stronger winds for northern scotland. Behind the rain band may get some sunshine but watch out for heavy downpours, particularly toward the south east of england later on in the afternoon. But with this tropical air heading away, it could be quite warm in the sunshine, 11; or 15 degrees perhaps. But some wet weather for the south east of england, east anglia into the evening, and our area of low pressure comes back towards the south west of england and wales, picks up the rain here which will be quite heavy, and also strengthens the wind, and we will see gales pushing through the English Channel coastal areas into the Channel Islands too. So, more rain for england and wales, could be heavy at times, and we are still going to have some wet weather across the far north of scotland. But mainly its south east scotland and north east england that will see the rain turning heavier and more persistent as we head into the afternoon bringing the threat of more localised flooding. Temperatures widely in double figures. As we head into thursday, we start to see some changes because the low pressure is going to take a lot of that rain away into the near continent. 0ur wind direction is going to change from that milder south westerly to a much colder northerly wind, and that will drag down the cold air across the whole of the country. We have still got some rain to clear away on thursday and there is more of it now across england and wales, a little bit slower but we should see it brightening up for Northern Ireland and particularly across scotland with some sunshine knocking those temperatures down in that northerly wind, still some mild air across the south but only 11 or 12 degrees. As we move into friday morning, there may well be a frost around, perhaps all the way down toward the midlands as well. Thats a significant change. We are also looking at drier weather to arrive on friday, that is going to mean more sunshine for a change, but those images will be lower, typically 5 8 celsius. Welcome to bbc news. Im mike embley. Our top stories a new report shows concentrations of carbon dioxide, the main gas behind global warming, are at record levels. The critical period is now and that the Climate Change well see and the decisions that we make will last notjust for decades orfor centuries, but potentially longer than that. Hong kongs chief executive, carrie lam, acknowledges deficiencies in her government in her reaction to the landslide victory of pro democracy parties in sundays local elections. The World Anti Doping Agency calls for russia to be suspended from International Sporting competitions for the next four years. Tens of thousands take part in demonstrations around the world to mark the International Day for the elimination of violence against women
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