Its the inside story. Welcome to inside story, im ray suarez. Between the first and 44th president s of the united states, how many would you say have never won an election to public office, never served in an appointed government position, or in the military . Correct. Donald trump says hes going to be the first. He also promises to rev up americas economic engine, seal the u. S. Border with mexico and make the mexicans pay for wall and be the best american jobs president ever. He doesnt need your contributions, has never had to finesse debate or build coalitions or make regular politicians pull their purchase, make campaigns or painful promises, the republican nomination is for president all 15 or so wont be able to ignore him. As loudly as they say they want to attract latino voters in 2016, donald trump talks louder. Here is david schuster. For americans who want a National Debate against illegal immigration, donald trump is the gift that keeps on giving. Donald trump recently complete with families of victims killed by illegal immigrants. The legals illegals came in and the illegals killed their children and we better get smart in the united states. And in phoenix he drew thousands to a rally. Theyre takings our jobs theyre taking our manufacturing theyre taking our money theyre taking everybody and theyre killing us in the border. As a billionaire developer, beauty pageant owner, donald trump has never had a problem standing out but his president ial campaign seems to have broken new ground. In his announcement speech he described undocumented mexican immigrants this way. Theyre bringing drugs theyre bringing crime theyre rapists and some i assume are good people. That last conversation at the end did nothing to stop the fire storm. And other republican candidates pounce id. He did this to inflame he doesnt represent the Republican Party or its values. I think hes a wrecking ball for the future of the Republican Party with the his pan ig community and we need to push back. Others showed trump some sympathy. I salute donald trump for focusing on the need to address illegal immigration. Its been an awkward balance for some republicans because while gop primary voters generally support a tough stance on immigration most republican strategies believe, republicans cant win the white house without more latino support. Dont worry well take country back very soon. Trumps position has sparked a wave of latino anger. Donald trump is a clown but hes their clown. Luis gutierrez says the back lash. Donald trump is a voter registrations machine. Every time he opens his mouth, people register to vote and it is guaranteed they will vote next 2016. Trump has softened his rhetoric and tried to offer clarifications. I have great relationships with mexican people. I have many, many people who work for me who are mexican. They are phenomenal people, i love them. Reporter now, republican establishment figures arent sure whether to condemn trump or ignore him hypothesis. Him. When Joaquin Guzman known as El Chapo Escaped from mexican prison, trump described him as everything wrong with the system and promised to kick his ass. El chapo promised to have him eat his words. Republican party on notice. The word is getting out that we have to stop illegal immigration. We have to, we have to. David schuster. Al jazeera. As a candidate, the real estate magnate donald trump has made a splash in a very short time, and in some polls, he only trails jeb bush. For how to become a president ial candidate how do you run against him . Engage him ignore him, embrace him denounce him . Different campaigns as weve seen have chosen versions of all four. Weve brought together a round table of ploaks watchers including brad blakeman, jeannie zano, a professor of Campaign Management at New York University and jason jonas a professor ever Political Science at hyram college. Brad blakeman let me start with you. When you are running a campaign you cant run it in isolation right . You have to take into account who your opponents are, what the temper of the times are and what issues voters are paying attention to. Can you ignore donald trump . You cant ignore him and you should not ignore him and do so at your peril if you do. We have seen people leave contract wise his brand whether its a restaurant in the hotel they are building in washington, whether its macys and its clothing line, the gop must protect their brand. The candidates who are running for office must protect their brand. When any candidate goes off the reservation either by going at odds with the Party Platform or the norms in decency of what the party stands for. So the party and the candidate in this race must protect that brand against anyone who seeks to denigrate it. Jeannie zano when another candidate is Something Like a free agent he doesnt have to worry about the normal protocols of raising money, of kissing the ring of various Party Leaders. He doesnt have to follow Party Discipline at all. Does it make it tougher to figure out what your game plan is . Absolutely. And you know brad is absolutely right. You have to protect the pretty brand. Lets not forget, donald trump is not running for a particular brand, postcitizens united, now the party chair, the leader of the party, the party out of the white house does not have enough of a stick to hold against somebody like this. He cant hold money against him. He cant hold organization against him. So you have independent candidates quote unquote like donald trump out there on their own and their interests are die metrically opposed to the party as a whole and unfortunately i think were going to see a lot more of this as we go forward until we get at least the spending issue under control and get a strengthening of our Political Parties which badly need it. Weve seen this throughout the last several years in congress weve got john boehner cant control the base of his own party. Weakened parties create this kind of environment. As much as people are frustrated with Party Politics in washington, this is simply not the answer of making government work, depends on parties that are Strong Enough to move forward and we are not at that position at this point and donald trump is what were going to get if we continue in this direction. When jeannie zano says theres all these things you cant hold against donald trump, dont we need the word yet in there . The deep are you go in the process at some point there are county chairman and state chairmen, there are valpredo access rules, there are all kinds of piece is of the process that start to come into play no . Yes there are, but there is something we have to remember, with respect to jeannie, and the other guests, what he is saying is what a lot of republicans feel. Whether this makes sense, donald trump is saying what many rank and file republicans believe. They believe that immigration is a problem. They think that crazy dangerous people from mex are mr. Mayor are mexico are sneaking over here, what really is going to come into play is not so much whether or not trump is going to affect the party brand but how many people, how many local party chairs, how many local delegates, how many local Party Leaders are going to say come august come september, i think this guy is actually speaking to us, i think he speaks to our beliefs much more than scott walker or jeb bush. But i take it you disagree. Hes getting 17 of what . We havent even reached the important time of the primary system. Were in the infancy of a president ial race by a guy who knows exactly how to get earned media. Hes not going to stick his pocket too deep to get his own money. He has no Grass Roots Organization and to think that the Republican Party as a group as weve just heard supports this is absolute nonsense. We reject a lot of what trump has said. Immigration is a problem. Of course its a problem. Whether you are a democrat or republican you believe theres a problem with immigration. The question is how you solve it, certainly not the way donald trump solves it. I reject people painting the party with trumps rhetoric. Who are the individuals who are giving him superlarge cheers . They are not the majority they are a minority, not getting trump elected. Please stand by. Trump opportunity . It looks likely he will be participating in the first republican primary debate scheduled for august 6th in cleveland. Well get a look at the these are babies in prison. He stood in that bathroom and nobody went to help him. How many people have to get raped before somebody says whoa, we got a problem . Faultlines. What do we want . Al jazeera americas hardhitting. Today the will be arrested. Groundbreaking. Theyre firing canisters of gas at us. Emmy awardwinning, investigative series. We have to get out of here. Youre watching inside story. Im ray suarez. How to play the trump card this time on the program. The veteran public figure and neophyte politician has made a splash in the large field of republican candidates. He zoomed to number 2 in early polls. Granted its a long time until the first real votes are cast in republican primaries. But hes bringing up a lot of oxygen in the room more than a year before the nominating convention. Getting attraction, attention and most importantly money. Jeannie brad are still with me. Jeannie these debates coming up will feature a large number of candidates on the forum and a Forum Earlier in the day for those candidates who didnt make the cut. Advice for those Standing Shoulder to shoulder with trump and those who are going to be in that forum. The first to be as you mentioned august 6th, ten members ten candidates who are in the upper echelons, then the forum before. In terms of candidates who are in the debate with donald trump. We all know that jeb bush has been practicing by all accounts very hard for this debate and preparing for however donald trump comes out. Thats the big question mark. We still dont know how donald trump will come out. We assume he will be bombastic. We assume he will be loud, we assume he will be the way he was at his rollout. There are indications that donald trump has pulled back, by some accounts. In this recent interview in politico, he was very mild from what was predicted. It could work to jeb bushs advantage and other candidates if he comes out lard and if those candidates can appear the quote unquote grown up in the room. If they can take him on and they can make the point that they are the mature person that can be trusted, they have the experience, as much as people are looking for an outsider and a truthseeker, they are looking for a person who can do the job and that is an aspect that jeb bush and others can bring to the debate. But the question is how does donald trump come to the debate. Jason johnson same question. Just make sure you dont pull a mitt romney. Remember what happened when rick perry came into the race . He was swinging back hitting everybody and mitt romney got irritated and that is when he made his 10,000 bat comment. Hell Say Something salient many 71y, pro vok somesomething 71y, funny. Brad blakeman, in the last round of republican primary debates. Can audience was the 10th candidate, they were cheering, they were yelling, they were pretty much the participant, could that change the way the wider public sees a confrontation like this . Which trump will show up . Maybe there will be multiple trumps. If trump says something outrageous then you must meet that outrageousness with a come back. Otherwise you are playing your own points as much as you can. The people who are going to be at the kids table, the one before the debate, they also have to have a time to break out and get to the grown up stable. The way you do that is by grown untable. The way you to that is to show likability and trust. Thats what you have to do. They have to get on that next stage. Trump understands that in order to talk about trump the next day its not serious thrawmple show up buttrump thatshows up. If you are in that second tier event and you want in the big show do you even mention donald trump . No of course not. You are not reacting to anything that happened before. You can avoid the trump play. The people on stage they have the tougher job . Yes. How would you coach them . I would say if the opportunity arises you have the obligation to set him straight before the audience. Brad, jason, jeannie, stay with us. Its no secret that latino voters are critical for the republicans to win back the white house and donald trump is not making it easy for gop candidates to court them with his tough talk. If brad suggests the Real Estate Developer will not even be in the race when 2016 arrives, will my heart is racing so fast. Standing at a crossroads. My parents have their plan. Im gonna do what god asks me to do before what they ask me to do. Can a family come together . Do you think that you can try and accept me for me . Life changing moments. My future is in my hands right now. From oscar winning director alex gibney. A Ground Breaking look at the real issues facing American Teens on when mexico sends its people, theyre not sending their best. Theyre not sending you. Theyre not sending you. Theyre sending people that have lots of problems. And theyre bringing those problems with us. Theyre bringing drugs. Theyre bringing crime. Theyre rapists and some i assume are good people. Thats donald trump on the day he announced he was running for president speaking critically about mexicans who come to the u. S. As he put it to live and work illegally. Welcome back to inside story. Im ray suarez. There have long been differences in the shape size and complexion of the electorate that comes to the polls in president ial elections versus mid terms. But those differences have become even more telling in recent elections. Many republican general election candidates have had trouble with the fast growing if still small part of the electorate, latino voters. It didnt make much difference in 2014. But it could hurt in 2016. While donald trump has gotten a lot of discussion about his anything but subtle discussions of race, shooting skyward would that end up being a problem for him but for the gop as well, jeannie, jason and brad are still with me. Jason johnson that difference between a primary campaign and a general election campaign, is that one thats important to political people and not that important to regular rank and file voters . Yeah, because most regular rank and file voters, theyre only paying attention to the primary sort of casually. They really dont click in formula the sort of general election. But leers the thing this leers the heres, the thing. It hasnt been a challenge theyre bright intelligent people they know the political process they know what they have to say. The problem is they have to play whack amole with the voters voter i. D. To discriminate against black voters or saying people from mexico may be rapists, thats what they have to face. The problem is you cant win a republican, a general election you cant win a general election unless you have over 35 of latino vote. And if trump stays in at least until iowa hes going to sort of taint the pool and make it hard for a republican general nominee to get the latino voters. Do you think hell taint the pool . I dont think hell taint the pool at all. But in addition to the candidates thoams speak out against if trump is outrageous about immigration more than he has been already and also to come one their own plan on action of immigration. Everybody believes theres a problem with immigration whether its border patel way to citizenship, vee is is visas or taxes or whatever it is. We need to make inroads in the Hispanic Community to win. As a matter of fact not even the Hispanic Community, all minority communities including women. Women are the key, independents are the key, minorities are the key. You cant rely on your base. Republicans are on notice, come up with a plan that people can have an affinity for and you will have less problem with voting. If he is gone by new years day the longer he stays in, trump has to be outrageous in order to get news. Number two, he aint spending his own money. Hes put in like zero compared to the other candidates. He wont tell you how much hes raised, he says i have 10 billion, i can spend whatever i want. You need grass roots, an operation, you need precinct workers and people who are going to go to bat for you and spend time and effort and money of their own to get you elected. We have seen none of that. Jeannie zano if donald trump is in it for reasons that have something to do with being president some day, little to do with being president some day its really hard to know but still, he has the potential in your view for having an impact on the republican race, in, out or speaking loudly or softly . He does. And i think the longer he stays in, the more of an impact he has. And just to go back to the issue of latino voters. Lets remember, potato twefl the Republican Party did an assessment of why they lost post2012, the republican appeared did an assessment of whether they lost, in a change united states, latinos hispanics, womens, nonminorities, they werent offering policies that attract those kinds of voters. Thats why we have seen people like rand paul come out as a new type of republican, kind of reach across to those constituencies that have abandoned the Republican Party for so long not historically but in the short term. Thats what the Republican Party says itself it needs to do to win the national election. Unlike 2014 the geography, the map works against the republicans it works for democrats. In 2014 when so many states were up for red, they are up for blue, that doesnt help the Republican Party. They have an uphill battle already. And somebody like trump does taint that to a certain extent. If indeed this message isnt forgotten by the time we come to november of this year say after the summer. Its possible he burns bright and falls out in the next few weeks. If not, its long term and could have an impact. Jeannie zano teaches Campaign Management at nyu, gop strategist brad blake comawn and jason johnson, teaches Political Science in hyram ohio, the author of political campaigns one day to sell, thank you for joining us. Ill be back in the iran nuclear deal. Every pathway to a Nuclear Weapon is cut off. When i was starting my working life in new york, donald trump was always around. Building new buildings, saying something outrageous in the gossip pages. If he takes the oath of office and becomes the 45th president in january 2017, hell be the only president who ever was the subject of a blaring New York Post full page headline, best sexy ever had. Dwight eisenhower never had a reality tv show, Richard Nixon never had beauty pageants. Or had a slovinian as a third wife. Or tumult in one of our two Political Parties has blended to create a free for all in the race for president and leave room in the race for celebrities. Wellknown people with only scant understanding of the messy business of running governments. Weve got a year or so from separating the real candidates from the not so real ones. So fasten your seat belts. Thanks for joining us on inside story. See you next time. Im ray suarez. This is al jazeera. Welcome to the newshour. Coming up in the next 60 minutes irans Supreme Leader accuses the u. S. Of arrogance and says there are still vast differences between the two countries. Three days of mourning are declared after a huge isil car bomb kills more than 100 people in iraq