U. S. Targets in irans size of the rush of missiles. Iraq emitted bases hosting u. S. Troops its to irans retaliation against the assassination of us him so they money but will this revenge operation stop there and might washington strike back this is inside story. Hello welcome to the program. Theres been much speculation about the scale and target of irans retaliation to the assassination of its top military commander a money and theres also speculation about whether the killing of the head of the revolutionary guards elite force could bring all out war to the middle east iran find more than a dozen besides a 2 air bases hosting American Forces in iraq early wednesday its the most direct attack on the u. S. By iran in decades initial statements by both countries seem to say they dont want further escalation the Iranian Foreign minister exact words were it one took and concluded proportionate measures in selfdefense to runs made it clear it will strike again if washington responds as for u. S. President donald trump it waited all is well after iran struck well is all really well when put that question to our guests in a moment. Well begin with irans revolutionary guard just see has said they have carried the attack in with spawns so the assassination of soleimani they were born in a statement and a new measure against iran would be met by a harsher response well warning all American Allies who gave the bases to its terrorist army that any territory that is the starting point of aggressive acts against iran will be targeted irans Supreme Leader says the attacks are a slap in the face for the u. S. Heres what he had to say to the iranian people after the attack. Today we are armed the nation of iran is equipped today against the bullies of the world matt bomer move the last night we slap the us on the face when it comes to confrontation military actions of this kind are not enough what is important is the corrupt presence of the United States in this region must come to an end they brought war and hostility and deception and destruction to this region wherever they go this happens they are still insisting that this corruption this destructiveness should be imposed on iran. As they leave. Their always talking about negotiation sitting around the table and this means their interference this should come to an end their presence in the region should come to an end the nations of the regions the governments based on the will of the people do not accept the presence of america here and i mean. Lets bring our guests in but we have valley and me here is a professor at a little sponsoring a university into one we have acquired during his research of the center for strategic studies an iranian government affiliated think tank in washington d. C. Douglas ollivant has served as director for iraq the u. S. National Security Council and the both president george w. Bush and barack obama welcome to your early how do you see the situation in the region against the backdrop of the 2 attacks retaliatory attacks by iran. Now the people elected to see that there is now they have waiting because all the people they have expect that this wish wont be any queries and they they think that is banneker and this is the it because you know that i could be without suffering from 40 use from the war and they know what is the horror mean then they they theyre afraid to the terror that theyre killing and armies fighting between them in order that i think the iraqi people are they waiting but even that thin though there is no. No at the start bribes that he didnt give his statement just on the. Sort of say the president to say we dont want iraq to be for fighting between between them then and nothing else to be clear about from the side the new wind is from the iraqi just the now the declaration and the comments coming in from iran and the United States now i think that i could be well just waiting looking to see how things were after the statement office of the top. Everyone who is watching of in years has a question in mind which is will the iranian response will be confined to the missile attacks the targets are the 2 bases or theres more to come in the near future. And irans retaliation military retaliation against. Against military bases housing u. S. Troops. Is a very calibrated response iran wants to make sure that this is a retaliation not escalation so based on what foreign minister zarif. Tweeted iran has has concluded its proportionate response to the us act of state sponsored terrorism by assassinating general solely money so it appears that iran is not going to take any fair the conventional military retaliation against the United States but from irans point of view does firing missiles at. A no as sad military base or another base in erbil. Would it be considered a befitting response to what the United States by its acts of terrorism no its not ok. Iran took its own revenge and now its up to the iraqi forces the Popular Mobilization forces to take their own. And theyre not going to listen to run at the same time so iran once too. For iran to fit in response would be a when all u. S. Troops are kicked out of this region which was their presence yes were told the president was talking about that and were seeing a later but let me go to the glass in washington d. C. Douglas do you agree with this that as far as iran is concerned or do you think that this could be a prelude to an unchartered territory for all the key actors in the region. Well it appears that the is rockets were fired as a as a message you know these rockets were fired and so far as we know they appear to have landed in grassy fields and blown up nothing but perhaps some cows so at that level this was very deescalate torrie no one was killed i think we have found no serious damage to any materiel maybe a few planes here and there so in that sense this wise deescalate tori on the other hand the choice of targets when matched with the words i think the shots at al assad were expected i think the firing at or below all wise the message to the region and i suspect that message was aimed primarily at or below and then secondarily at doha that if you have a base that is hosting u. S. Troops and if attacks are launched from there you just made yourself a legitimate target i think thats intended to be a powerful psychological message for the region but well see if that matches its you had it extremely. By any conventional means unsuccessful attack ok lets it was deliberately unsuccessful so coupled with this psychological message right since were talking about whats next i mean go to be in both done early iraq is coltan this regional rivalry between 2 political and military mights iran and the United States of america where does iraq see what does it see itself in the near future side to get more with iran or trying to carve out a neutral position. I think this is very difficult to question because no between both because america is the great power and. Iran its the neighborhood and iran its of many his study comes that it should do that with the iraqi even between the people of both people and politest between that in our care and under bullets then we know that in our key is the vetting critique situation now because they cannot be with what side against the other then i think is the best way to be the mediator ought to be a between them but i think its very difficult now because a iran needs it within their own all the American Forces and they dont want an admission ship with american and that many can want to go into government to be away from any other ship with iran they want to make iraq as a base of order to attack iran or to to stop any and it of lobbying for any things in iran in orbit that i think its bad but now after that thats a quantum of what that the problem today i think its a suitable time for that and i could time for the Iraqi Government to be a mediator between both sides because they if i think are on i want to have i think the next week the iraqi women Iraqi Government that i could british they will it play that role i think with that helping with some countries like qatar oman ok for example then i i think i think both they dont want to ask and they dont dont want to wind up that tag i wired that they dont want the cultural war but why would war and i think both say they want they now as i hear now the american side i didnt say wed better insight american side stuff ali you know he talking he said we talk a lot of revenge from the killing of. d a man and that we thought of as. The sort of prompts a blocking so for you this is a sign that there is no question these of which you see as a sign of the escalation let me go to. What you said that basically as far as iran is concerned this is done however its up to other countries like iraq to take what they consider to be suitable action but however let me remind you mr elliott bother if the iraqis or any others decide to take any retaliatory at the americans to be widely seen as iranian proxies this is something that could further trigger an american reaction to that is iran taking that into consideration. D. A resistance fronts in iraq and other countries in the middle easts will will take their own revenge day make their own decisions they do not necessarily listen to ron the u. S. Acts of war against it or iranian and iraq you military officials in baghdad did include killing several Iraqi Military officials t. Hash to shabby audi Popular Mobilization forces are part of the iraqi army general salim arnie a was an official guest arriving in baghdads at the official request of the Iraqi Government that is on the International Law a lie elation of the un charter and violation of iraqs territorial integrity and act of stay to sponsor terrorism so its up to d. Iraqi government to respond but at the same time irena now lies end groups a close to iran how dare own decisions to make a nd and its very likely that day will take revenge for for this for this killing but it will have nothing to do with iran although your run does support them iran has made its choice and has shown its certain retaliates or action douglas has of the u. S. Administration under trump in no way or another under mind its funny him policy in the regime because he looks really absurd you know where nother do the talking about putting art from iraq that ask you of the Iraqi Government to take side of the Iraqi Government it finds itself in a position where he has to strike a balancing act it says that this is that absolutes unchartered waters for the United States of america of the middle east i think it is absolutely on chart it and i think even the administrations our lies theyre saying you know it might have been much more prudent to restrain all the retaliatory strikes for the death of the contractor and cook cook and even for the breaching of the u. S. Embassy keep all that retaliation in syria and keep iraq out of this keep the fight out of iraq unfortunately that ship has now sailed and we are where we are with regard to the Russian Forces i both agree and disagree with with our rainy and friend here gree that these are not purely proxy forces that they do have their they have their own agendas they have their own agency but at the same time they are prominent allies of the Iranian State so to make an analogy you know were tomorrow strikes to come from the british and the australians onto iranian soil i dont think theyd be impressed with if we said well you know what do we have to do with that its well known there are permanent allies and that they probably wouldnt do something without his induction and our consent i think if we see these attacks come from the hotshot will see them in a similar way yes they have their own agency but dont tell me you didnt know and dont tell me you couldnt have stopped it mr nuss me when he said that iraq is about time for iraq to mediate to be this particular crisis piece that would say wait a 2nd miss that and thats me because the political elite in iraq is predominantly shia affiliated with iran then with the United States of america so the outcome is going to be all this that it is going to side with the iranians they will carry water for the iran is by the end of the day. No i think the media tour will not be in the from the Iraqi Government specially i think then they did that coming to maybe from that in a key battle among the chairman of the above amount i think its i think its accepted from United States and will be accepted from from iran but i think yes sure and Everybody Knows there is a very deep relationship between many iraqi politicians and the high position and then a key government with iran and i think thats a wonder if you see it from. American and i think the Iraqi Government is very weak now especially the protesting against corrupted against and the british though that and refusing to from the minute majority of the street i think this is this is they put them in the very narrow corner and then they cannot they hey dont have a blend of. 20 time underplayed to you plenty of. Landed tool to move in its but i think i think they the medical side and the iranians say and the end they want somebody to play that rule india it up ok i think the best one and now youre lucky government to be the Iraqi Parliament to play that role with another fight for iraq and iran better that its ok let me go to ali. Weve heard all those strong words from the from the iranian government top military commanders. But however everyone understands that once the display of a mation emotions takes its time is going to be back to normal and then my question is is iran burning to talk to the americans or at least to give diplomacy a chance. Iran has never closed the path of dialogue but. Direct less and irresponsible decision by donald trump to order the assassination of general soleimani closes the path to diplomacy he has left little to talk about when you resort to terrorism in your resort to assassination in foreign soil against an official government a government official. You are blocking all lays for diplomacy and dialogue so by naming the Iranian Revolutionary guard a terrorist organization which which in return iran responded by naming centcom a terrorist organization and now the entire us military. We are. Away from any possibility of dialogue between tehran and washington. As of now we are living in the posts which is quite different from a week ago in the post soleimani era in the middle east we are facing greater threats to u. S. Military presence in iraq and elsewhere or around irans borders are posing a grave in growing danger to Irans National Security borders and iran cannot cannot remain in peace or have a peace of mind when the United States resort to such actions but from the 1st day donald trump came to office in in january 2017 he replaced interaction with confront ation the right here rip. Plays and they go to obamas multilateralism where unilateralism and that was the beginning of of end of a war with iran which continued by the terrorizing the iranians through economic sanctions and now widening get to military action douglas took us through the the american process in the near future particularly comes to dealing with iran you must have read all the article of the us media basically saying that. My papa and trump are staunchly pro a harsher response of the congress is willing to reign in that instinct but will the Congress Change its position if the retaliations of the iranian government grow in terms of scope and targets. Well its no secret that inside the u. S. Government there are more hawkish and less hawkish i would say dovish but less hawkish elements when it comes to the iran file. The killing of the contractor on cook in late december gave the iran hawks the upper hand inside the u. S. Government explaining what we then saw in the following week now that we seem to be perhaps at a slight pause that that that kind of chapter that started with crook cook and ended with the missile strikes last night if that becomes one set and we can now breathe and look at where they go forward from here different voices inside the u. S. Government might be able to come more to the forefront and we may see a slightly different approach to the iran file but it all depends on what happens in the coming weeks were if there is more response either physical d or in another realm Cyber Attacks attacks on you know assassinations of our friends in the gulf states then wed be in a back in a different world and this movie if the if iraq continues to be it best the ground for the rivalry between the americans and the iranians do you have in a can so that it might exacerbated the the divide between the sunnis and the shias in iraq vet who briefly please no go go think because though in our kids you know its units against their government against the corrupted and the whats happening to governments that its not necessarily because of the 2nd because the speaker of the Parliament Said that he does not agree with the idea of taken up to the americans to put out from iraq this is absolutely the opposite of whats on the other side. No but the end the end the end the bottom line give that to authority to the to the Prime Minister to tell the american side to withdraw from iraq because you know the you know the facts signed between iraq and 20081 of the its a very condition say is any. Forward year we will get a good end i think its very easy to do it let me go to iraq but i dont eat you give me the impression that if the americans decide one day to put out from iraq that would be the price the iranians are asking for very briefly peace. That would be a victory for iran iraq and the entire region because. That demobilizing u. S. Military presence in the region will come to an end and i think youll be for the regional states elects to take their own decision less than 30 seconds douglas are you concerned about and if full blown military confrontation in this part of the world you always have to be concerned about full blown military confrontation when you have lots of people with weapons pointed at each other the opportunities for miscalculation either at the very senior level or perhaps at a very low level that then grows and no one can stop thats thats always a great possibility but were very very concerned about the possibility of leaving iraq we think that that then turns iraq into a you know a puppet state of the Iranian Regime that theyll be unable to resist that influence the United States its been a lot of blood and treasure in iraq we dont want it to thank you absorbed into iranian orbit Interesting Times ahead to have to tell you that when you talk to people in this part of the world about whats happening everyone voices the same concern which is basically what if this turns into a nasty its a confrontation between the 2 minute see a my its the United States of america and iran in a volatile middle east me douglas ollivant. I really appreciate your contribution and your insights and thank you for watching you can see the program again any time by visiting our website dot com for further discussion go to our Facebook Page thats facebook dot com for was last a. J. Inside story you can also join the conversation on twitter our handle is a j incisively from the hash and. The whole team here in doha by phone and. I. Well this last time you were out on the streets protesting whether on line you feel the weight of the system when you walk through each and every level or layer further and further into the jail or if you join us on say retention has to start from day one whether again youre in detention or youre incarcerated this is a dialogue everyone has a voice for the arts those that support oshkosh will be varying accounts but i want to give people the reason for joining the global conversation on out is iraq. Told a number told stories from asia in the pacific on aljazeera. This is al jazeera. Hello im Adrian Finighan and this is the news hour live from doha coming up in the next 60 minutes. Iran appears to be standing down donald trump seeks to dial down tension after iranian strikes on an iraqi airbase hosting u. S. Forces the u. S. President says he wants world powers to negotiate a new nuclear deal. Irans president says the real revenge for the assassination of its top general who will be
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